WARRIORS @ SPURS: GAME 3!!! The Mad Genius....

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Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: WARRIORS @ SPURS: GAME 3!!! The Mad Genius....
scalabrine PM scalabrine
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Posted: 5/19/2017 12:03:20 AM
29-31 

2017 Playoffs: 10-6

The pick:

Warriors -6 over Spurs


I'll keep this short because no one needs a Bible on why the Warriors will win. (Just kidding, it won't be short ).

1. "Anything you can do I can do better"

I'm plagiarizing this angle from BegginerBoy. He saw, early on, that these 2 teams could go 12-0 into the finals. Many of us, including me, gave him a smile and a hand wave. Well here we are a mere 5 games away with Lebron turning his back to players like Kelly and scoring with ease, and the Warriors dropping 136 on the Spurs.

The Cavs are likely going to roll the Celtics (even Brad Stevens has fallen into the Derozan trap of quoting openly he is in awe of Lebron, a big no-no), so the Warriors are even more motivated to take care of business on their end and do something historic.

They did something historic last year by winning 73 but didn't close the deal. By going 12-0 into the Finals, they will break a record and the Cavs are not guaranteed to do so anyway. This is a motivator (small, by relevant).

2. This is the Warrior Super Team everyone feared.

People are actually COMPLAINING the playoffs are boring. Why? These two teams are on another level and that level is unforeseen in my lifetime, only equated by the mid-90's Bulls, or perhaps close to it.

Durant healthy, Curry playing his highest level of ball all year, team clicking on all cylinders. If Klay could have dropped a meager 20, the Warriors would have scored close to 150 in game 2 (imagine that...in the playoffs...against Pop and Spurs of all teams). 

The numbers are staggering:

You know them but I want you to see them again:

25-1 SU I their last 26
19-7 ATS in their last 26

NO ONE is beating them. And if you can't beat them, 6 is not a number to fear on the level of getting backdoored.


scalabrine PM scalabrine
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Posted: 5/19/2017 12:04:57 AM
3. Kawhi

Is he in or out?

This bet is a bet he is out.

Why? 

He didn't practice since the previous game and was out of practice today.

Again, staggering numbers:

Spurs in the playoffs with Kawhi:

Since Kawhi went down:

Warriors team +/-: -59

Need we say more here?

The quotes for Spurs backers are disturbing. I don't know for certain if he is in or out but I am reading between the lines here betting he is out:

Danny Green: 'Our best player is down. We don't know where he is at today. We felt, with him, we had really good chances. Nobody is happy about it.'

Popovich: "The thing that worries me is that he did it again to the same ankle. So one would think it would take longer to come back (after game 2), but I'm hoping that is not true and we have him for Game 3."

I don't like those quotes for Kawhi's return...do you?

Anyhow, it is not like the bet is DEAD even if he DOES play.

And here is a quote from KD just for added measure: "We are playing with our highest level of confidence of the season. We feel we can beat anybody."

As a psychological capper, that's what you want to hear.

4. Pachulia

The fact that he won't play is a GOOD thing as his presence on the court would be a motivator for the Spurs.

All in all, the Warriors are not flawless. No Iggy. No interior presence without Zaza. Their offensive rebounding is horrendous. 

But even at that, here is what I see: 

I see a Popovich seeing ghosts on the floor and they are not physically there to rescue him.

No Timmy.

No Parker.

A Manu that can give you a miracle once in a blue harvest moon (like he gave them in Game 5 of the Rockets series) but not much more than that.

A Pop that is openly criticizing LA, asking for ANYTHING beyond his barren box single digit scores. He'll give you more this game but will it be more than enough to cover.

A Pop that has to depend on a ragged Gasol and David Lee as the Warriors FLY up and down the floor.

He is ... The Mad Genius and the greatest coach of my lifetime...and possibly ever.

But tonight, the Mad Genius gets taken to the halfway house by the men in the white coats one game away from the door being locked and the key being thrown away.

Warriors -6. 













scalabrine PM scalabrine
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Posted: 5/19/2017 12:06:58 AM
Typo:

Warriors team +/-: +61
Supersharpone PM Supersharpone
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Posted: 5/19/2017 12:09:00 AM
this is probably your shortest writeup scal..historic..
Posted using a mobile device.
scalabrine PM scalabrine
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Posted: 5/19/2017 12:12:07 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Supersharpone:

this is probably your shortest writeup scal..historic..

It's not even close to that. Anyway, justifying a pick on the Warriors, come on. It's more about the spread if anything.
bobmaloogatimesfive PM bobmaloogatimesfive
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Posted: 5/19/2017 12:15:16 AM
You started hot going to end 50/50 by season end -- don't chase the wagging tail man
scalabrine PM scalabrine
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Posted: 5/19/2017 12:20:56 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bobmaloogatimesfive:

You started hot going to end 50/50 by season end -- don't chase the wagging tail man

actually started the season bad and now I'm hot.

Not sure where you have been or what you are reading.
bobmaloogatimesfive PM bobmaloogatimesfive
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Posted: 5/19/2017 12:24:21 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by scalabrine:


actually started the season bad and now I'm hot.

