HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading WWLLW:
Considering win order; ignoring site order: The team leading WWLLW irrespective of site order (Pittsburgh) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2017 NHL and NBA Semifinals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 107-14 (.884)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 16-5 (.762)
series record, NHL only, all rounds: 48-9 (.842)
series record, NHL only, Finals round: 8-3 (.727)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 77-44 (.636)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 11-10 (.524)
Game 6 record, NHL only, all rounds: 38-19 (.667)
Game 6 record, NHL only, Finals round: 5-6 (.455)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1347 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and
MLB series played through the 2017 NHL and NBA Semifinals. Note in
general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a
particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding
winning fraction:
For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning
fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is
400-100 rather than 4-1.
HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading WWLLW @ HHVVH:
Considering win order; considering site order: The team leading WWLLW with site order HHVVH (Pittsburgh) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2017 NHL and NBA Semifinals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 92-13 (.876)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 9-4 (.692)
series record, NHL only, all rounds: 43-9 (.827)
series record, NHL only, Finals round: 7-3 (.700)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 65-40 (.619)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 6-7 (.462)
Game 6 record, NHL only, all rounds: 33-19 (.635)
Game 6 record, NHL only, Finals round: 4-6 (.400)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1347 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and
MLB series played through the 2017 NHL and NBA Semifinals. Note in
general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a
particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding
winning fraction:
For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning
fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is
400-100 rather than 4-1.
SERIES NOTES:
After Game 5: The Pittsburgh Penguins hosted and shut out the
Nashville Predators 6-goals-nil to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff
series 1334 lead of 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL
playoff series 3-games-2, the Pittsburgh Penguins have a series record
of 14-7 with an active four-series winning streak and a Game 6 record of
11-10. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2,
the Nashville Predators have a series record of 1-6 and a Game 6 record
of 2-5. The sole Nashville victory in the wake of a best-of-7 NHL
playoff series 3-games-2 deficit occurred in series 1293, in which the
Predators won Games 6-7 to defeat the Anaheim Ducks in the 2016 NHL
Preliminary round. Trailing a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 3-games-2,
the Nashville Predators have only a 2-5 Game 6 record, but have won
their last two Game 6s in this situation. In the history of best-of-7
NHL Finals series, teams such as Pittsburgh which post a WWLL @ HHVV
win/site order now own a sterling 12-0 Game 5 record. For teams such as
Pittsburgh which post a win/site order of WWLLW @ HHVVH through five
games of a best-of-7 NHL Finals series, their series record is 7-3;
whereas only one of the seven winners won Game 5 by a shutout, all three
of the three losers won Game 5 by shutout.
Whowins