Posted: 4/20/2017 12:06:52 AM
Wizards -1.5 Games +111 to win series over Hawks
Bucks -1 over Raptors.
Yes the world will be on the Clips this game but this is warranted...because it just as much a do or die game as game 2 for a long-suffering playoff team.
Go down 2-1 and you are going 7. And anything can happen then. And Gobert will be back then.
Gobert will not be back for this game for my money.
Look at him shooting gingerly from the top of the FT line in this article.
But he will be back. At some point.
And if you go down in game 3 and then have Gobert coming back Sunday? How do you go into that game with overwhelming confidence?
Gobert's absence was front and center for the Clippers. As illustrated by BB, 60 points in the paint and 8 free throws.
CP3, three fouls in the FIRST half, two questionable.
The odds of those two things happening again? Little to no chance.
And they still won by 8.
Which means an 8 pt win is likely a 12/14/15 point win with normal FT totals and fewer questionable fouls.
And the refs always give back. They know what they do wrong and make up for it, many times in the same game. Many times on the very next play.
So you have:
1) No Gobert (for my money)
2) A small giveback from the refs to the Clippers (even after a win, it was still a poorly officiated game against the Clips). Look at the Wizards tonight. The Hawks said the Wiz played like MMA fighters and after 12 fouls in the first game they were whistled for 29 tonight. The refs make up for wrongs, in small ways. And small matters here.
3) Great line, pure line. Just win the game. What can you say?
4) It's a must-win IMO. Take control of the series right now and try to go up 3-1 in game 4 while Utah struggles with injury.
5) The Jazz are only at 1-1 because they rallied round the Gobert injury, and still needed a JJ miracle to take it. This series can most definitely be 2-0 and if it could be 2-0, 2-1 is more than reasonable. And we can bet on 2-1 with NO SPREAD. Wow.
Do you really need a post on this? Not really. This is obvious. But I am posting it. This is a TEN POINT swing in spread (as noted in the Bucks thread, that is the absolute max swing in the playoffs. You get it ALL here).
Clippers +102 (5Dimes reduced juice) over Jazz