Considering win order; ignoring site order: The team leading WWWL irrespective of site order (Tampa Bay) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2015 NHL and NBA Preliminary rounds:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 116-5 (.959)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Quarterfinals round: 40-2 (.952)
series record, NHL only, all rounds: 64-4 (.941)
series record, NHL only, Quarterfinals round: 21-2 (.913)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 85-36 (.702)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, Quarterfinals round: 32-10 (.762)
Game 5 record, NHL only, all rounds: 48-20 (.706)
Game 5 record, NHL only, Quarterfinals round: 16-7 (.696)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1269 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and
MLB series played through the 2015 NHL and NBA Preliminary rounds. Note
in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a
particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding
winning fraction:
For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning
fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is
400-100 rather than 4-1.
HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading WWWL @ VVHH:
Considering win order; considering site order: The team leading WWWL with site order VVHH (Tampa Bay) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2015 NHL and NBA Preliminary rounds:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 18-1 (.947)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Quarterfinals round: 5-0 (1.000)
series record, NHL only, all rounds: 14-1 (.933)
series record, NHL only, Quarterfinals round: 5-0 (1.000)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 11-8 (.579)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, Quarterfinals round: 4-1 (.800)
Game 5 record, NHL only, all rounds: 9-6 (.600)
Game 5 record, NHL only, Quarterfinals round: 4-1 (.800)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1269 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and
MLB series played through the 2015 NHL and NBA Preliminary rounds. Note
in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a
particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding
winning fraction:
For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning
fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is
400-100 rather than 4-1.
SERIES NOTES:
After Game 4: The Montreal Canadiens visited and defeated the
Tampa Bay Lightning 6-goals-2 to reduce the Tampa Bay Lightning
best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 1262 lead to 3-games-1. When leading a
best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Tampa Bay Lightning
have a series record of 1-0 and a Game 5 record of 1-0. When trailing a
best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Montreal Canadiens
have a series record of 2-16 and a Game 5 record of 8-10. Series 1262
has become the 16th best-of-7 NHL playoff series in which the team
leading 3-games-nil lost Game 4 on home ice, and the first in which the
road team began the scoring with five consecutive goals. The
previous Game 4 standard by the road team down 3-games-nil in this
regard had been set in series 384 Game 4 (the Buffalo Sabres at the
Minnesota North Stars in the 1981 NHL Quarterfinals), series 970 Game 4
(the Mighty Ducks of Anaheim at the Edmonton Oilers in the 2006 NHL
Semifinals), and series 1002 Game 4 (Buffalo at the Ottawa Senators in
the 2007 NHL Semifinals), in which the road team began the scoring with three consecutive goals.