SteveA's MLB July 4

Forum: MLB Betting
Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: SteveA's MLB July 4
SteveA2009 PM SteveA2009
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SteveA2009
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Posted: 7/4/2012 12:48:02 PM
Yesterday:  3-2, +0.82 units
Season:  198-200, -6.51 units

   Mets +119 vs Phillies (Intertops) -- We are reaching the halfway point of the season, where it becomes easier to say that you are what your record says you are.   What we have here is the better team as a home underdog.   And Chris Young has had 3 straight excellent starts, and has yet to allow more than 3 runs in a start, while Cliff Lee has allowed 4+ in each of his 3 starts.
tinfoils PM tinfoils
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tinfoils
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Posted: 7/4/2012 1:18:51 PM
Good luck Steve!
SteveA2009 PM SteveA2009
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SteveA2009
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Posted: 7/4/2012 6:52:46 PM
Adding:

   Cardinals -1.5 runs +100 vs Rockies (Intertops) -- difference between what Rockies score in a typical road game (3.68) and Cards at home (about 5) nearly accounts for the run line differential.   St Louis is pitchign a very good pitcher in Adam Wainwright, while Rockies are going with Guthrie whose season has been a disaster.
utfootball4 PM utfootball4
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utfootball4
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Posted: 7/4/2012 6:54:14 PM
Guthrie is decent on the road..
SteveA2009 PM SteveA2009
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SteveA2009
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Posted: 7/4/2012 7:29:48 PM
And:

   Diamondbacks -1.5 +105 vs Padres (Intertops)
SteveA2009 PM SteveA2009
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SteveA2009
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Posted: 7/4/2012 7:45:28 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by utfootball4:

Guthrie is decent on the road..


Mostly back in April.   He hasn't gotten out of the 4th inning in his last two road starts.    In his last 3 road starts he has given up 36 baserunners in 11.1 innings, including 4 HRs!   You have to go back to May 15 to find even a half decent road start (and he couldn't even get through 6 innings in that one).
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