PHI (1-2) vs. DET (2-1) (-3 1/2), over/under 214 1/2:
Before I get into the pick, is Joel Embiid playing? I think he is, but I just wanted to know. They don't have him listed as out on vegasinsider.com where I do a lot of research and they usually list who is out so I guess he is playing. Plain and simple, Philadelphia is just a bad team even though they have been drafting top players for years now. They just don't play well together it seems like they don't gel, and they are winless so far with a pretty talented roster. Embiid can make a difference though and if he is playing they could stay in this game and have a chance to win. They will need better play from their guards to stay in this game. Detroit has a talented roster and Tobias Harris is playing great, the addition of Avery Bradley gives them a veteran presence, Reggie Jackson is solid, and Andre Drummond is a great center. I'm a little weary of Philadelphia coming in here and stealing one, but I feel like they are already sleep walking through this season. Detroit is focused, and although the game may be close, I see them remaining focused and winning this game. There may be something to taking the ML in this game because Detroit could win buy a point. Talent is great, and Philadelphia has a lot of talent, but they just don't have the grit to be a good team. Look for Philly to tank again this season, and get another top draft pick. Detroit will win this game, and if they stay focused, they can easily win by 7-8 if not more. They will protect their home court and cover. PLAY: DET -3 1/2
PHI (1-2) vs. DET (2-1) (-3 1/2), over/under 214 1/2:
Before I get into the pick, is Joel Embiid playing? I think he is, but I just wanted to know. They don't have him listed as out on vegasinsider.com where I do a lot of research and they usually list who is out so I guess he is playing. Plain and simple, Philadelphia is just a bad team even though they have been drafting top players for years now. They just don't play well together it seems like they don't gel, and they are winless so far with a pretty talented roster. Embiid can make a difference though and if he is playing they could stay in this game and have a chance to win. They will need better play from their guards to stay in this game. Detroit has a talented roster and Tobias Harris is playing great, the addition of Avery Bradley gives them a veteran presence, Reggie Jackson is solid, and Andre Drummond is a great center. I'm a little weary of Philadelphia coming in here and stealing one, but I feel like they are already sleep walking through this season. Detroit is focused, and although the game may be close, I see them remaining focused and winning this game. There may be something to taking the ML in this game because Detroit could win buy a point. Talent is great, and Philadelphia has a lot of talent, but they just don't have the grit to be a good team. Look for Philly to tank again this season, and get another top draft pick. Detroit will win this game, and if they stay focused, they can easily win by 7-8 if not more. They will protect their home court and cover. PLAY: DET -3 1/2
Had a huge writeup but then took another look at the line for this game, and to me it's very apparent there are two very easy picks in this game. The first is the over 203 1/2. I believe they will go over this total fairly easily, even though line movement is going down. I'm not following this and I'm going with the over. Also, the better play between which side is Atlanta +12. If I am wrong on these picks, I will be really interested in seeing what the outcome is. These picks look easy, you know what that means. But I'm not changing them. I also think ATL +675 is worth putting some money on. It's already going down, which is a sign they opened up the line with too much value, so I'd grab it as soon as you can. That is all on this game good luck on the plays. OVER 203 1/2 and ATL +12.
Had a huge writeup but then took another look at the line for this game, and to me it's very apparent there are two very easy picks in this game. The first is the over 203 1/2. I believe they will go over this total fairly easily, even though line movement is going down. I'm not following this and I'm going with the over. Also, the better play between which side is Atlanta +12. If I am wrong on these picks, I will be really interested in seeing what the outcome is. These picks look easy, you know what that means. But I'm not changing them. I also think ATL +675 is worth putting some money on. It's already going down, which is a sign they opened up the line with too much value, so I'd grab it as soon as you can. That is all on this game good luck on the plays. OVER 203 1/2 and ATL +12.
Memphis (2-0) vs. Houston (3-0) (-7 1/2), o/u 212 1/2
Houston is at home, but Memphis will play them close. Houston without Chris Paul, could be for a while, so Harden will be at point. Eric Gordon has been electric this year and is a solid SG. Capela and Nene at center gives the teams options on who is on the court. But this team obviously comes down to Harden. I believe the Grizzlies have a rough go of things tonight and Houston covers the 7 1/2, very closely, winning by 8 or 9. I don't think Marc Gasol is going to be able t carry Memphis in this one, and Conley is good but it won't be enough. I also think the way the season has started, this game will go over the 212 1/2. PLAYS: HOU -7 1/2 and over 212 1/2.
