I like LAD to get a needed win, and the under. But...
ripped and cut and pasted from the internets:
Southern California has produced as much baseball talent as perhaps anywhere else in the domestic United States and Monday night offers up a meeting between two of its finest pro franchises when the Angels of Anaheim visit Dodger Stadium for what will be the opener a four game series set to run through Thursday.
The Angels took two of three in Tampa following a series loss to Baltimore. They return to the west coast after that six game road trip and will look to defeat a Dodgers team which just dropped two of three to the lowly Cubs. They had been riding a six game win streak prior to that and will try to get back on track behind the work of Zack Greinke.
The 30 year old has been incredible with L.A. in the NL this season, but he did spend his first seven seasons in the AL and made 13 starts for these Angels back in 2012. Greinke has historically been a strong second half pitcher and has started this post All-Star portion to the year off quite hot despite getting limited run support in several outings.
Greinke has won his previous three home starts and is 7-2 at home on the year. That being said, this LAA lineup seemed to get on track with a serious outburst against Jake Odorizzi and the Rays on Sunday and they have some bats who will like this match-up. Albert Pujols and David Freese are both 4-14 against Greinke, while Erick Aybar (3-8), Chris Ianetta (2-3) and Mike Trout (2-3) have also had success with smaller sample sizes.
It's important to note the likely lineup changes LAA will have to deal with in playing at a National League venue, however. The loss of the DH spot forces at least one bat to the bench, but the Angels are fortunate in the sense that they have most of their stud options placed into fielding roles on a day to day basis anyway. This club is 7-4 SU during inter-league play while having also generated a 7-4 "over" record during that sample size to boot.
Opposing Greinke will be fourth year righty Garrett Richards. A Riverside, CA native, Richards has come in and made himself feel right at home in LA this season, posting a WHIP of 1.04 and an ERA below three through 22 starts during 2014. After the Angels won every single one of his June starts, they won the first three in July before enduring three straight losses as they head into this game tonight.
Richards and the Angels are positioned as +120 dogs coming into tonight and are commanding roughly 40-45% of the betting action to this point in the day. The two biggest things for me concerning this game are as follows: Greinke’s toughness at home and Richards’ potential to deteriorate in the second half of this year.
Richards has never pitched more than 145 IP in any of his three prior years at the Major League level. He is already at 144 right now and his last two starts indicate a down trend without questions. While the offenses for Baltimore and Detroit are certainly good, Richards gave up about a hit an inning while surrendering a total of eight earned runs during his combined 13 IP between both starts.
What that tells me is that Richards could be due for a decline and the likelihood that it continues to fester into this start, which comes against one of the best offenses in the NL, it legitimate. Don’t get me wrong, the Oklahoma product is a fantastically talented arm with three devastating and primary pitches.
Still, I look for the Dodgers to get things going first in this series and for them to defend their home turf tonight. Right now, they sit as favorites at right around -125/130. Given their opponent and the number itself, that is not a position I’m willing to bit into.
This total opened at 6.5 and, with over 70% of the money coming in the under, it has dropped to six on some books. Greinke’s ability to control things at home is the primary factor in this movement asmany look for another low scoring battle so reminiscent of plenty a home start for him this season. I, however, look for the over to hold value here.
Richards is key to this game and his health and longevity in 2014 will be critical to the Angels’ ability to go up against other, strong rotations in the playoff rounds as well. Yes, the pitchers tonight, especially on paper, have the ability to be dominant. But these two offenses are quite strong and between Richards’ potential for regression and the Angels’ offensive abilities to boot, the over at 6/6.5 has more than enough potential to warrant a position.
I like LAD to get a needed win, and the under. But...
ripped and cut and pasted from the internets:
Southern California has produced as much baseball talent as perhaps anywhere else in the domestic United States and Monday night offers up a meeting between two of its finest pro franchises when the Angels of Anaheim visit Dodger Stadium for what will be the opener a four game series set to run through Thursday.
The Angels took two of three in Tampa following a series loss to Baltimore. They return to the west coast after that six game road trip and will look to defeat a Dodgers team which just dropped two of three to the lowly Cubs. They had been riding a six game win streak prior to that and will try to get back on track behind the work of Zack Greinke.
The 30 year old has been incredible with L.A. in the NL this season, but he did spend his first seven seasons in the AL and made 13 starts for these Angels back in 2012. Greinke has historically been a strong second half pitcher and has started this post All-Star portion to the year off quite hot despite getting limited run support in several outings.
Greinke has won his previous three home starts and is 7-2 at home on the year. That being said, this LAA lineup seemed to get on track with a serious outburst against Jake Odorizzi and the Rays on Sunday and they have some bats who will like this match-up. Albert Pujols and David Freese are both 4-14 against Greinke, while Erick Aybar (3-8), Chris Ianetta (2-3) and Mike Trout (2-3) have also had success with smaller sample sizes.
It's important to note the likely lineup changes LAA will have to deal with in playing at a National League venue, however. The loss of the DH spot forces at least one bat to the bench, but the Angels are fortunate in the sense that they have most of their stud options placed into fielding roles on a day to day basis anyway. This club is 7-4 SU during inter-league play while having also generated a 7-4 "over" record during that sample size to boot.
Opposing Greinke will be fourth year righty Garrett Richards. A Riverside, CA native, Richards has come in and made himself feel right at home in LA this season, posting a WHIP of 1.04 and an ERA below three through 22 starts during 2014. After the Angels won every single one of his June starts, they won the first three in July before enduring three straight losses as they head into this game tonight.
Richards and the Angels are positioned as +120 dogs coming into tonight and are commanding roughly 40-45% of the betting action to this point in the day. The two biggest things for me concerning this game are as follows: Greinke’s toughness at home and Richards’ potential to deteriorate in the second half of this year.
Richards has never pitched more than 145 IP in any of his three prior years at the Major League level. He is already at 144 right now and his last two starts indicate a down trend without questions. While the offenses for Baltimore and Detroit are certainly good, Richards gave up about a hit an inning while surrendering a total of eight earned runs during his combined 13 IP between both starts.
What that tells me is that Richards could be due for a decline and the likelihood that it continues to fester into this start, which comes against one of the best offenses in the NL, it legitimate. Don’t get me wrong, the Oklahoma product is a fantastically talented arm with three devastating and primary pitches.
Still, I look for the Dodgers to get things going first in this series and for them to defend their home turf tonight. Right now, they sit as favorites at right around -125/130. Given their opponent and the number itself, that is not a position I’m willing to bit into.
This total opened at 6.5 and, with over 70% of the money coming in the under, it has dropped to six on some books. Greinke’s ability to control things at home is the primary factor in this movement asmany look for another low scoring battle so reminiscent of plenty a home start for him this season. I, however, look for the over to hold value here.
Richards is key to this game and his health and longevity in 2014 will be critical to the Angels’ ability to go up against other, strong rotations in the playoff rounds as well. Yes, the pitchers tonight, especially on paper, have the ability to be dominant. But these two offenses are quite strong and between Richards’ potential for regression and the Angels’ offensive abilities to boot, the over at 6/6.5 has more than enough potential to warrant a position.
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