Horrible start. Simply think I'm looking at too many games. Gonna try to narrow my focus and work on capping just a couple teams for the time being.
One game jumps out at me, as it did with pretty much everyone: Pens/Jets. On paper it looks like a juicy matchup to take Pitt in regulation or PL. There are a lot of stats that can illustrate the disparity in talent between the 2 teams, but the fact of the matter is that Pitt, for the most part, has been running like the well-oiled machine everyone expected them to be. Winnipeg simply has been outmatched in every single game they've played. We can't expect this trend to continue all the time, however you can't help but project that a highly skilled, disciplined, defensively-responsible team like Pittsburgh will wipe the floor with a Jets team that has little scoring depth, horrible special teams, average at best goaltending, and maybe the worst defense in the entire league. The Jets look every bit the part of the team in flux.
Horrible start. Simply think I'm looking at too many games. Gonna try to narrow my focus and work on capping just a couple teams for the time being.
One game jumps out at me, as it did with pretty much everyone: Pens/Jets. On paper it looks like a juicy matchup to take Pitt in regulation or PL. There are a lot of stats that can illustrate the disparity in talent between the 2 teams, but the fact of the matter is that Pitt, for the most part, has been running like the well-oiled machine everyone expected them to be. Winnipeg simply has been outmatched in every single game they've played. We can't expect this trend to continue all the time, however you can't help but project that a highly skilled, disciplined, defensively-responsible team like Pittsburgh will wipe the floor with a Jets team that has little scoring depth, horrible special teams, average at best goaltending, and maybe the worst defense in the entire league. The Jets look every bit the part of the team in flux.
That link above is the in-game thread from the Jets/Coyotes thread. Judging from the commenters, the Jets might be more incompetent than even Ottawa.
Probably the most telling comment is when one commenter questions how the Jets managed to be .500 last year. Another commenter answers back with what I think is the most insightful info on Winnipeg: last year's coach Craig Ramsay played a very aggressive system to generate more offense, which mean the defense would play up and pinch more, and the forwards would more aggressively forecheck. This has a two-fold effect: more scoring, and it hides their defense's incompetence. New coach Claude Noel is trying to play a more defensive game, but they simply don't have the personnel for that. The end result is what we're seeing: reduced offense, low puck possession, high turnover rate, overmatched defense not being able to clear the zone.
I do really think the Jets can turn it around, but Pittsburgh simply isn't the team I think they'll be successful against. Pitt has too stingy of a defense, a far deeper offense (with or without Malkin) thanks to Neal and Kennedy's emergences, a far-improved power play to go along with an already excellent PK, and the biggest strength, their forechecking. Pitt is simply gonna grind down on Winnipeg's defense, and the turnover machine is gonna keep on rolling.
That link above is the in-game thread from the Jets/Coyotes thread. Judging from the commenters, the Jets might be more incompetent than even Ottawa.
Probably the most telling comment is when one commenter questions how the Jets managed to be .500 last year. Another commenter answers back with what I think is the most insightful info on Winnipeg: last year's coach Craig Ramsay played a very aggressive system to generate more offense, which mean the defense would play up and pinch more, and the forwards would more aggressively forecheck. This has a two-fold effect: more scoring, and it hides their defense's incompetence. New coach Claude Noel is trying to play a more defensive game, but they simply don't have the personnel for that. The end result is what we're seeing: reduced offense, low puck possession, high turnover rate, overmatched defense not being able to clear the zone.
I do really think the Jets can turn it around, but Pittsburgh simply isn't the team I think they'll be successful against. Pitt has too stingy of a defense, a far deeper offense (with or without Malkin) thanks to Neal and Kennedy's emergences, a far-improved power play to go along with an already excellent PK, and the biggest strength, their forechecking. Pitt is simply gonna grind down on Winnipeg's defense, and the turnover machine is gonna keep on rolling.
And yes. Pitt is the pick for me. I simply cannot find any reason to convince myself to take a horrible Winnipeg team. This is gonna be a PIT -1 or PIT -1.5 pick. There's gonna be a LOT of juice to reduce, folks.
And yes. Pitt is the pick for me. I simply cannot find any reason to convince myself to take a horrible Winnipeg team. This is gonna be a PIT -1 or PIT -1.5 pick. There's gonna be a LOT of juice to reduce, folks.
It's gonna be -200 and above. No question in my mind. This is a mismatch of the highest order. Books are gonna have to overinflate the line to make anyone even think of looking at Winnipeg.
It's gonna be -200 and above. No question in my mind. This is a mismatch of the highest order. Books are gonna have to overinflate the line to make anyone even think of looking at Winnipeg.
It's going to be a long season for the Jets. If the Jets were going to win their first game of the season, I thought it would have been against the Coyotes the other night. There's a certain amount of irony in the new Jets team beating the team that used to be the old Jets.
Anyways, I'm running cold in NHL this week. Went 0-5 on Saturday. Got some of it back today with Anaheim and the NFL.
I think the Jets/Pens game would be too juicy, but I'll take a look at it when the line comes out. GL with your picks tomorrow
It's going to be a long season for the Jets. If the Jets were going to win their first game of the season, I thought it would have been against the Coyotes the other night. There's a certain amount of irony in the new Jets team beating the team that used to be the old Jets.
Anyways, I'm running cold in NHL this week. Went 0-5 on Saturday. Got some of it back today with Anaheim and the NFL.
I think the Jets/Pens game would be too juicy, but I'll take a look at it when the line comes out. GL with your picks tomorrow
Okay, is there something Vegas knows that I don't? Right now, ML on PIT is sitting at -120. The only thing I see is that Malkin did not make the trip. Seems like a huge overreaction on Vegas' part. Pens have been playing a lot this year without Malkin, and they've still looked great without him.
Not sure if I'm gonna go PL, or maybe put a little each on ML and -1 lines, but I'm playing the Pens today.
Okay, is there something Vegas knows that I don't? Right now, ML on PIT is sitting at -120. The only thing I see is that Malkin did not make the trip. Seems like a huge overreaction on Vegas' part. Pens have been playing a lot this year without Malkin, and they've still looked great without him.
Not sure if I'm gonna go PL, or maybe put a little each on ML and -1 lines, but I'm playing the Pens today.
Updating my thread. Made 2 bets on the Pens early in the morning today when the lines came out. Only two plays are as follows:
PIT ML -116
PIT -1.5 +255
This was before announcements of E. Kane, Kennedy, and Malkin being out. I now have a little less faith in PIT covering the 2 goals, but I still think they pull this one out.
Updating my thread. Made 2 bets on the Pens early in the morning today when the lines came out. Only two plays are as follows:
PIT ML -116
PIT -1.5 +255
This was before announcements of E. Kane, Kennedy, and Malkin being out. I now have a little less faith in PIT covering the 2 goals, but I still think they pull this one out.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so. It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly. Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality. Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it. As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.