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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: 9/1 - MLB Breakdown Sheets
si1ly send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
si1ly
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#1
Posted: 8/31/2012 11:39:53 PM


9-1
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#2
Posted: 8/31/2012 11:42:02 PM
Can't stay up to chat about the games tonight.  Hopefully I wake up and the over in Seattle is a winner.  Again, won't be around much during the day, but I'll try and check in on my phone periodically and that's how I'll be posting plays.  Nothing locked in at the moment.  I won't have a lot of time to research, if any at all, so I will likely have a small card.  I also realize that I'm missing two sheets.  Both are due to a lack of data on a starting pitcher.
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#3
Posted: 8/31/2012 11:54:35 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly:

Can't stay up to chat about the games tonight.  Hopefully I wake up and the over in Seattle is a winner.  Again, won't be around much during the day, but I'll try and check in on my phone periodically and that's how I'll be posting plays.  Nothing locked in at the moment.  I won't have a lot of time to research, if any at all, so I will likely have a small card.  I also realize that I'm missing two sheets.  Both are due to a lack of data on a starting pitcher.
great job,and have fun in CHI TOWN
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Midel1
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#4
Posted: 9/1/2012 12:02:39 AM
Thanks si1ly...enjoy the windy city! 
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#5
Posted: 9/1/2012 12:14:46 AM
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#6
Posted: 9/1/2012 12:25:55 AM
Thanks again. 
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#7
Posted: 9/1/2012 12:43:00 AM
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#8
Posted: 9/1/2012 3:13:17 AM
San Diego's been hot! and there ace on the hill + money vs a very inconsistent rockies club.....
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#9
Posted: 9/1/2012 4:41:25 AM
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#10
Posted: 9/1/2012 8:32:36 AM

Cheers 
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#11
Posted: 9/1/2012 9:01:04 AM
enjoy Chicago, Si1ly.  Great city.

Thanks for the sheets. 
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#12
Posted: 9/1/2012 10:29:48 AM
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#13
Posted: 9/1/2012 11:25:29 AM
Can somebody copy and paste the top 30 and bottom 30 pitcher rankings from yesterday's thread? I can't get it to paste correctly from my phone. Thanks in advance.
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#14
Posted: 9/1/2012 11:27:57 AM
#01 Kris Medlen (1)
#02 Brett Anderson #N/A
#02 Jaime Garcia (21)
#04 Clayton Kershaw (5)
#05 CC Sabathia (7)
#06 Adam Wainwright (4)
#07 Max Scherzer (18)
#08 Cliff Lee (6)
#09 James Shields (23)
#10 Felix Hernandez (8)
#11 David Price (16)
#12 Madison Bumgarner  (12)
#12 Roy Halladay (14)
#14 Justin Verlander (13)
#15 Cole Hamels (20)
#16 Johnny Cueto (25)
#17 Rick Porcello (65)
#18 Mike Fiers (10)
#19 Jon Lester (62)
#19 Jeff Samardzija  (30)
#21 Steve Johnson #N/A
#22 Gio Gonzalez (26)
#23 Matt Moore (120)
#23 Paul Maholm (75)
#23 Jacob Turner (142)
#26 Doug Fister (17)
#27 Wade Miley (19)
#28 Yovani Gallardo (55)
#29 Hiroki Kuroda (41)
#30 Chris Sale (9)
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#15
Posted: 9/1/2012 11:28:25 AM
#133 Dallas Keuchel  (206)
#134 Alex White (169)
#134 Gavin Floyd (151)
#134 Cole DeVries (152)
#137 Jose Quintana (122)
#138 Miguel Gonzalez (186)
#139 Nick Blackburn (204)
#140 Tim Hudson (93)
#141 Vance Worley (101)
#141 Zack Greinke (14)
#143 Lance Lynn (51)
#144 Barry Zito (194)
#145 Jake Westbrook (80)
#146 Franklin Morales #N/A
#147 Liam Hendriks (184)
#148 Ricky Romero (187)
#149 Chris Young (181)
#150 Samuel Deduno (192)
#151 Brooks Raley (201)
#152 Wandy Rodriguez (129)
#153 Ian Kennedy (82)
#154 Aaron Laffey (176)
#154 Josh Beckett (137)
#156 Henderson Alvarez (182)
#157 Tyler Skaggs #N/A
#158 Chris Seddon #N/A
#159 Tommy Hunter (162)
#159 Ross Ohlendorf (199)
#161 Roberto Hernandez #N/A
#162 Nathan Eovaldi  (185)
#163 Armando Galarraga (211)
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#16
Posted: 9/1/2012 11:31:13 AM
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#17
Posted: 9/1/2012 11:33:33 AM

thx Si1ly, even though u r busy u r still thinking about us.  Looking forward for your pick. 

 
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#18
Posted: 9/1/2012 11:40:11 AM
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#19
Posted: 9/1/2012 11:57:23 AM
Still gonna lock in the over on the MIN @ KAN matchup?   Same pitchers. 
O/U is currently @ 9  
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#20
Posted: 9/1/2012 12:16:47 PM

Seeing as though Cliff Lee ranks 8th and Hudson ranks 140th in recent pitching and thats a huge pitching mismatch. Philly also holds a slight hitting advantage.

Should Phillies ml at even money be considered a play here?
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#21
Posted: 9/1/2012 12:21:16 PM
Philly is a strong lean.
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si1ly send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#22
Posted: 9/1/2012 12:21:18 PM
Philly is a strong lean.
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si1ly send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#23
Posted: 9/1/2012 12:29:20 PM
Oddsmakers had plenty of time to reassess the KCR total. They clearly took enough action on the under to reopen it half a point lower today. I don't know where that money came from so its enough to downgrade the play to a lean. I'll probably end up with an action wager on it, but its not worth a full unit risk anymore.
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#24
Posted: 9/1/2012 12:33:37 PM
Looking into the under in the WSOX @ TIGERS game, check out the SwStr% for the SP

Liriano    13.5%
Sherzer  11.8%

will keep looking into it further.... 
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#25
Posted: 9/1/2012 12:40:42 PM
Definitely like that under in Detroit too. They're both K-pitchers going against favorable line-ups in terms of splits. My model has it at 7.9, but I would knock it down to 7.5 the highest.
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