CHASE THE PLAYOFFS...RD.2

Forum: MLB Betting Page 11 of 28 «  9 10 11 12 13   »
Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: CHASE THE PLAYOFFS...RD.2
McShady PM McShady
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quote#251
Posted: 10/15/2012 3:43:18 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Riceboi:

What you guys think about no runs 1st inning for giants/cards game? Yes it is juiced to about -150, but looks like a good bet for this pitching matchup.


Looks good! Im putting a 1000 dollhairs on it...
Riceboi PM Riceboi
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quote#252
Posted: 10/15/2012 3:45:05 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by McShady:



Looks good! Im putting a 1000 dollhairs on it...


doll hairs lol

i know you guys aren't playing it because it's juiced, but was just wondering.
schiman PM schiman
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quote#253
Posted: 10/15/2012 3:49:56 PM
Yeah,  Shady - I like your philosophy of not posting if your gambling, just posting if you're winning!!

College Football has been kind to me, and since I'm playing with house money from the summer thanks to you,  Semper, Angle, and the others - thought I'd give back to the community.

NFL is a cluster - best to be used for Fantasy sports...I think I'm done throwing money at it!

mjnorman59 PM mjnorman59
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quote#254
Posted: 10/15/2012 3:50:25 PM
STL/SF - going to start home team scores first chase on this series (won away scores first yesterday). 

SF scores first +110 today

Playoff series (18) past 3 years (2012 DIV, 2011 DIV/LCS/WS, and 2010 DIV/LCS/WS), trend is 17-1 that the home team scores first at least 1x during series (15-3 home team first during first 3 games).  Away teams in LCS this year are 3-0 to score first.

2011 ALCS = 4 away 2 home
2010 ALCS = 1 away 5 home
2011 NLCS = 3 away 3 home
2010 NLCS = 1 away 5 home

Looking at the Shady prop of first to score loses, looks like that happens at least once in a playoff series, but still back checking for 3 years.

BOL
 
hi2ak PM hi2ak
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quote#255
Posted: 10/15/2012 3:51:56 PM
Angle does your parlay system work for nfl games?

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kake7 PM kake7
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quote#256
Posted: 10/15/2012 3:54:49 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Go_Nads:


Here are the links to Covers box score (not sure what stats you were looking for)

2003 Jax vs Miami: http://bit.ly/RMtKe1
2004 Jax vs Oak: http://bit.ly/RMu2lf
2007 Jax vs SD: http://bit.ly/OCvsRi
2010 Jax vs SD: http://bit.ly/QJlawx
2011 Jax vs SD: http://bit.ly/We8wLt
 
Thanks much !!
McShady PM McShady
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quote#257
Posted: 10/15/2012 4:12:18 PM
@schiman

Pay it Forward! Thats why I share my findings, I believe it it will bring out those that can help me take my family to the Olympics in RIO! 


And its time to pay up. Every year after a long MLB season I take my wife to ARUBA for 10 days, with some of my profits, as repayment for her tolerance of me. We leave this Sat. 
mjnorman59 PM mjnorman59
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quote#258
Posted: 10/15/2012 4:28:37 PM
The new thread should be Chase the dog to RIO!
Newfie_Bullet PM Newfie_Bullet
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quote#259
Posted: 10/15/2012 4:31:16 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by McShady:

@schiman

Pay it Forward! Thats why I share my findings, I believe it it will bring out those that can help me take my family to the Olympics in RIO! 


And its time to pay up. Every year after a long MLB season I take my wife to ARUBA for 10 days, with some of my profits, as repayment for her tolerance of me. We leave this Sat. 

 

Me  and ole lady discussed this last night, she is opening up an account online and depositing 1100 for our vacay betting fund she been watching past few months and after seeing your spreadsheet she is in lol 10% of pot ($110 to start) bets to be placed she is very frugal and has good money discipline. She kept asking what I'm buying her with the winnings and told her to get her own account haha. Have a good trip buddy.

McShady PM McShady
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quote#260
Posted: 10/15/2012 4:47:11 PM
@Newfie

Very important to get the wife onboard. If you keep it a secret she will think you lost your life savings and have a problem! I dont know garbage about the Stock Market. So this is my portfolio
mjnorman59 PM mjnorman59
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quote#261
Posted: 10/15/2012 4:49:45 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by mjnorman59:

STL/SF - going to start home team scores first chase on this series (won away scores first yesterday). 

SF scores first +110 today

Playoff series (18) past 3 years (2012 DIV, 2011 DIV/LCS/WS, and 2010 DIV/LCS/WS), trend is 17-1 that the home team scores first at least 1x during series (15-3 home team first during first 3 games).  Away teams in LCS this year are 3-0 to score first.

