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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: THE CHASE LOUNGE
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#26
Posted: 1/23/2013 1:20:32 AM
BOOOOMMM!! 3-0...OVER,UNDER, AND CLEV ATS....KEEP ROLLIN BROTHA...
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#27
Posted: 1/23/2013 1:34:32 AM
ANGLE any info on college basketball ATS W/ THE TOP 25??? Seems like d DOGS keep it close or win outright...thanks buddy
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#28
Posted: 1/23/2013 12:12:36 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ColdHotCold19:

Hey Angle,

I got a question for you.

Are Semperfi and McShady gonna be back on this thread at the start of baseball season?

Just wondering.

Thanks in Advance



I'm not sure about Semper but I have heard McShady say that he won't. I'm just keeping my fingers crossed and hope for the best.
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#29
Posted: 1/23/2013 12:15:47 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by QBUN:

ANGLE any info on college basketball ATS W/ THE TOP 25??? Seems like d DOGS keep it close or win outright...thanks buddy


I don't have any info on NCAAB. I am pretty much staying away. It does seem like there are more dogs covering than faves. If I was going to bet I would certainly think fading a top 25 team when playing a non-top 25 team would be a good strategy, then of course Duke will come along and blow you out!
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#30
Posted: 1/23/2013 12:23:19 PM
*NBA CHASE PLAYS*

PHX +4 GM2 of 3 (2% or 2 unit profit play)

HOU ML GM3 of 3 (recover losses only)

The reason we are recovering losses only with Houston is because of the push and SU win from the last game and them playing their first game back off a 4 game road trip. These factors lower our odds of winning this series.

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#31
Posted: 1/23/2013 12:26:01 PM
Houston GM3 is a replay of the push on GM3 against Charlotte.
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#32
Posted: 1/23/2013 12:32:10 PM

Rhode Island is 2-16 ATS versus George Washington, including 0-11 ATS when Rhode Island is off a win.

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#33
Posted: 1/23/2013 12:33:04 PM
Going to play the under in the Grizz/Laker game (188) as we all know Lakers are dissolving..Grizz lost Mon at home I feel they come out and clamp down on them. Grizz probably cover also,but I'm on the under.
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#34
Posted: 1/23/2013 12:43:24 PM
Here is some info from a source that is on a 7-1 ATS run...

The under is showing excellent value at the Oracle Arena tonight (Oklahoma City/Golden State UNDER 207). Both of these teams have had grueling schedules lately. And both clubs will be playing in their 4th game in just 6 days tonight. Oklahoma City is coming off of an emotional victory last night against the Clippers. That game, surprisingly, produced the exact number of points that we're getting tonight (206). So we don't expect that number to be reached again as the fatigue from their recent scheduling sets in. And the under is 5-3 in the Thunders' games played on the back end of back-to-back nights this year. Golden State has topped this total just twice in their last 7 games overall. They're coming off of a tough stretch of scheduling as well. In their last 5 games, the Warriors have faced the Nuggets, the Heat, the Spurs, and the Clippers. In the 4 games against those elite teams, their final tally only topped tonight's total of 206 once (against the Nuggets in Denver). Golden State's home games average 197 points/game this year, while Oklahoma City's road games average 201.9. The over has been a solid bet when these two have played each other recently. But given tonight's scheduling situation, we'll gladly back the under at Oracle Arena.


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#35
Posted: 1/23/2013 12:51:51 PM
Here's some info on fading the struggling Lakers on the road..

Even though the Lakers pretty much stink compared to the normal level of play we have come to expect from this team, they still are getting the benefit of public lines. And we think that is definitely the case for Wednesday. Memphis is a much better team than the Lakers right now, and we think this line should be closer to seven points. Are the Lakers “due” for a good game? Probably. But handicapping a team that is due to play well is a strategy to take you straight to the poor house. LA has lost nine of its last 11, and neither of those wins are what we would call “quality”. They beat both Milwaukee and Cleveland at home. That they have only covered four lines during this stretch really shows that the betting public is still backing this team because of the “due factor” and that the bookies are setting the lines appropriately as a result. The Lakers are having all sorts of trouble scoring against strong defensive teams, and Memphis is second-best in that category, allowing less than 90 PPG this season. They managed only 83 points last time out against the Bulls, and this Memphis team might be even better defensively then Chicago. The Grizzlies have not been playing like a NBA Finals contender lately, but they have had a super tough schedule, and we think that this is the type of game that they will take seriously in a bid to get back on track (Memphis has lost four of six, but three of those losses were to potential high NBA Playoff seeds). They also completed a trade on Tuesday that will limit their depth in this game, but the Lakers are very thin for depth as well, and we don’t think this will be a big factor in this game. Everyone loves kicking the Lakers when they are down, so even though they are playing bad they still get a top effort from their opponent every night. We expect that from Memphis tonight. This Grizzlies team has excelled as a small favorite and is 13-5 ATS as a chalk of under 7 points. They have also won and covered the last two meetings in this series.
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#36
Posted: 1/23/2013 12:54:55 PM
Billy, I like the under on Mem/Lakers as well.

Under of the day won last night, now 25-11 run.

