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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: Sunday Afternoon - MLB
si1ly send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
si1ly
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#1
Posted: 8/12/2012 12:38:50 PM
'10-11 NBA:  90-67  (57.3%)  +19.90u
'10-11 NBA-P:  30-16  (65.2%)  +18.25u
'10-11 NCAAB:  8-1  (88.9%)  +7.90u
'10-11 NHL-P:  11-4  (73.3%)  +7.00u
'10-11 MLB:  97-66  (59.8%)  +31.61u
'10-11 MLB-P:  9-3  (75.0%)  +9.22u
'11-12 NCAAF:  16-21  (43.2%)  -7.40u
'11-12 NCAAF-P:  9-6  (60.0%)  +1.65u
'11-12 NFL:  42-35  (54.5%)  +5.05u
'11-12 NFL-P:  5-5  (50.0%)  -0.40u
'11-12 NCAAB:  9-3  (75.0%)  +5.70u
'11-12 NCAAB-P:  5-3  (62.5%)  +1.60u
'11-12 NBA:  77-80  (49.0%)  -13.28u
'11-12 NBA-P:  23-20  (53.2%)  +2.30u
'11-12 NHL-P:  2-1  (66.6%)  +1.10u

'11-12 MLB:  84-57-4 (60.0%)  +20.36u


1:05 EST - Boston Red Sox (-152)

1:35 EST - Pittsburgh Pirates -1 (-110)

3:05 EST - Detroit Tigers (+135)


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tinfoils
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#2
Posted: 8/12/2012 12:41:14 PM
Good luck si1ly!
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#3
Posted: 8/12/2012 12:41:23 PM
Bol Si1ly 
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#4
Posted: 8/12/2012 12:41:43 PM
did GG talk you into the sox?


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#5
Posted: 8/12/2012 12:41:56 PM
S1L
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#6
Posted: 8/12/2012 12:41:58 PM
BOL big guy, hope you cash'em! 
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#7
Posted: 8/12/2012 12:42:21 PM
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si1ly send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#8
Posted: 8/12/2012 12:44:08 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by cpsn:

did GG talk you into the sox?



Yes.  Definitely made me take another look at it.  Did you know the Indians are 13-24 against left-handed starters?  Lester hasn't been very good and the Sox line-up is a bit depleted.  But Kluber is really bad.  Lester is something like 62-1 with 6 runs of support.  Good probability that the Sox can get close to that number off this kid.
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#9
Posted: 8/12/2012 12:44:29 PM

BOL MASTER si1ly...as always I'm on board!!!

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#10
Posted: 8/12/2012 12:45:36 PM

Thought I'd definitely see you on the Rockies... BOL today si1ly.

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#11
Posted: 8/12/2012 12:45:51 PM
Good Luck
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#12
Posted: 8/12/2012 12:46:03 PM
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#13
Posted: 8/12/2012 12:48:28 PM
Love the picks. As always thanks for the sheets.
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#14
Posted: 8/12/2012 12:49:02 PM
Good luck si1ly
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#15
Posted: 8/12/2012 12:49:04 PM
Action parlay on the 3 ML?
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#16
Posted: 8/12/2012 12:49:50 PM
BOL 
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si1ly send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#17
Posted: 8/12/2012 12:51:15 PM
*** Added Play ***


1:05 EST - New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays Under 9.5 (-115)

I was hoping to see this total hit 9.5 and it finally did at my shop.  I was still considering playing it at 9 if I got even or plus money on the wager.  Happ surprisingly ranks #28 in my database over the last 30 days and most of the Yankees have never seen him.  Hughes has been terrible lately, but the Blue Jays are lining up a triple-A offense.
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#18
Posted: 8/12/2012 12:51:27 PM
I wouldn't be surprised to see Valentine find a way to lose again.  He's awful.  Good luck, though.
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#19
Posted: 8/12/2012 12:51:31 PM
texas will rock tigers today! they own porcello!
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si1ly send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#20
Posted: 8/12/2012 12:51:57 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by eyemtlaw:

Action parlay on the 3 ML?

No more parlays for me  
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si1ly send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#21
Posted: 8/12/2012 12:52:22 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Tone10:

Thought I'd definitely see you on the Rockies... BOL today si1ly.


I'm watching the line movement on this game.  I've got some time to decide still.
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jimmydean813
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#22
Posted: 8/12/2012 12:53:27 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly:


Yes.  Definitely made me take another look at it.  Did you know the Indians are 13-24 against left-handed starters?  Lester hasn't been very good and the Sox line-up is a bit depleted.  But Kluber is really bad.  Lester is something like 62-1 with 6 runs of support.  Good probability that the Sox can get close to that number off this kid.



Not sure about Kluber being really bad.  His first start he was nervous and gave up 6 then after that no runs.  Then gave up 1 ER in 6 innings to the twins.  Yes he faced the Royals and Twins but Red Sox aren't playing better than these too.  I give you the lefty stat as the Indians struggle against lefties.  We got 2 guys with ERA's combined over 11 yet the total started at 9 and now at 8.5, which may tell me it could be a very close game and the Indians having a shot at the win.  GL though on it and the rest of the plays. 
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si1ly send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#23
Posted: 8/12/2012 12:54:12 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by sicknesscity:

I wouldn't be surprised to see Valentine find a way to lose again.  He's awful.  Good luck, though.

Me neither.  I'm a die hard born-and-raised on Red Sox fan and it says something that this is only the third time I've placed a bet on their side in 145 different wagers on the season.
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#24
Posted: 8/12/2012 12:57:01 PM
Nice number on that total.
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#25
Posted: 8/12/2012 12:57:42 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jimmydean813:




Not sure about Kluber being really bad.  His first start he was nervous and gave up 6 then after that no runs.  Then gave up 1 ER in 6 innings to the twins.  Yes he faced the Royals and Twins but Red Sox aren't playing better than these too.  I give you the lefty stat as the Indians struggle against lefties.  We got 2 guys with ERA's combined over 11 yet the total started at 9 and now at 8.5, which may tell me it could be a very close game and the Indians having a shot at the win.  GL though on it and the rest of the plays. 

Good insight and you might be right.  I like how you read the total movement.. could be a clue by the oddsmakers.  I'm hoping that some of Lester's problems this year have been mostly mental.  Trying to over-pitch to get his good stuff back.  If he finds himself with some run support, the Cleveland hitters are pretty consistently around .240 against left-handed starters from top to bottom with very few guys much above .270.  Lester should feel comfortable with this line-up and I think he'll pitch loose and under control.
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