The Pistons are winners of three straight against the Blazers.
Their last win was a double overtime fourth quarter comeback in Portland.
Post all star break these two teams both sport a 1-1 record.
The Pistons came from 15 down in the fourth quarter to win in overtime against the Hornets, then lost to the Celtics by 6. In the loss to the Celtics Detroit shot 16-35 from the free throw line.
The Blazers also got off to a lazy start and needed a fourth quarter comeback to beat the Magic in Orlando. They then dropped a six point decision in Toronto to a Lowry-less Raptors.
Neither team is playing stellar at the moment, but I think home court is a significant edge for the Pistons here along with their ability to defend guards.
The Pistons have a 6-2 home record in February (4-1) against the West along with a 2 TO/A ratio compared to Portland's 1. Detroit is the best team this month in defending against the three holding opponents to under 30% too.
Detroit is 8-1 ATS at home when scoring 100-109 points which is the ball park point total I see them in.
The Pistons are winners of three straight against the Blazers.
Their last win was a double overtime fourth quarter comeback in Portland.
Post all star break these two teams both sport a 1-1 record.
The Pistons came from 15 down in the fourth quarter to win in overtime against the Hornets, then lost to the Celtics by 6. In the loss to the Celtics Detroit shot 16-35 from the free throw line.
The Blazers also got off to a lazy start and needed a fourth quarter comeback to beat the Magic in Orlando. They then dropped a six point decision in Toronto to a Lowry-less Raptors.
Neither team is playing stellar at the moment, but I think home court is a significant edge for the Pistons here along with their ability to defend guards.
The Pistons have a 6-2 home record in February (4-1) against the West along with a 2 TO/A ratio compared to Portland's 1. Detroit is the best team this month in defending against the three holding opponents to under 30% too.
Detroit is 8-1 ATS at home when scoring 100-109 points which is the ball park point total I see them in.
This line is spot on by Vegas which makes me agree with you that Pistons cover tonight. But Portland's absolutely pathetic ATS record makes me fearful to bet against them much this second half, no way they can keep losing games ATS at this rate one would think....
Either way I'm on Detroit or no play tonight, Go get em!!
This line is spot on by Vegas which makes me agree with you that Pistons cover tonight. But Portland's absolutely pathetic ATS record makes me fearful to bet against them much this second half, no way they can keep losing games ATS at this rate one would think....
Either way I'm on Detroit or no play tonight, Go get em!!
This line is spot on by Vegas which makes me agree with you that Pistons cover tonight. But Portland's absolutely pathetic ATS record makes me fearful to bet against them much this second half, no way they can keep losing games ATS at this rate one would think....
Either way I'm on Detroit or no play tonight, Go get em!!
I was thinking it'd be a ballpark of 7-8 points. I know that's only a couple points over the 5 they need to win but I thought the probability was high enough.
This line is spot on by Vegas which makes me agree with you that Pistons cover tonight. But Portland's absolutely pathetic ATS record makes me fearful to bet against them much this second half, no way they can keep losing games ATS at this rate one would think....
Either way I'm on Detroit or no play tonight, Go get em!!
I was thinking it'd be a ballpark of 7-8 points. I know that's only a couple points over the 5 they need to win but I thought the probability was high enough.
Quick question for you Koreatine or really anybody who cares to read it, Do you ever get dissuaded from a pick due to the fact that Public% or $ is on that side even though the team you are choosing is clearly the better team?
Follow up question would be, Do you keep track of how many favorites you pick in a row and try to add dogs to even out regressions? Thanks for input and capping skills as always!
Quick question for you Koreatine or really anybody who cares to read it, Do you ever get dissuaded from a pick due to the fact that Public% or $ is on that side even though the team you are choosing is clearly the better team?
Follow up question would be, Do you keep track of how many favorites you pick in a row and try to add dogs to even out regressions? Thanks for input and capping skills as always!
