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Author: [NHL Betting] Topic: It's that time again......The Lippsman split
Lippsman
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#1
Posted: 4/8/2012 8:05:48 AM

Tried and true and very much copied on the net too.

Betcha' you didn't know I was a poet ?

I started this back in the days of Q-Link, before it was called AOL. Posted it back in 1986 when you accessed online with a dial up modem.

The whole goal is to win the first dog play in series. But if you don't get that first game then you play for the split on the 2nd one. I look for at least a +120 payback. There can be no injuries to any of your 1st liners. You win the first one you walk away. You lose the first then play the dog in the 2nd one. Don't chase....don't chase....don't chase.

This is for the first two games in the series only.

This reason it works well most seasons if that in the NHL as most playoffs, the teams play a much better D than usual. So a lower scoring game gives a boost to the dog. Also being just the first two games the teams don't usually take any chances and err on the side of caution.

Now there are variations that I do not reccomend but they are out there and well.....they have been know to turn a profit.

1. Chasing the first game on a loss.......I hate chasing and it's too much of a risk.

2. If the dog wins the first game you take the fave in the 2nd one. I willl play this sometimes. But it's juiced more than -140. Which it usually is, then of couse I play the -1 line. You notice I didn't mention the regulation line. That's because there is just too much of a chance of OT in the playoffs. Don't play regulation lines. Play the -1.

You will notice this has a twinge of how I play the first few weeks of the season, by taking dogs of +125 or more. Don't forget that in pucks, home ice really doesn't mean squat. Use that to your advantage.

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#2
Posted: 4/8/2012 8:24:22 AM
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#3
Posted: 4/8/2012 8:54:42 AM
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#4
Posted: 4/8/2012 9:14:38 AM
Tks
Posted using a mobile device.
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#5
Posted: 4/8/2012 11:26:30 AM

 

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#6
Posted: 4/8/2012 12:13:15 PM
Thanks Lippsman
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#7
Posted: 4/8/2012 1:54:21 PM

Tried and true and very much copied on the net too.

not just copied on the net. I have heard the term "Lippsman Split" at various sportsbooks here in Las Vegas

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#8
Posted: 4/8/2012 5:30:22 PM
BOL on it again this year LIPPS!
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#9
Posted: 4/8/2012 6:22:30 PM
It does seem that home ice doesn't matter nearly as much as other sports with the exception of game 7's in the finals.
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#10
Posted: 4/8/2012 6:22:47 PM
Great Read
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#11
Posted: 4/8/2012 6:32:57 PM
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#12
Posted: 4/8/2012 8:14:37 PM

Been doing this every year  for way to many years to count (except for the last year due to no internet).  Will do again this year.  Thanks Lippsman for all you do.

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#13
Posted: 4/8/2012 11:29:50 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Carelli:

Been doing this every year  for way to many years to count (except for the last year due to no internet).  Will do again this year.  Thanks Lippsman for all you do.

Great to see you over here Carelli ?  Are you back stateside now ?

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#14
Posted: 4/8/2012 11:35:39 PM

if i remember correctly last year it started off not looking good then eventually ended up coming out ahead correct  ?

 

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#15
Posted: 4/9/2012 7:59:10 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by IHIOUSE:

if i remember correctly last year it started off not looking good then eventually ended up coming out ahead correct  ?

 

You nailed it !!!!

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#16
Posted: 4/9/2012 8:12:46 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Lippsman:

Great to see you over here Carelli ?  Are you back stateside now ?

 

Arrive in St Louis late on Thursday.  I can't wait.  First time on US soil in almost 4 years.  I forgot what a Big Mac taste like.  Is it still greasy and messy and the best thing around?

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#17
Posted: 4/9/2012 9:32:11 AM

been following this for a few years now and will be on it again this year.............

GL to all in the playoffs,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 

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#18
Posted: 4/9/2012 11:45:48 AM
PENGUINS/REDWINGS - STANLEY CUP RUBBER MATCH
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Lippsman
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#19
Posted: 4/9/2012 1:39:17 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Carelli:

 

Arrive in St Louis late on Thursday.  I can't wait.  First time on US soil in almost 4 years.  I forgot what a Big Mac taste like.  Is it still greasy and messy and the best thing around?

I'm afraid it is for sure.

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#20
Posted: 4/9/2012 2:44:11 PM
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#21
Posted: 4/9/2012 4:50:37 PM
i learned the hard way taking home favs in game one, first round.
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#22
Posted: 4/9/2012 10:37:57 PM

Lippsman, will you be posting the plays?  I know it sounds simple but just wanted to verify that I am doing it correctly.  Thanks man

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#23
Posted: 4/9/2012 10:41:11 PM
Lippsman how many units would you say you have made over the years on just this strategy?
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#24
Posted: 4/9/2012 10:45:59 PM
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Lippsman
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#25
Posted: 4/9/2012 11:24:54 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by fsutomahawk:

Lippsman how many units would you say you have made over the years on just this strategy?

Oh hell that's a long time to remember. . It makes money almost every year and the years it doesn't it's almost a break even or a few unit loss. 

The thing that burns most people is they can't stick to the guidelines

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