NBA Regular Season ATS: 53-38-3 (58.2%) + 13.0 units
Around 50% in my last 15 bets... I consider to end betting till rest of the regular season soon but tonight will try one more. Wizards
are back home after three straight road losses. They were pissed off
last game against Warriors and I think they will take this game
seriously and will try really hard to win tonight. Washington play great
at home and they are with 4th best home record this season (29-10).
Wizards are 12-5 SU and ATS as small home favorites this season (1 to 5
points). It seems sportbooks undervalue them with such small lines.
Washington won last four at home against Hornets. They feel comfortable
against this team recently. Charlotte playoff chances push the
sportbooks to offer us small line and I will take it. Home favorites
with home winning percentage more than 74% (Wiz) against road underdogs
with road winning percentage less than 37% (Hor) are 2371-507 (82.4%)
SU. Avg line in these almost 3000 games is - 10.3. That's the reason
home favorites in that situation covered the line in about 50% of the
time but tonight we have pure line edge in such home/away disadvantage
between these two teams. Since 2014 Wizards were in that situation 15
times and they are 13-2 SU (4-1 this season). Teams against Hornets in
that period are 9-2 SU,
NBA Regular Season ATS: 53-38-3 (58.2%) + 13.0 units
Around 50% in my last 15 bets... I consider to end betting till rest of the regular season soon but tonight will try one more. Wizards
are back home after three straight road losses. They were pissed off
last game against Warriors and I think they will take this game
seriously and will try really hard to win tonight. Washington play great
at home and they are with 4th best home record this season (29-10).
Wizards are 12-5 SU and ATS as small home favorites this season (1 to 5
points). It seems sportbooks undervalue them with such small lines.
Washington won last four at home against Hornets. They feel comfortable
against this team recently. Charlotte playoff chances push the
sportbooks to offer us small line and I will take it. Home favorites
with home winning percentage more than 74% (Wiz) against road underdogs
with road winning percentage less than 37% (Hor) are 2371-507 (82.4%)
SU. Avg line in these almost 3000 games is - 10.3. That's the reason
home favorites in that situation covered the line in about 50% of the
time but tonight we have pure line edge in such home/away disadvantage
between these two teams. Since 2014 Wizards were in that situation 15
times and they are 13-2 SU (4-1 this season). Teams against Hornets in
that period are 9-2 SU,
When you see today schedule you will think that giving 8.5 points to a team which is half game behind playoff spot is a pure gift. There is no such thing as gifts in NBA. Denver defense is horrible recently and I think they are just exhausted at this time of the season. In the last 10 games their opponents avg 118.1 ppg. Against top 5 home teams in NBA (28-10 record for Rockets at home) which shoot 3-ball at historic level in b2b situation I expect high scoring game with some kind of blowout for the home team despite the fact Rockets play for nothing. It's one of these late season games when you are forced to take the points for a team in must win situation against team that secure 3rd spot in West and there is no chance for 2nd or 4th seed. Easy huh
Houston Rockets - 8.5
I'm terrible on Rockets games this season but we will see. BOL
When you see today schedule you will think that giving 8.5 points to a team which is half game behind playoff spot is a pure gift. There is no such thing as gifts in NBA. Denver defense is horrible recently and I think they are just exhausted at this time of the season. In the last 10 games their opponents avg 118.1 ppg. Against top 5 home teams in NBA (28-10 record for Rockets at home) which shoot 3-ball at historic level in b2b situation I expect high scoring game with some kind of blowout for the home team despite the fact Rockets play for nothing. It's one of these late season games when you are forced to take the points for a team in must win situation against team that secure 3rd spot in West and there is no chance for 2nd or 4th seed. Easy huh
Houston Rockets - 8.5
I'm terrible on Rockets games this season but we will see. BOL
Nuggets come from the thin air, they will feel like supermen tonight in a must win game. What incentive do the rockets have for winning by double digits anyway? Last two games have been very close.
Nuggets come from the thin air, they will feel like supermen tonight in a must win game. What incentive do the rockets have for winning by double digits anyway? Last two games have been very close.
tonight. Sixers are tanking badly recently... I mean very bad tanking... even Nets scored 140+ on them. That was awful. They are very depleted and play for nothing. Bulls in must win situation for playoff spots.
tonight. Sixers are tanking badly recently... I mean very bad tanking... even Nets scored 140+ on them. That was awful. They are very depleted and play for nothing. Bulls in must win situation for playoff spots.
DK and funk, I actually lean that way myself. Chicagoan and normally don't bet on the bulls but this may be a good spot. What are your guys' thoughts in Boston/Atlanta tonite?
DK and funk, I actually lean that way myself. Chicagoan and normally don't bet on the bulls but this may be a good spot. What are your guys' thoughts in Boston/Atlanta tonite?
majority is on Boston today, but yesterday the majority was on the Cavs and they hauled asss. plus C's playing back to back primetime games i don't think they want to come out and get embarassed again on national TV two times in a row which is why i'm hesitant to play the Hawks, so personally it's Hawks or no play for me. BOL on whoever you decide
majority is on Boston today, but yesterday the majority was on the Cavs and they hauled asss. plus C's playing back to back primetime games i don't think they want to come out and get embarassed again on national TV two times in a row which is why i'm hesitant to play the Hawks, so personally it's Hawks or no play for me. BOL on whoever you decide
Lots on love for Boston tonite indeed but like you said, that didn't get in the way of the CAVS last nite when the public was all over them. I actually think the Hawks could go on a little losing streak here. Tonite and then 2 against the CAVS. I could be totally wrong here but I lean celts.
Lots on love for Boston tonite indeed but like you said, that didn't get in the way of the CAVS last nite when the public was all over them. I actually think the Hawks could go on a little losing streak here. Tonite and then 2 against the CAVS. I could be totally wrong here but I lean celts.
Glad I didn't bet on this celts game. They very well could come back but deciding to play the first half under in that bulls game proved to be the best bet in my eyes. Good call on the bulls full game gents.
Glad I didn't bet on this celts game. They very well could come back but deciding to play the first half under in that bulls game proved to be the best bet in my eyes. Good call on the bulls full game gents.
My second favorite trend again popped up on Pelicans at Nuggets game. Last time the trend disappointed us with the devastating Denver lost to NO. Tonight the line is the same - 6 and cause I'm with wooden head and really believe that this system works in long term will take the home side again. Come on Nuggets... you are 3-1 ATS this season on this system. Just don't fail again.
My second favorite trend again popped up on Pelicans at Nuggets game. Last time the trend disappointed us with the devastating Denver lost to NO. Tonight the line is the same - 6 and cause I'm with wooden head and really believe that this system works in long term will take the home side again. Come on Nuggets... you are 3-1 ATS this season on this system. Just don't fail again.
Funk I know odds are short but take Westbrook for triple double or parlay bet. I think it is a lock he makes sure of MVP award and clicks up triple doubles in remain games
Funk I know odds are short but take Westbrook for triple double or parlay bet. I think it is a lock he makes sure of MVP award and clicks up triple doubles in remain games
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