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[MLB Betting] Topic: GiLz Thread'ers ((Sun. 6/3)) |
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GiLmo574 |
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#1 Posted: 6/3/2012 11:33:02 AM
Finally working off the PC today and was able to dig deep and release a Large Play [6U/plus] . . .
ANY questions on ANY games - just ask.
GiLz got you, Thread'ers... 
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 = *YTD* @ +27.85 unit$
• [1U/2U] Small Play$ = 145-147-5
• [3U/4U/5U] Medium Play$ = 71-59-3
• [6U/plus] Large Play$ = 5-1-0
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CURRENT CARD: (Sun. 6/3)
 Phillies/Marlins *OVER 8.5* @ -105 = [6U]
Indians ML @ -130 = [3U]
Indians RL @ +160 = [1U]
Nationals/Braves *UNDER 6.5* @ +105 = [2U]
Braves ML @ +122 = [1U]
Orioles ML @ +137 = [1U]
Mariners ML @ +162 = [1U]
Brewers/Pirates *OVER 7.5* @ +110 = [1U]
Currently have [3U] on the Dodgers ML but watching line movement up until later this morning then will post. May invest more if line is right...
...look for *CURRENT CARD* throughout the day....
Best of Luck today, Thread'ers. 
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Epaminondas |
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#2 Posted: 6/3/2012 11:34:16 AM |
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si1ly |
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#3 Posted: 6/3/2012 11:35:06 AM |
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GiLmo574 |
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#4 Posted: 6/3/2012 11:43:53 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by Epaminondas:
Love the big play.
Hopefully it pans out - Sundays are tough for me, as they are for others, too.
I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if I hit the [6U] play then dropped everything else...
But I spent a good amount of time since last night on this card - I'm fairly confident, I guess...
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GiLmo574 |
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#5 Posted: 6/3/2012 11:44:17 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly:
good luck today uncle G
si1ly guy! |
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vetdrm |
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#6 Posted: 6/3/2012 11:49:37 AM
Just wondering.......Why thee over on McDonald? Could it be his past era at Miller Park? |
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Jeeves |
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#7 Posted: 6/3/2012 11:50:37 AM
Cheers
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KnightofSorrow |
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#8 Posted: 6/3/2012 11:51:24 AM |
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6thtime |
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#9 Posted: 6/3/2012 11:52:41 AM
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NastyNate9 |
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#10 Posted: 6/3/2012 11:54:02 AM
Like the Dodgers today as well, but probably will go RL. Balls have been flying all over Coors field in last week, so I don't expect a one-run game either way.
Why the Indians? Twinkies have won 4 of 5, Indians lost 6 of 8. Indians 4-11 vs LH. Not that I'd take Minny, just seems like a stay-away game. |
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fedex11204 |
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#11 Posted: 6/3/2012 11:57:01 AM
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LasVegasLord |
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#12 Posted: 6/3/2012 11:59:11 AM  
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tinfoils |
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#13 Posted: 6/3/2012 11:59:21 AM Good luck BEASTskeeeeeeeeeeeee! |
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ekrres |
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#14 Posted: 6/3/2012 11:59:49 AM |
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philly387 |
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#15 Posted: 6/3/2012 12:00:23 PM
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Getty3 |
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#16 Posted: 6/3/2012 12:02:50 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by fedex11204:
At first glance I loved the over but after seeing the ump....that gave me some serious pause. Doug Eddings has always been in the top 3 in calling strikes along with Brian Gorman and Phil Cuzzi. Lok at these strike % in the last 4 years...this year 63% 2011-64.28% 2010-63.74% 2009-63.05%......remember the avg strike % is about 62% so clearly this guy based on stats and reputation has never seen borderline pitch that wasn't strike. When I am on an over I want the umpire on my side
A good comment from a guy who can be an behind to some people. Best of Luck, Gil. |
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fedex11204 |
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#17 Posted: 6/3/2012 12:05:50 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Getty3: A good comment from a guy who can be an behind to some people. Best of Luck, Gil.
Only to people like 165 yds and the like who just post picks and to boot are horrible at it without any rhyme and reason just to be a a arrogant contrarian prick
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5t4r5align |
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#18 Posted: 6/3/2012 12:05:54 PM |
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#19 Posted: 6/3/2012 12:12:18 PM
Card looks good Gil. With you on the Braves and O's but against you as I am on the Rockies. BOL with the total play as well. |
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GiLmo574 |
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#20 Posted: 6/3/2012 12:16:32 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by fedex11204:
At first glance I loved the over but after seeing the ump....that gave me some serious pause. Doug Eddings has always been in the top 3 in calling strikes along with Brian Gorman and Phil Cuzzi. Lok at these strike % in the last 4 years...this year 63% 2011-64.28% 2010-63.74% 2009-63.05%......remember the avg strike % is about 62% so clearly this guy based on stats and reputation has never seen borderline pitch that wasn't strike. When I am on an over I want the umpire on my side
Always appreciate your insight on the umpires - I've seen you throughout the forum with some great stats...
I rarely add in the Umpire factor when diggin' into a game - well, I should say umps stats. I do factor in their trends, and today seeing that Eddings has been an UNDER ump for the home team Phillies.
Giving Zambrano a wider strike zone is definitely a negative for OVER backers...
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#21 Posted: 6/3/2012 12:19:29 PM |
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GiLmo574 |
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#22 Posted: 6/3/2012 12:25:28 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by vetdrm:
Miami over
Just wondering.......Why thee over on McDonald? Could it be his past era at Miller Park?
YES, that's a big reason why; 12IP, 14H, 11ER - 0-2/8.25 ERA
And the pesky Pirates are facing a rookie SP in the tiny ballpark of Miller Park... these same Pirates put up 8 -vs- Wolf back on Friday after an early jump. I think that's quite possible today...
8 of the last 11 games played @ Miller Park have gone OVER. |
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GiLmo574 |
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#23 Posted: 6/3/2012 12:31:09 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by NastyNate9:
GL GiL
Like the Dodgers today as well, but probably will go RL. Balls have been flying all over Coors field in last week, so I don't expect a one-run game either way.
Why the Indians? Twinkies have won 4 of 5, Indians lost 6 of 8. Indians 4-11 vs LH. Not that I'd take Minny, just seems like a stay-away game.
I like quality pitchers in bounce back form - last outing Masterson gave up 7ER -vs- the Royals @ home and looking for him today to be in top form @ home -vs- a Twins ball club who are averaging 3 runs PPG on the final game of a series this year. |
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#24 Posted: 6/3/2012 12:39:50 PM |
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tonydan |
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#25 Posted: 6/3/2012 12:55:12 PM G-MO SUNDAYS
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