2011 ALCS = 4 away 2 home
2010 ALCS = 1 away 5 home
2011 NLCS = 3 away 3 home
2010 NLCS = 1 away 5 home

Looking at the Shady prop of first to score loses, looks like that happens at least once in a playoff series, but still back checking for 3 years.

BOL
 

Update to previous post - first to score loses (playoff series since 2010):

First to score loses 1x in a series last 3 years 17-1 (only score first to win all games in series was CIN/SF this year).

14-4 with score first loses at least 1 time in first 3 games.

Line today for STL/SF is +210.

Already on SF scores first today and Semper/Shady think a Giants win so I probably will stay away today but may run it tomorrow with DET/NYY.

BOL

Skeptrix PM Skeptrix
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quote#262
Posted: 10/15/2012 4:51:50 PM
I got SF score first @ +115..BOL!
Newfie_Bullet PM Newfie_Bullet
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quote#263
Posted: 10/15/2012 4:55:23 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by mjnorman59:

The new thread should be Chase the dog to RIO!

 

That is awesome lol

Newfie_Bullet PM Newfie_Bullet
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quote#264
Posted: 10/15/2012 5:10:51 PM
I hear ya Shady, she is good, at first she thought I was nutz dropping 1000 on an outcome, she called it gambling, now she calls it an investment. It can be time consuming and we spend lot of time hanging out watching sports together anyways.That -3.27% return last year on her retirement portfolio put it into perspective as far as ROI goes. She's in now. This method of betting is no difference than dividend re-investment, just have to find the right formula :) Downside is she thinks after we have neough for vacay her next goal is diamond ring
McShady PM McShady
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quote#265
Posted: 10/15/2012 5:14:20 PM
My 401K return pisses me off everytime I look at it....im gonna cash out and have some fun!








Just kidding
Moth61 PM Moth61
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quote#266
Posted: 10/15/2012 5:23:32 PM

I used to get in a heated discussion with my bro about gambling. I asked him if one has a gambling problem if they are winning most of the time???

McShady, enjoy your trip. You deserve it.

Newfie_Bullet PM Newfie_Bullet
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quote#267
Posted: 10/15/2012 5:25:46 PM

http://tinyurl.com/8gg5yrc

 

Some interesting stats from a Broncos fan on Mannings recent struggles facing the Chargers.

shawty321 PM shawty321
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quote#268
Posted: 10/15/2012 5:29:16 PM
After looking at that article from Newfie......... Suddenly i don't like Peyton's chances
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Codearmani PM Codearmani
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quote#269
Posted: 10/15/2012 5:36:04 PM
sounds great McShady. Have a nice trip :)

Will you be here for the MLB season next year as well? 
fernandes119 PM fernandes119
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quote#270
Posted: 10/15/2012 5:42:26 PM
Hey guys I haven't posted In a while just want to say thanks to everyone been on vacation just want to see what u guys think about this RR I'm going to put it in I think unless u guys think it's a bad idea ofcourse denver ml under and st Louis ml and under
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McShady PM McShady
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quote#271
Posted: 10/15/2012 5:49:10 PM
NFL
Team to score 1st - Chargers (-110)

MLB
What will Pagan do in his 1st at bat - Groundout (+275)

-This is a flyer w/ Carp being a great GBP. A degenerate bet of $100
s1win21 PM s1win21
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quote#272
Posted: 10/15/2012 6:06:53 PM

@Shady

Very true on getting the wife on board. I'm a newbie to this form of gambling and I was finally able to convince her after some solid results that it is an investment and actually safer than the damn market.

Have a great trip, with a young family, it is certainly well deserved. Thanks again for the guiding me and others in the right direction this MLB season.

If you, and others of course, are interested in some NBA under chases this winter look me up.

McShady PM McShady
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quote#273
Posted: 10/15/2012 6:43:29 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Codearmani:

sounds great McShady. Have a nice trip :)

Will you be here for the MLB season next year as well? 

No telling what the future holds. Covers gets out of hand sometimes then some of the other threads or just unreadable that people act like that. So semper and I have actually discussed maybe starting a private thread and see what happens for next year
McShady PM McShady
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quote#274
Posted: 10/15/2012 6:45:49 PM
@s1win

Man if you can get me to like the NBA more power to you I'm looking for a reason to tolerate it. Always keep an eye out for you bro
s1win21 PM s1win21
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quote#275
Posted: 10/15/2012 7:11:43 PM

@Shady

There are 3 things in this life people don't want to see how they are made - sausages, laws and $$ in the NBA. It is a damn like I said but working on some filters to minimize that. Much rather put the focus on the NHL for the winter but its looking as if that isn't going to be much of an option this year. Found some great figures on teams on 3 game + road trips with at least one game going under but will probably have to put that on hold until the 2013-2014 season unfortunately.

Happy trails and thanks again. Hopefully I can pay you back.

 

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