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Author: [NHL Betting] Topic: World Junior Hockey Championship picks -- 12/27-01/05
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#1
Posted: 12/26/2012 8:05:20 AM
2013 World Juniors record: 1-1 (+0.2 units) (results pending on Slovakia vs Russia game)

Going to post all my WJHC picks here until the end of the tournament! Hope everyone is as excited as I am about real live hockey again!

December 27 picks:

#1: 1 unit @ +100
Switzerland vs Latvia +2.5

#2: 1 unit @ +105
USA -5.5
vs Germany
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#2
Posted: 12/27/2012 4:10:18 AM
WJHC 2013 record: 1-2 (-0.8 units)

December 28 picks:

#1: 1 unit @ +100
Finland vs Czech Republic O6.5 goals

#2: 1 unit @ -149
Canada -4.5 vs Slovakia
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#3
Posted: 12/27/2012 5:08:15 AM
Adding to Dec. 27 picks:

#3: 1 unit @ +115
Switzerland vs Latvia O7.5 goals
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#4
Posted: 12/27/2012 5:17:33 AM
And might as well fully commit to Latvia

#4: 0.2 units @ +550
Switzerland vs Latvia
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#5
Posted: 12/27/2012 6:24:43 PM
Updated WJHC record: 3-4 (+0.2 units)

Adding to Dec. 28 picks:

#3: 1 unit @ -118
Canada -4.5 vs Slovakia

Missed the mark with my original wager on Canada with such drastic line movement.

Still don't know what to make of Sweden and their ravished D...My gut says they still cover the spread but Swissies have Richard and Andrighetto off to firing starts.

Will likely be on USA +0.5 line as well but I'm going to wait it out this time and see which direction the line moves (can't afford to keep bleeding value left and right like I did in today's USA -5.5 line and possibly tomorrow's Canada -4.5 line!)
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#6
Posted: 12/27/2012 6:34:29 PM
Like USA to win heavy juice though. BOL man 
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#7
Posted: 12/27/2012 7:23:07 PM
Thanks ats_mike

Hard to see the USA line getting any juicier but guess ya never know with these crazy line movements!
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#8
Posted: 12/27/2012 11:39:46 PM
Good Value on USA tonight.  I just hope Russia wasn't playing Possum in game one.

GL
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#9
Posted: 12/27/2012 11:53:08 PM
Cmon the Russians are sleeping until the games matter. I think they will be up for this.

Galchenyuk choosing to play for the USA instead of Russia = extra motivation?

I hate that these games are so early. This should be a great game.
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#10
Posted: 12/28/2012 6:21:26 AM
Adding to Dec. 28 picks:

#4: 1 unit @ -139
Sweden vs Switzerland O6.5 goals

#5: 1 unit @ -118
Russia vs USA U6.5 goals
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#11
Posted: 12/28/2012 12:57:32 PM
Updated WJHC record: 4-8 (-2.9 units) (-26.29% ROI%)

WJHC Statistics at half-way point of Round robin stage:

5-5 (Faves vs Dogs)
4-6 (Over/Under)

December 29 picks:

#1: 1 unit @ -139
Latvia vs Sweden O7.5 goals

#2: 1 unit @ -139
Russia -4.5 vs Germany

Players to Watch:

Latvia:
- Roberts Lipsbergs (2GP 0G 0A 0Pts 4SOG)
- Teodors Blugers (2GP 0G 0A 0Pts 5SOG)

Sweden:
- Filip Forsberg (2GP 1G 0A 1Pts 16SOG)

Russia:
- Nail Yakupov (2GP 0G 2A 2Pts 2SOG)
- Mikhail Grigorenko (2GP 0G 1A 10SOG)

Germany:
- Nobody
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#12
Posted: 12/28/2012 3:17:46 PM
Colberg for Sweden is another player to watch. He has been much more impressive than Forsberg so far.
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#13
Posted: 12/28/2012 3:48:26 PM
Collberg has been great so far this year. Forsberg on the other hand, 16SOG yet only 1 goal so far? Fortunately he's going up against Division A's resident punching bag tomorrow at least...