Over of the day won last night, now 5-7-1 run.
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#37
Posted: 1/23/2013 1:02:31 PM
I watched the end of OKC/LAC. That game could easily gone under!
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#38
Posted: 1/23/2013 1:04:29 PM
My 3 game fade chase of WASH is now going on game 4. They are playing really well. I'm taking Utah -7. My next chance is when they fly home from Utah and should be flat against Minny. This chase hurts...
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#39
Posted: 1/23/2013 1:04:35 PM
I'm also going to play Utah Jazz -6 (one point buy)

Then I'll parlay Utah -7 and Hou ML.
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#40
Posted: 1/23/2013 1:14:41 PM
Here's some info on Utah...

Rather quietly, Washington has been on the ascent, especially since star G John Wall returned from a knee injury earlier this month.  Not only is Wall’s stat line improving with each outing, but the Wizards have won four of their last six outright, which is almost 1995-96 Bulls-like stuff in D.C. Moreover, Washington has been providing some decent pointspread value since before RG III first hurt his knee for the hometown Redskins vs. the Ravens in early December, standing 18-6-1 vs. spread from Dec. 4 thru Monday's win at Portland.  The cover streak has also reached seven in a row after that success at the Rose Garden vs. Blazers.  Still, this is the last game of an extended 5-game western swing for Randy Wittman’s troops, and Utah has made a fortress out of EnergySolutions Arena, winning and covering last four in Salt Lake City and now 12-5 vs. spread as host. Jamaal Tinsley deserves some kudos for helping keep Utah afloat in absence of injured PG Mo Williams (still rehabbing thumb injury), as Jazz have won 7 of first 12 with Tinsley manning the point.
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#41
Posted: 1/23/2013 1:24:25 PM
I'm going to fade the heat after having 5 days off, they should be a little rusty. Toronto +11

It can be a little nerve-racking to go against the defending World Champions. The Heat are capable of a big win every time out, a fact that the Raptors are well aware of. The champs have had an extended layoff here though and they're laying double-digits at the betting window.Facing a scrappy Raptors team, which has been competitive nearly every time it has taken the floor, I feel the number may prove a little high. The Heat haven't played for nearly a week. Their most recent game was last Thursday, at LA. Rest can be nice, particularly after an extended road trip. However, that's a pretty long layoff. I wouldn't be surprised if the players are slightly out of sync. Adding a new player (Chris Anderson) to the mix may not help in that regard. Note that the Heat are 0-2 ATS this season, when playing with three or more day's rest in between games. On 11/29, the Heat had four day's off in between games. Laying 13 points, they barely defeated a severely depleted San Antonio team.
A couple of weeks before that, they had three day's off before a game vs. Milwaukee. Laying 9.5 points, the Heat won by seven.M
The Raptors are also well-rested; but not overly so. They last played on Sunday, earning a victory over the Lakers. The Raptors obviously don't have the type of stars that the Heat do. However, they are playing well and working hard right now. Prior to the win over LA, they'd lost four in a row. However, a closer look reveals that that those four losses came by an average of less than seven points, none greater than 11.Going back further finds Toronto at a profitable 12-6-1 ATS its last 19. Note that the Raptors are 5-1 ATS when off an "upset" win. While they've admittedly had some trouble with Miami, the Raptors are still a solid 14-9 ATS the past couple of seasons, when listed as road underdogs in the 9.5 to 12 range. During the same stretch, the Heat are 10-17-2 ATS as home favorites in the 9.5 to 12 range. Consider grabbing the points.
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#42
Posted: 1/23/2013 1:26:58 PM
Thanks Angle, BOl !
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#43
Posted: 1/23/2013 1:29:42 PM
Fishy line of the day. OKC laying only 2 to GS? Give me GS +2.

Note, with so many plays today I will be doing half units except for the under of the day and of course the chase plays.
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#44
Posted: 1/23/2013 1:48:21 PM
Angle out, GL everyone and let's get those chases today!
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#45
Posted: 1/23/2013 3:33:04 PM
BOL
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#46
Posted: 1/23/2013 4:34:41 PM
I noticed earlier in the day that Bulls o/u was lowest at 183,now I see Pacers went from 183.5 to 182.
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#47
Posted: 1/23/2013 6:39:48 PM
Angle, a good college basketball play is as follow when the top 25 is playing. When a top 25 is playing  away against a home team who is not in the top 25 and  the home team is favored in the game giving points to the top 25 team play the home team and lay the points. Been following for the last few years  and has been profitable.
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#48
Posted: 1/23/2013 7:07:39 PM
Does anyone know where Go Nads gets the set NCAAB lines from? I am going to try and continue his spreadsheet. 
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#49
Posted: 1/23/2013 9:16:22 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by alwaysontop2010:

Does anyone know where Go Nads gets the set NCAAB lines from? I am going to try and continue his spreadsheet. 

http://sportselect.wclc.com/lists/

click on point spread

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#50
Posted: 1/24/2013 10:33:52 AM
Since Nov.28, 2012 the lowest total under and highest total over with at least 4 games on the board has gone

Under 39-14-0

Over 29-20-01
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