ML Favorites: 12-8, +3.23 units
ML Dogs: 15-21, +0.54 units
RL: 11-10, +6.01 units
Totals: 21-20, -3.09 units
Team Totals: 2-0, +5.00 units
First Five Innings: 0-1, -1.00 units
Parlays: 0-1, -1.00 units
Freaking Brian Sabean. I was OK with getting this Lopez cat so long as all we were giving up was Joe Martinez, although I wasn't happy with it. I figured it was the worst it could be -- a decent starter like Martinez when we have a plethora of them.
But to give up John Bowker as well?! EFF YOU BRIAN SABEAN. What a freaking joke. A serviceable long man/marginal SP AND a AAAA slugger for a short reliever? That's a recipe for failure, something Brian Sabean knows plenty about.
On to today, let's start the month solid:
Early games:
1. Atlanta Braves/Cincinnati Reds OVER 8.5 (-106) -- Back to the well on this series. Volquez's was lights out in his first start back from the DL but his last two starts have resulted in 6 ER in 2.1 innings and 4 ER in 3.2 innings, walking four both times. He's got a WHIP of 2 during his last 3 games. Hanson meanwhile got rocked for eight (yes, eight) ERs in 1.2 innings the only other time he faced this CIN lineup back in May. While his ERA is actually about 0.70 better on the road, his WHIP shows the true story: 1.46 WHIP on the road. I'm hoping one of these teams can get out of hand early and we get this OVER taken care of early so I don't have to sweat.
2. Detroit Tigers/Boston Red Sox OVER 8 (-110), 1.55 to win 1.5 -- Here's some things I like about this play: Verlander's 's ERA is almost 2 points higher on the road (yikes, 4.80 to 2.65!) and he pretty reliably gives up 3-4 runs in his road starts. His WHIP on the road is 1.30 compared to 1.12 at home and his OBP against is about .30 higher, so hopefully that means more baserunners than normal for him today. Bucholz strangely enough has not been very impressive in Fenway this year, where he has a 3.08 ERA compared to a 2.36 ERA on the road. His WHIP is also higher at home as well (1.35 v. 1.18). If things go as they have all season, then we get about 6-7 runs between these squads before we get to the respective bullpens for each squad. Some of Boston's hitters have good career numbers against Verlander -- .400 for Youkilis, .300 for Ortiz, .302 for Victor Martinez, .333 for JD Drew, and .240 for Adrian Beltre.
More to come...