Re Yakupov: wouldn't have been believable at the start of this year's WJHC to see Yakupov only having 2pt after 2 games played after him scoring 80 goals in 107 OHL games and 10 goals in 22 KHL games...Fortunately for Russia, they're 2-0 despite Yakupov's early struggles (and for that matter Grigorenko's early struggles). I think Russia will capitalize on their opportunity to tune up against Division B's resident slump-busters Germany before taking on Canada next...
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#14
Posted: 12/29/2012 11:27:15 AM
Ugh, Forsberg with another only OK game (2 second assists today). Had to put things into damage control mode via making an in-game wager on Sweden -2.5 5 mins into 3rd period when it was 2-1 Sweden

Updated WJHC record: 5-9 (-3.2 units) (-24.42% ROI%)

December 30 picks:

#1: 1 unit @ +110
Finland vs Switzerland O6.5 goals

#2: 1 unit @ -143
Canada vs USA +1.5

#3: 1 unit @ +185
Canada vs USA ML
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#15
Posted: 12/30/2012 12:25:03 PM
Updated WJHC record: 7-10 (-2.4 units)

December 31 picks:

#1: 1 unit @ +120
Switzerland vs Czech Republic -0.5

#2: 1 unit @ +115
USA vs Slovakia O7.5 goals

#3: 1 unit @ -111
Sweden -0.5 vs Finland
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#16
Posted: 12/31/2012 8:44:32 AM
Adding to Dec. 31 picks:

#4: 1 unit @ +105
Russia vs Canada O6.5 goals
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#17
Posted: 12/31/2012 8:51:10 AM
BOL I'm on the other side based on the game Subban had vs the Americans. Hot Goalie gimmie the under.
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#18
Posted: 12/31/2012 9:01:11 AM
Thanks brydensuits, BOL too

It's certainly one of those games where at the end of it, we're either scratching our heads wondering "WTF was I thinking going against two hot goalies" or "there was never a doubt RNH, Yakupov etc. would light it up"


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#19
Posted: 1/1/2013 3:01:17 PM
Updated WJHC record: 9-12 (-2.4 units) (-11.74% ROI%)

Final Round Robin Stage Statistics:

9-11 (Faves vs Dogs as ATS)
9-11 (Over/Under)

Group A:

Sweden (1-3 ATS) (1-3 O/U)
Czech Republic (3-1 ATS) (1-3 O/U)
Switzerland (4-0 ATS) (2-2 O/U)
Finland (0-4 ATS) (2-2 O/U)
Latvia (3-1 ATS) (1-3 O/U)

Group B:

Canada (2-2 ATS) (2-2 O/U)
Russia (2-2 ATS) (1-3 O/U)
USA (3-1 ATS) (2-2 O/U)
Slovakia (2-2 ATS) (2-2 O/U)
Germany (1-3 ATS) (3-1 O/U)

Leans:

Czech Republic vs USA -2.5 & O6.5 goals

Finland -2.5 & O6.5 goals vs Germany

Russia -2.5 & O6.5 goals vs Switzerland

Probably going to wait out the USA and Russia lines as I think Czechs and Swiss will get a lot of action leading up to game time...Will lock in Finland wagers shortly...
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#20
Posted: 1/1/2013 4:52:37 PM
Im with you on these lines...they are awfully tight, if they dont change i may pass on tomorrow
Im leaning towards US -2.5
And swiss +2.5
Posted using a mobile device.
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#21
Posted: 1/1/2013 6:41:58 PM
January 2 picks:

#1: 1 unit @ -143
Finland -2.5 vs Germany

#2: 1 unit @ -125
Finland vs Germany O6.5 goals

Going to be tough to pull trigger on Overs against the two best goalies in the tournament (Gibson and Vasilevski)...
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#22
Posted: 1/2/2013 2:12:31 AM
Adding to Jan. 2 picks:

#3: 1 unit @ -133
Czech Republic vs USA O6.5 goals

#4: 1 unit @ +110
Czech Republic vs USA -2.5

Laying off Russia game after unfavourable line movement (-114 to -125)

Not surprising to see lines juiced heavily after books took such a beating this week in WJHC...
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#23
Posted: 1/2/2013 3:43:36 AM
What makes you think that the USA will cover ?
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#24
Posted: 1/2/2013 7:32:11 AM
Adding to Jan. 2 picks:

#4: 1 unit @ +100
Russia -2.5 vs Switzerland
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#25
Posted: 1/2/2013 7:39:55 AM
Oops, that's play #5

OnlyGod, I didn't like the fact that the Czechs took key penalties in their last game vs Switzerland to allow the Swiss back in that game...I thought they were getting a bit too loose in that sense. Keep in mind, the Czechs were 1:59 away from going 4 straight Unders before that collapse which would have had them feeling great going into the QF round.

Before their game against USA, I thought penalties would continue to be an issue for them and USA isn't a team you want to give man advantages away to...
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