Not sure where you have been or what you are reading.

You started the playoffs hot and the have overthought and wrongly bet about 4 or 5 in a row -- sorry man but you are missing the narrative as bad as your Knicks are missing competency
scalabrine PM scalabrine
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Posted: 5/19/2017 12:28:05 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bobmaloogatimesfive:


You started the playoffs hot and the have overthought and wrongly bet about 4 or 5 in a row -- sorry man but you are missing the narrative as bad as your Knicks are missing competency

Bob, what in the world are you talking about? Are you now turning into a troll concentrating on just what you want to make someone look bad when they offer you a write-up for nothing with detailed reasoning. You have balls bob. You have NOTHING written up on this game in the main. NOTHING. And yet you are rambling here this is the wrong side.

WTF? Where is your write-up? You've offered NOTHING. 

Now STFU or start producing ASAP kid.
FunKyRufus PM FunKyRufus
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Posted: 5/19/2017 12:29:21 AM
One thing for sure. The King's Cavaliers from the East gonna meet the GST Warriors from the West for the NBA Title.

The 2 Best Teams by far at this point.

I will acknowledge that Pop's is a great coach. But he doesn't make any shots, nor does he stop any. 

Spurs sans Tony and Kawhi somewhat limited. Warriors healthy.

I'm riding the Warriors until the Train runs out of track.
 


chignix PM chignix
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Posted: 5/19/2017 2:25:14 AM
right side   these warriors are just incredible. 

Good luck!
bum PM bum
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Posted: 5/19/2017 3:44:56 AM
Short and sweet write up

bobmaloogatimesfive PM bobmaloogatimesfive
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Posted: 5/19/2017 4:04:50 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by scalabrine:


Bob, what in the world are you talking about? Are you now turning into a troll concentrating on just what you want to make someone look bad when they offer you a write-up for nothing with detailed reasoning. You have balls bob. You have NOTHING written up on this game in the main. NOTHING. And yet you are rambling here this is the wrong side.

WTF? Where is your write-up? You've offered NOTHING. 

Now STFU or start producing ASAP kid.

1) You are betting against best coach in the league
2) You are betting superman vs. kryptonite -- the thing that beats him again and again
3) You are betting public side in a must win game
4) You are betting team off of a blowout on the road in a place it never wins

I'll wait until the refs deliver but you are taking the wrong side most likely
sideJOBplay PM sideJOBplay
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Posted: 5/19/2017 4:24:50 AM
He always lose . Nothing new . 
sports_Network PM sports_Network
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Posted: 5/19/2017 5:41:29 AM

scal,

solid read..

pledge to hedge

SPURS +6.5 @-110  2.2 units

GSW -230 ML  4.6 units


Westgate SuperBook LV

scalabrine PM scalabrine
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Posted: 5/19/2017 7:38:19 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bobmaloogatimesfive:


1) You are betting against best coach in the league
2) You are betting superman vs. kryptonite -- the thing that beats him again and again
3) You are betting public side in a must win game
4) You are betting team off of a blowout on the road in a place it never wins

I'll wait until the refs deliver but you are taking the wrong side most likely

If betting were as easy as fading the public we'd all be BILLIONAIRES. Everyone knows about fading the public. That's why this site offers concensus.

Betting the Warriros for reasons beyond "Ah man, it's the WARRIORS" as I STATED IN THE WRITE-UP justifies a side and makes your talking points largely irrelevant.



wmi799 PM wmi799
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Posted: 5/19/2017 7:46:57 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by scalabrine:


Bob, what in the world are you talking about? Are you now turning into a troll concentrating on just what you want to make someone look bad when they offer you a write-up for nothing with detailed reasoning. You have balls bob. You have NOTHING written up on this game in the main. NOTHING. And yet you are rambling here this is the wrong side.

WTF? Where is your write-up? You've offered NOTHING. 

Now STFU or start producing ASAP kid.
Bob is too busy admiring his 60 LeBron posters in his trailer
Force PM Force
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Posted: 5/19/2017 8:35:35 AM
Scal/Bob.....

I read your comments and have come to a conclusion....Bob has a few legitimate points. The Spurs are "No Push-Overs", especially at Home!!! And being down 2-0 you can bet Leonard will be playing on Saturday...Pop isn't going to show his hand and won't let his players tip their hand either. That's classic Popovich, schooling his players on how to give an interview.

Here is a few points I think you should consider Scal.....
-Spurs are 4-1 ATS after allowing more than 125 points their previous game.
-Spurs are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games playing on 3 or more days of rest(Just what the doctor ordered for this banged up/older Spurs squad).
-Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 3 or more days of rest.
-Warriors are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.

What this tells me is that we will be facing a focused and determined Spurs squad with Leonard in the line-up on Saturday!!! It also tells me that the Warriors tend to lose focus during extended periods of rest and after routing teams. 

And lastly, do you think it was coincidence that the league gave these 2 teams.....3 Days Off between games #2 and #3 ??? I don't think so. I think the league knew the Spurs being the older/weaker team was going to need a little help. So Wa-La.....Magically 3 Days Of Rest for the Spurs and more time for Leonard to repair his injured ankle. I just seems to me like the NBA wants this series to go a little more than 4 Games and if that is the case, nothing is guaranteed for the Golden State Warriors.....Not even a series win!!!

