HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 2-games-1:
Ignoring win order; ignoring site order: The team leading 2-games-1 irrespective of site order (Kansas City) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2015 NBA and NHL Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 699-250 (.737)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Semifinals round: 190-52 (.785)
series record, MLB only, all rounds: 92-38 (.708)
series record, MLB only, Semifinals round: 37-11 (.771)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 467-482 (.492)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, Semifinals round: 122-120 (.504)
Game 4 record, MLB only, all rounds: 73-57 (.562)
Game 4 record, MLB only, Semifinals round: 33-15 (.688)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1283 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and
MLB series played through the 2015 NBA and NHL Finals. Note in general
that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular
situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning
fraction:
For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning
fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is
400-100 rather than 4-1.
HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 2-games-1 @ HHV:
Ignoring win order; considering site order: The team leading 2-games-1 with site order HHV (Kansas City) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2015 NBA and NHL Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 446-109 (.804)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Semifinals round: 112-23 (.830)
series record, MLB only, all rounds: 51-17 (.750)
series record, MLB only, Semifinals round: 21-4 (.840)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 265-290 (.477)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, Semifinals round: 63-72 (.467)
Game 4 record, MLB only, all rounds: 37-31 (.544)
Game 4 record, MLB only, Semifinals round: 19-6 (.760)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1283 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and
MLB series played through the 2015 NBA and NHL Finals. Note in general
that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular
situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning
fraction:
For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning
fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is
400-100 rather than 4-1.
HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading WWL:
Considering win order; ignoring site order: The team leading WWL irrespective of site order (Kansas City) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2015 NBA and NHL Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 285-72 (.798)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Semifinals round: 78-13 (.857)
series record, MLB only, all rounds: 30-12 (.714)
series record, MLB only, Semifinals round: 13-2 (.867)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 173-184 (.485)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, Semifinals round: 43-48 (.473)
Game 4 record, MLB only, all rounds: 23-19 (.548)
Game 4 record, MLB only, Semifinals round: 12-3 (.800)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1283 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and
MLB series played through the 2015 NBA and NHL Finals. Note in general
that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular
situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning
fraction:
For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning
fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is
400-100 rather than 4-1.