Mets: Play to -120: Some will question why deGrom is not higher considering he was ROY last year and a legit Cy Young contender this year, but all divisions are not created equal and both he and the Mets are cruising in MLB’s worst division. According to numbers I ran yesterday the NL East is horrible and the AL East and Central are tied for second place among all six divisions. Numbers don’t lie if you look at them honestly and ask for the truth. So, deGrom and mates do have a serious edge over the O’s (57%), but if the line rises too high back off and let it go.
Dodgers: Play to -240: Felix Doubront may make the record books someday as the guy most often traded to the greatest number of teams possible. He always manages to be the expendable piece thrown in after the serious part of the trading is over. None of the teams he has been with have expressed any desire in retaining him. Meanwhile, Kershaw gets to face a lousy hitting club in a lefty friendly pitcher’s park. It doesn’t get any better than that. I know some will say play the run line to reduce the juice, but don’t forget how good the Dodgers are at taking the night off when Kershaw or Greinke pitch and the offense thinks 1 or 2 will do it. Kershaw is 19-4 in quality starts but that drops to 16-7 in h2h wins. Quality starts against his offense are not uncommon. If the A’s have anything left in the tank it is probably that they have nothing left to lose and can relax and try to play spoiler the rest of the season. I also dislike laying runs and odds both in an MLB game, it is not the nature of the beast and if laying -1.5 I like to get a positive (+$) payback.
BOL
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
Mets: Play to -120: Some will question why deGrom is not higher considering he was ROY last year and a legit Cy Young contender this year, but all divisions are not created equal and both he and the Mets are cruising in MLB’s worst division. According to numbers I ran yesterday the NL East is horrible and the AL East and Central are tied for second place among all six divisions. Numbers don’t lie if you look at them honestly and ask for the truth. So, deGrom and mates do have a serious edge over the O’s (57%), but if the line rises too high back off and let it go.
Dodgers: Play to -240: Felix Doubront may make the record books someday as the guy most often traded to the greatest number of teams possible. He always manages to be the expendable piece thrown in after the serious part of the trading is over. None of the teams he has been with have expressed any desire in retaining him. Meanwhile, Kershaw gets to face a lousy hitting club in a lefty friendly pitcher’s park. It doesn’t get any better than that. I know some will say play the run line to reduce the juice, but don’t forget how good the Dodgers are at taking the night off when Kershaw or Greinke pitch and the offense thinks 1 or 2 will do it. Kershaw is 19-4 in quality starts but that drops to 16-7 in h2h wins. Quality starts against his offense are not uncommon. If the A’s have anything left in the tank it is probably that they have nothing left to lose and can relax and try to play spoiler the rest of the season. I also dislike laying runs and odds both in an MLB game, it is not the nature of the beast and if laying -1.5 I like to get a positive (+$) payback.
Good to see you back, Key, and I believe stepping away from action will pay immediate dividends. Every gambler hits a cold streak, It's the nature of the beast. Now that you're refreshed, I think we'll see some wins posted .... starting tonight!
Good to see you back, Key, and I believe stepping away from action will pay immediate dividends. Every gambler hits a cold streak, It's the nature of the beast. Now that you're refreshed, I think we'll see some wins posted .... starting tonight!
I took Mets -117 for first five innings. I like isolating the starting pitching match up as much as possible because of the big hitting discrepancy of Baltimore at home and Mets away.
Keep on sharing your picks and analysis Key, they are much appreciated.
I took Mets -117 for first five innings. I like isolating the starting pitching match up as much as possible because of the big hitting discrepancy of Baltimore at home and Mets away.
Keep on sharing your picks and analysis Key, they are much appreciated.
i took mets immediately i saw degrom last night, but i noticed line moved in favor of orioles this morning. then i came up with your pick, and i hope you are about to end your cold streak today, good luck
i took mets immediately i saw degrom last night, but i noticed line moved in favor of orioles this morning. then i came up with your pick, and i hope you are about to end your cold streak today, good luck
The METS can have trouble scoring and with Baltimore only needing 2 or 3 runs to win (most likely) I'm on the other side today. Love the dodgers though, i think they will be the hot team this week. good luck though key, i would take your cold spell if i could have your previous hot streak to go with it.
The METS can have trouble scoring and with Baltimore only needing 2 or 3 runs to win (most likely) I'm on the other side today. Love the dodgers though, i think they will be the hot team this week. good luck though key, i would take your cold spell if i could have your previous hot streak to go with it.
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