Love the Hurricanes play! Im on the caps here tho. I feel the line is overinflated somewhat, but still think caps are a winner here. Willing to absorb some extra juice.
Love the Hurricanes play! Im on the caps here tho. I feel the line is overinflated somewhat, but still think caps are a winner here. Willing to absorb some extra juice.
Hey Kipper, I am a little leery on your numbers here. If you won 3 units on tam than you had to of risk 3.51 to win it, if your boston pick follows suit(and how your numbers have moved in the past) you bet 6.75 units on boston. If you lost .45 units according to your YTD, I can not come to those numbers of how you lost 3.45 units on Boston accordingly when you bet 3 units at -224. If you risked only 3 units than you would've broken even and if you bet 3 units you would've lost 3.72.
Up until this point your numbers have all jibed, I don't care if you calculate your overall gain differently, but I just want to know how you do it so I can understand your picks and outcomes and not find myself down 3.72 units while you are up .45 units when I agree and also place your picks.
Hey Kipper, I am a little leery on your numbers here. If you won 3 units on tam than you had to of risk 3.51 to win it, if your boston pick follows suit(and how your numbers have moved in the past) you bet 6.75 units on boston. If you lost .45 units according to your YTD, I can not come to those numbers of how you lost 3.45 units on Boston accordingly when you bet 3 units at -224. If you risked only 3 units than you would've broken even and if you bet 3 units you would've lost 3.72.
Up until this point your numbers have all jibed, I don't care if you calculate your overall gain differently, but I just want to know how you do it so I can understand your picks and outcomes and not find myself down 3.72 units while you are up .45 units when I agree and also place your picks.
Easy 3u is 3u no matter if the line is -200 or +200. If the line is off by 30 cents and you bet 6u on it you will find yourself in the hole very quickly
Doc Still watching, the line barely moved You should raise your stakes Doc
Easy 3u is 3u no matter if the line is -200 or +200. If the line is off by 30 cents and you bet 6u on it you will find yourself in the hole very quickly
Doc Still watching, the line barely moved You should raise your stakes Doc
So how did you end up down .45 last night if a unit is a unit? Please elaborate. So one note on that because now that I look back your gains do not make as much sense. Last Friday you took tor-111 and wpg+197(car pushed) you either lost 2 units or won +1.03 and you posted the next day up .83. So if you could give me the calculations of how you got the numbers from last night and last friday, I would really appreciate it. From what you said the +60 units you are up does not translate to your actual gains, once again I don't care about how much you are up for your sake, I just want to know how to interpret your posted YTD gains(u)
Anyway ducks capitals game is cancelled.
kipper approved picks:1-0-0
Car:So far this year the hurricanes on no rest have played well at home, but overall have had 5/10 draws.
NYR:Not that good in this situation I agree to pick against them. One thing to note is they played carolina twice last year on exra rest and both went to OT. If you have not noticed my obsession with OT, which I admit is exagerrated, but car+.5 is -140, ml +125. Thanks to the draw being +260 they are +110(+0), which looks to me to be what you are gonna take(though probably higher at your lines) and I agree with this one. I don't know if waiting will bump it up too much, but I'll give it a minute before placing.
So how did you end up down .45 last night if a unit is a unit? Please elaborate. So one note on that because now that I look back your gains do not make as much sense. Last Friday you took tor-111 and wpg+197(car pushed) you either lost 2 units or won +1.03 and you posted the next day up .83. So if you could give me the calculations of how you got the numbers from last night and last friday, I would really appreciate it. From what you said the +60 units you are up does not translate to your actual gains, once again I don't care about how much you are up for your sake, I just want to know how to interpret your posted YTD gains(u)
Anyway ducks capitals game is cancelled.
kipper approved picks:1-0-0
Car:So far this year the hurricanes on no rest have played well at home, but overall have had 5/10 draws.
NYR:Not that good in this situation I agree to pick against them. One thing to note is they played carolina twice last year on exra rest and both went to OT. If you have not noticed my obsession with OT, which I admit is exagerrated, but car+.5 is -140, ml +125. Thanks to the draw being +260 they are +110(+0), which looks to me to be what you are gonna take(though probably higher at your lines) and I agree with this one. I don't know if waiting will bump it up too much, but I'll give it a minute before placing.