Thanks Guys.....
Mailmaaan PM Mailmaaan
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Posted: 5/19/2017 8:41:32 AM
Good luck with the play!
sports_Network PM sports_Network
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Posted: 5/19/2017 8:56:47 AM

Force,

A logical point of view, appreciate your insight....

mance PM mance
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Posted: 5/19/2017 10:17:30 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by wmi799:

Bob is too busy admiring his 60 LeBron posters in his trailer


truer words have never been spoken


Achilles1629 PM Achilles1629
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Posted: 5/19/2017 10:25:12 AM
Game 3 is Saturday, correct? Not tonite. All good, just wanting to clarify for everyone. 
Achilles1629 PM Achilles1629
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Posted: 5/19/2017 10:39:49 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Force:

Scal/Bob.....

I read your comments and have come to a conclusion....Bob has a few legitimate points. The Spurs are "No Push-Overs", especially at Home!!! And being down 2-0 you can bet Leonard will be playing on Saturday...Pop isn't going to show his hand and won't let his players tip their hand either. That's classic Popovich, schooling his players on how to give an interview.

Here is a few points I think you should consider Scal.....
-Spurs are 4-1 ATS after allowing more than 125 points their previous game.
-Spurs are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games playing on 3 or more days of rest(Just what the doctor ordered for this banged up/older Spurs squad).
-Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 3 or more days of rest.
-Warriors are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.

What this tells me is that we will be facing a focused and determined Spurs squad with Leonard in the line-up on Saturday!!! It also tells me that the Warriors tend to lose focus during extended periods of rest and after routing teams. 

And lastly, do you think it was coincidence that the league gave these 2 teams.....3 Days Off between games #2 and #3 ??? I don't think so. I think the league knew the Spurs being the older/weaker team was going to need a little help. So Wa-La.....Magically 3 Days Of Rest for the Spurs and more time for Leonard to repair his injured ankle. I just seems to me like the NBA wants this series to go a little more than 4 Games and if that is the case, nothing is guaranteed for the Golden State Warriors.....Not even a series win!!!

Thanks Guys.....


Great info but assuming things has gotten people into a ton of trouble, particularly with the dubs and cavs in this year's playoffs. One can look at the poor record for the dubs having 3 or more days off but it's comparable to lebron being 1-10 in opening game 1 road games in the playoffs (this came from a poster the other day). Well, that stat was a fart in the wind because lebron and co. managed just fine. Last year dubs hadn't lost consecutive games all year.....they then did so in the OKC series and then lost three in a row in the finals. Not many saw that coming.....those were strong stats too. Stats are great but going solely off those stats can be deadly. It's all about feel in the playoffs. All of the things mentioned above....the books and BOTH teams are fully aware of.

Another angle to look at would be asking yourself this question: IF the dubs come in as desperate as the spurs are for a win in game 3, then what? Still confident with the spurs?Assuming the dubs, up 2-0 shift down a gear or two is playing with fire especially when they know it's prolly gonna be the powerhouse cavs they will play in the finals. If I'm the dubs, rest, watching tape and preparing for maybe the greatest series known to man in the finals seems pretty motivating- with that, I wonder if they will be locked in. This is a road game. If it were a home game, I could see the complacency set in. Not sure we see that with the dubs in texas.....Im not predicting dubs win or lose here just yet- just my thoughts. 
bpickin PM bpickin
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Posted: 5/19/2017 11:05:27 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Force:

Scal/Bob.....

I read your comments and have come to a conclusion....Bob has a few legitimate points. The Spurs are "No Push-Overs", especially at Home!!! And being down 2-0 you can bet Leonard will be playing on Saturday...Pop isn't going to show his hand and won't let his players tip their hand either. That's classic Popovich, schooling his players on how to give an interview.

Here is a few points I think you should consider Scal.....
-Spurs are 4-1 ATS after allowing more than 125 points their previous game.
-Spurs are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games playing on 3 or more days of rest(Just what the doctor ordered for this banged up/older Spurs squad).
-Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 3 or more days of rest.
-Warriors are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.

What this tells me is that we will be facing a focused and determined Spurs squad with Leonard in the line-up on Saturday!!! It also tells me that the Warriors tend to lose focus during extended periods of rest and after routing teams. 

And lastly, do you think it was coincidence that the league gave these 2 teams.....3 Days Off between games #2 and #3 ??? I don't think so. I think the league knew the Spurs being the older/weaker team was going to need a little help. So Wa-La.....Magically 3 Days Of Rest for the Spurs and more time for Leonard to repair his injured ankle. I just seems to me like the NBA wants this series to go a little more than 4 Games and if that is the case, nothing is guaranteed for the Golden State Warriors.....Not even a series win!!!

Thanks Guys.....


nail on the head
Play4daBucks PM Play4daBucks
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Posted: 5/19/2017 11:08:36 AM
Hot damn do I love your write-ups, you got me convinced Scal, let's get it!
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