Memphis (2-0) vs. Houston (3-0) (-7 1/2), o/u 212 1/2
Houston is at home, but Memphis will play them close. Houston without Chris Paul, could be for a while, so Harden will be at point. Eric Gordon has been electric this year and is a solid SG. Capela and Nene at center gives the teams options on who is on the court. But this team obviously comes down to Harden. I believe the Grizzlies have a rough go of things tonight and Houston covers the 7 1/2, very closely, winning by 8 or 9. I don't think Marc Gasol is going to be able t carry Memphis in this one, and Conley is good but it won't be enough. I also think the way the season has started, this game will go over the 212 1/2. PLAYS: HOU -7 1/2 and over 212 1/2.
*Note: I would love to hear what people think of Atlanta tonight. They look like they are awful now that I take a second look. I could possiblysee Miami winning this game by 12. Just the way things go in the NBA.
*Note: I would love to hear what people think of Atlanta tonight. They look like they are awful now that I take a second look. I could possiblysee Miami winning this game by 12. Just the way things go in the NBA.
Charlotte (1-1) vs. Milwaukee (2-1) (-6 1/2) o/u 204 1/2
Milwaukee should be optimistic about their season starting off 2-1, beating the Celtics and Trail Blazers. Charlotte lost to Detroit but beat the Hawks at home. Giannis Antetokounmpo is ABSOLUTELY A BEAST (sorry), averaging 38.3 ppg so far and I think we could see a scoring average we haven't seen in a while coming from this guy, and he has a nice supporting cast around him with Brogdon, I think the play in this game is Milwaukee -6 1/2, over 204 1/2.
Charlotte (1-1) vs. Milwaukee (2-1) (-6 1/2) o/u 204 1/2
Milwaukee should be optimistic about their season starting off 2-1, beating the Celtics and Trail Blazers. Charlotte lost to Detroit but beat the Hawks at home. Giannis Antetokounmpo is ABSOLUTELY A BEAST (sorry), averaging 38.3 ppg so far and I think we could see a scoring average we haven't seen in a while coming from this guy, and he has a nice supporting cast around him with Brogdon, I think the play in this game is Milwaukee -6 1/2, over 204 1/2.
No whiteside for Miami, no Schroeder for ATL. I like the points but no way does Atlanta deserve a moneyline bet.
Atlanta could hang around and make it interesting, or we could see Miami blow em out. I'm not sure which one I think yet. The total is a GIMME in my opinion though, they will score that tonight.
No whiteside for Miami, no Schroeder for ATL. I like the points but no way does Atlanta deserve a moneyline bet.
Atlanta could hang around and make it interesting, or we could see Miami blow em out. I'm not sure which one I think yet. The total is a GIMME in my opinion though, they will score that tonight.
First impression is to take Golden State -11 1/2. Dallas lost games at home to the Hawks and Kings and on the road against Houston, and they also didn't prove anything in the preseason that would make you think they are a good team. This is not a playoff team, that is very apparent. Until I see something different, I have to take Golden State in this game. They are 1-2 this year, and clearly they are just taking things easy right now, not wanting to peak too early. They lost to the Rockets by 1 and the Grizzlies by 10. Another road game, you might think it's worth taking Dallas, and I generally agree. However, when Golden State does beat teams, they have no problem keeping their foot on the gas right to the end and for this reason I think they cover.
First impression is to take Golden State -11 1/2. Dallas lost games at home to the Hawks and Kings and on the road against Houston, and they also didn't prove anything in the preseason that would make you think they are a good team. This is not a playoff team, that is very apparent. Until I see something different, I have to take Golden State in this game. They are 1-2 this year, and clearly they are just taking things easy right now, not wanting to peak too early. They lost to the Rockets by 1 and the Grizzlies by 10. Another road game, you might think it's worth taking Dallas, and I generally agree. However, when Golden State does beat teams, they have no problem keeping their foot on the gas right to the end and for this reason I think they cover.
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