So how did you end up down .45 last night if a unit is a unit? Please elaborate. So one note on that because now that I look back your gains do not make as much sense. Last Friday you took tor-111 and wpg+197(car pushed) you either lost 2 units or won +1.03 and you posted the next day up .83. So if you could give me the calculations of how you got the numbers from last night and last friday, I would really appreciate it. From what you said the +60 units you are up does not translate to your actual gains, once again I don't care about how much you are up for your sake, I just want to know how to interpret your posted YTD gains(u)
Anyway ducks capitals game is cancelled.
kipper approved picks:1-0-0
Car:So far this year the hurricanes on no rest have played well at home, but overall have had 5/10 draws.
NYR:Not that good in this situation I agree to pick against them. One thing to note is they played carolina twice last year on exra rest and both went to OT. If you have not noticed my obsession with OT, which I admit is exagerrated, but car+.5 is -140, ml +125. Thanks to the draw being +260 they are +110(+0), which looks to me to be what you are gonna take(though probably higher at your lines) and I agree with this one. I don't know if waiting will bump it up too much, but I'll give it a minute before placing.
First of all Kip, thanks for your work on this site.
I think the best way to clarify this is with the following question:
When you say a certain play is 1 unit are you saying:
So how did you end up down .45 last night if a unit is a unit? Please elaborate. So one note on that because now that I look back your gains do not make as much sense. Last Friday you took tor-111 and wpg+197(car pushed) you either lost 2 units or won +1.03 and you posted the next day up .83. So if you could give me the calculations of how you got the numbers from last night and last friday, I would really appreciate it. From what you said the +60 units you are up does not translate to your actual gains, once again I don't care about how much you are up for your sake, I just want to know how to interpret your posted YTD gains(u)
Anyway ducks capitals game is cancelled.
kipper approved picks:1-0-0
Car:So far this year the hurricanes on no rest have played well at home, but overall have had 5/10 draws.
NYR:Not that good in this situation I agree to pick against them. One thing to note is they played carolina twice last year on exra rest and both went to OT. If you have not noticed my obsession with OT, which I admit is exagerrated, but car+.5 is -140, ml +125. Thanks to the draw being +260 they are +110(+0), which looks to me to be what you are gonna take(though probably higher at your lines) and I agree with this one. I don't know if waiting will bump it up too much, but I'll give it a minute before placing.
First of all Kip, thanks for your work on this site.
I think the best way to clarify this is with the following question:
When you say a certain play is 1 unit are you saying:
Thanks for the clarification I had a few assumptions that were inccorrect. You always risk the amount, and your unit is high enough that it allows you to risk that amount for favorites even at 1 unit. Now it all makes sense, thanks=)
Thanks for the clarification I had a few assumptions that were inccorrect. You always risk the amount, and your unit is high enough that it allows you to risk that amount for favorites even at 1 unit. Now it all makes sense, thanks=)
I took car +0 +110 and fla+0 +105, I think today will be a good day we finally both agree on everything. Last time this happened was late december when you picked pit 2u tor 2u and nsh 1u with a 2-0-1 result so gl:) I had to up the bets to get the +0 so let's get ir done!
I took car +0 +110 and fla+0 +105, I think today will be a good day we finally both agree on everything. Last time this happened was late december when you picked pit 2u tor 2u and nsh 1u with a 2-0-1 result so gl:) I had to up the bets to get the +0 so let's get ir done!
Degenerate H. Lundqvist vs No name goalie and Stanley Cup final team vs No playoff team And Chicago is Chicago, they never lose, right? Winners vs losers basically. But those losers win just enough to make a profit. That is how Vegas works.
Easy Great price on FLA. I´ll take one win one push
Degenerate H. Lundqvist vs No name goalie and Stanley Cup final team vs No playoff team And Chicago is Chicago, they never lose, right? Winners vs losers basically. But those losers win just enough to make a profit. That is how Vegas works.
