Sunday Afternoon - MLB

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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: Sunday Afternoon - MLB
si1ly PM si1ly
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si1ly
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Posted: 8/12/2012 12:38:50 PM
'10-11 NBA:  90-67  (57.3%)  +19.90u
'10-11 NBA-P:  30-16  (65.2%)  +18.25u
'10-11 NCAAB:  8-1  (88.9%)  +7.90u
'10-11 NHL-P:  11-4  (73.3%)  +7.00u
'10-11 MLB:  97-66  (59.8%)  +31.61u
'10-11 MLB-P:  9-3  (75.0%)  +9.22u
'11-12 NCAAF:  16-21  (43.2%)  -7.40u
'11-12 NCAAF-P:  9-6  (60.0%)  +1.65u
'11-12 NFL:  42-35  (54.5%)  +5.05u
'11-12 NFL-P:  5-5  (50.0%)  -0.40u
'11-12 NCAAB:  9-3  (75.0%)  +5.70u
'11-12 NCAAB-P:  5-3  (62.5%)  +1.60u
'11-12 NBA:  77-80  (49.0%)  -13.28u
'11-12 NBA-P:  23-20  (53.2%)  +2.30u
'11-12 NHL-P:  2-1  (66.6%)  +1.10u

'11-12 MLB:  84-57-4 (60.0%)  +20.36u


1:05 EST - Boston Red Sox (-152)

1:35 EST - Pittsburgh Pirates -1 (-110)

3:05 EST - Detroit Tigers (+135)


tinfoils PM tinfoils
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Posted: 8/12/2012 12:41:14 PM
Good luck si1ly!
Midel1 PM Midel1
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Posted: 8/12/2012 12:41:23 PM
Bol Si1ly 
cpsn PM cpsn
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Posted: 8/12/2012 12:41:43 PM
did GG talk you into the sox?


outlaw96 PM outlaw96
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Posted: 8/12/2012 12:41:56 PM
S1L
kinggeorge27 PM kinggeorge27
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Posted: 8/12/2012 12:41:58 PM
BOL big guy, hope you cash'em! 
amd PM amd
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amd
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Posted: 8/12/2012 12:42:21 PM
si1ly PM si1ly
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si1ly
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Posted: 8/12/2012 12:44:08 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by cpsn:

did GG talk you into the sox?



Yes.  Definitely made me take another look at it.  Did you know the Indians are 13-24 against left-handed starters?  Lester hasn't been very good and the Sox line-up is a bit depleted.  But Kluber is really bad.  Lester is something like 62-1 with 6 runs of support.  Good probability that the Sox can get close to that number off this kid.
VietBlonde PM VietBlonde
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Posted: 8/12/2012 12:44:29 PM

BOL MASTER si1ly...as always I'm on board!!!

Tone10 PM Tone10
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Posted: 8/12/2012 12:45:36 PM

Thought I'd definitely see you on the Rockies... BOL today si1ly.

TGOD PM TGOD
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Posted: 8/12/2012 12:45:51 PM
Good Luck
keepitstrict PM keepitstrict
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Posted: 8/12/2012 12:46:03 PM
BIGCAT_LSU PM BIGCAT_LSU
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Posted: 8/12/2012 12:48:28 PM
Love the picks. As always thanks for the sheets.
Spartacus10 PM Spartacus10
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Posted: 8/12/2012 12:49:02 PM
Good luck si1ly
eyemtlaw PM eyemtlaw
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Posted: 8/12/2012 12:49:04 PM
Action parlay on the 3 ML?
Baby_BA PM Baby_BA
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Posted: 8/12/2012 12:49:50 PM
BOL 
si1ly PM si1ly
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si1ly
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Posted: 8/12/2012 12:51:15 PM
*** Added Play ***


1:05 EST - New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays Under 9.5 (-115)

I was hoping to see this total hit 9.5 and it finally did at my shop.  I was still considering playing it at 9 if I got even or plus money on the wager.  Happ surprisingly ranks #28 in my database over the last 30 days and most of the Yankees have never seen him.  Hughes has been terrible lately, but the Blue Jays are lining up a triple-A offense.
sicknesscity PM sicknesscity
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Posted: 8/12/2012 12:51:27 PM
I wouldn't be surprised to see Valentine find a way to lose again.  He's awful.  Good luck, though.
crazy1464 PM crazy1464
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Posted: 8/12/2012 12:51:31 PM
texas will rock tigers today! they own porcello!
si1ly PM si1ly
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si1ly
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Posted: 8/12/2012 12:51:57 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by eyemtlaw:

Action parlay on the 3 ML?

No more parlays for me  
si1ly PM si1ly
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Posted: 8/12/2012 12:52:22 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Tone10:

Thought I'd definitely see you on the Rockies... BOL today si1ly.


I'm watching the line movement on this game.  I've got some time to decide still.
jimmydean813 PM jimmydean813
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Posted: 8/12/2012 12:53:27 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly:


Yes.  Definitely made me take another look at it.  Did you know the Indians are 13-24 against left-handed starters?  Lester hasn't been very good and the Sox line-up is a bit depleted.  But Kluber is really bad.  Lester is something like 62-1 with 6 runs of support.  Good probability that the Sox can get close to that number off this kid.



Not sure about Kluber being really bad.  His first start he was nervous and gave up 6 then after that no runs.  Then gave up 1 ER in 6 innings to the twins.  Yes he faced the Royals and Twins but Red Sox aren't playing better than these too.  I give you the lefty stat as the Indians struggle against lefties.  We got 2 guys with ERA's combined over 11 yet the total started at 9 and now at 8.5, which may tell me it could be a very close game and the Indians having a shot at the win.  GL though on it and the rest of the plays. 
si1ly PM si1ly
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Posted: 8/12/2012 12:54:12 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by sicknesscity:

I wouldn't be surprised to see Valentine find a way to lose again.  He's awful.  Good luck, though.

Me neither.  I'm a die hard born-and-raised on Red Sox fan and it says something that this is only the third time I've placed a bet on their side in 145 different wagers on the season.
Lar1212 PM Lar1212
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Posted: 8/12/2012 12:57:01 PM
Nice number on that total.
si1ly PM si1ly
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si1ly
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Posted: 8/12/2012 12:57:42 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jimmydean813:




Not sure about Kluber being really bad.  His first start he was nervous and gave up 6 then after that no runs.  Then gave up 1 ER in 6 innings to the twins.  Yes he faced the Royals and Twins but Red Sox aren't playing better than these too.  I give you the lefty stat as the Indians struggle against lefties.  We got 2 guys with ERA's combined over 11 yet the total started at 9 and now at 8.5, which may tell me it could be a very close game and the Indians having a shot at the win.  GL though on it and the rest of the plays. 

Good insight and you might be right.  I like how you read the total movement.. could be a clue by the oddsmakers.  I'm hoping that some of Lester's problems this year have been mostly mental.  Trying to over-pitch to get his good stuff back.  If he finds himself with some run support, the Cleveland hitters are pretty consistently around .240 against left-handed starters from top to bottom with very few guys much above .270.  Lester should feel comfortable with this line-up and I think he'll pitch loose and under control.
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