Easy Great price on FLA. I´ll take one win one push
I know this is out of line, as the bets are placed and I am happy with the card. But thought just for a gentleman's bet, what is your thought on the avalanche? I think +105 for them at home in this position gives them value. I think col has the edge in OT tonight being at home. Anyway col+.5 is -160, which obviously has less value, but I personally like it. What is your take on col+.5 at -160? Do you care to take me up on that just for fun? Also looking at the 5 gms tonight I think there will be at least 2 OT gms, as we close into the allstar break I can't help, but to sense the draws should start flooding the market any day now. As I have gave up on the draw chase I can only speculate and throw out my prediction of over 1.5 draws tonight haha thank gosh I only place things when we both agree otherwise I would be all over the place as you see=p
I know this is out of line, as the bets are placed and I am happy with the card. But thought just for a gentleman's bet, what is your thought on the avalanche? I think +105 for them at home in this position gives them value. I think col has the edge in OT tonight being at home. Anyway col+.5 is -160, which obviously has less value, but I personally like it. What is your take on col+.5 at -160? Do you care to take me up on that just for fun? Also looking at the 5 gms tonight I think there will be at least 2 OT gms, as we close into the allstar break I can't help, but to sense the draws should start flooding the market any day now. As I have gave up on the draw chase I can only speculate and throw out my prediction of over 1.5 draws tonight haha thank gosh I only place things when we both agree otherwise I would be all over the place as you see=p
Easy Discipline is your friend here I do like the Blues tonight they are rolling right now and I feel they have beaten more quality opponents lately. But I suck at picking winners There is just not enough value on either side. Besides I´m no fan of Roy, I think he is a terrible coach. Or maybe it is the Red Wings fan in me who dislikes Colorado. IDK. But I say it again: Roy is not one of my favorite coaches
Easy Discipline is your friend here I do like the Blues tonight they are rolling right now and I feel they have beaten more quality opponents lately. But I suck at picking winners There is just not enough value on either side. Besides I´m no fan of Roy, I think he is a terrible coach. Or maybe it is the Red Wings fan in me who dislikes Colorado. IDK. But I say it again: Roy is not one of my favorite coaches
Haha thanks I appreciate the tip, That is why I don't make picks without someone else to back them up anymore. I am still uneasy when it comes to placing the +0 sometimes because I always want to take the +.5 because I used to be dependent on the draws, which knocked me down the past two years more units than you are up! I trust your intuition on this gm, it gets a lot harder to hit winners when OT is on the table, I have pondered at how your results would differ if you always took the -.5 instead of the +0. It is impossible to calculate retrogressively, but in this past month just eyeing it out looks like you would most likely of won a few more units. It all depends on how many OT's you hit and since I have followed it has been a little under 20%. I guess you are sheltered from the OT storm, which sometimes blizzards on the nhl like a snowball to the ping pongs while other times lays quiescent like Garfield in a lasagna pan. The lack of draws this season I think is the only reason why -.5 would've benefited you this so far, but is unpredictable. Anyway keep up the good work I think your luck turns around today and gives you some momentum to finish up this below avg month. GL
Haha thanks I appreciate the tip, That is why I don't make picks without someone else to back them up anymore. I am still uneasy when it comes to placing the +0 sometimes because I always want to take the +.5 because I used to be dependent on the draws, which knocked me down the past two years more units than you are up! I trust your intuition on this gm, it gets a lot harder to hit winners when OT is on the table, I have pondered at how your results would differ if you always took the -.5 instead of the +0. It is impossible to calculate retrogressively, but in this past month just eyeing it out looks like you would most likely of won a few more units. It all depends on how many OT's you hit and since I have followed it has been a little under 20%. I guess you are sheltered from the OT storm, which sometimes blizzards on the nhl like a snowball to the ping pongs while other times lays quiescent like Garfield in a lasagna pan. The lack of draws this season I think is the only reason why -.5 would've benefited you this so far, but is unpredictable. Anyway keep up the good work I think your luck turns around today and gives you some momentum to finish up this below avg month. GL
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