Quick question for you Koreatine or really anybody who cares to read it, Do you ever get dissuaded from a pick due to the fact that Public% or $ is on that side even though the team you are choosing is clearly the better team?
Follow up question would be, Do you keep track of how many favorites you pick in a row and try to add dogs to even out regressions? Thanks for input and capping skills as always!
Sometimes. Not too often but sometimes I feel a little less confident. That's why I post my analysis. I like to compare what I see with what others see. You'll be surprised at how much difference there is in the details sometimes. I pretty much came to conclusion that if I can't explain it I don't bet it.
Last night with the mavs. I was a little less confident with the heat after seeing so many people on the mavs but I couldn't explain why the mavs would cover so for me, it was heat or nothing. Maybe I lose out on some value sometimes but I've tried the whole "going with the money or fading the public, whatever you wanna call it" and even that's not far off 50% from my experience.
Quick question for you Koreatine or really anybody who cares to read it, Do you ever get dissuaded from a pick due to the fact that Public% or $ is on that side even though the team you are choosing is clearly the better team?
Follow up question would be, Do you keep track of how many favorites you pick in a row and try to add dogs to even out regressions? Thanks for input and capping skills as always!
Sometimes. Not too often but sometimes I feel a little less confident. That's why I post my analysis. I like to compare what I see with what others see. You'll be surprised at how much difference there is in the details sometimes. I pretty much came to conclusion that if I can't explain it I don't bet it.
Last night with the mavs. I was a little less confident with the heat after seeing so many people on the mavs but I couldn't explain why the mavs would cover so for me, it was heat or nothing. Maybe I lose out on some value sometimes but I've tried the whole "going with the money or fading the public, whatever you wanna call it" and even that's not far off 50% from my experience.
Obviously when we post, it's too late to change a pick based on what you discuss or read through other people, but I listen and learn and try to incorporate those learnings into my future plays.
That's what I mean by I love and die by me. It's always me, but I definitely give everybody else here credit because you all help make me a better capper.
Obviously when we post, it's too late to change a pick based on what you discuss or read through other people, but I listen and learn and try to incorporate those learnings into my future plays.
That's what I mean by I love and die by me. It's always me, but I definitely give everybody else here credit because you all help make me a better capper.
Quick question for you Koreatine or really anybody who cares to read it, Do you ever get dissuaded from a pick due to the fact that Public% or $ is on that side even though the team you are choosing is clearly the better team?
Follow up question would be, Do you keep track of how many favorites you pick in a row and try to add dogs to even out regressions? Thanks for input and capping skills as always!
To add to that. Honestly, I just bet what I like regardless of favorites or dogs.
I focus more so on current form over season form. I do compare drop offs in those periods of time etc but when you compare a stat like record vs teams below .500 for example, I'm not considering the Miami Heat a below .500 team right now even though they really are. I could actually explain that angle for a good two to three more paragraphs but I won't.
Sometimes the same information can be elevated to be more meaningful in some situations than others, that's just an example. That's what makes this so complicated. There's so much information, some is more valuable than others here and some may be more valuable there. Then you have to take into account the player performance.
Last night I thought Houston came out with the intensity I expected, they just didn't hit a damn shot and I think over time it weighed on their intensity as it then turned in to frustration, and it was allowing easy baskets inside for an already above average inside team.
Factor in how good these lines makers are. The betting universe is a tough one to survive in.
Quick question for you Koreatine or really anybody who cares to read it, Do you ever get dissuaded from a pick due to the fact that Public% or $ is on that side even though the team you are choosing is clearly the better team?
Follow up question would be, Do you keep track of how many favorites you pick in a row and try to add dogs to even out regressions? Thanks for input and capping skills as always!
To add to that. Honestly, I just bet what I like regardless of favorites or dogs.
I focus more so on current form over season form. I do compare drop offs in those periods of time etc but when you compare a stat like record vs teams below .500 for example, I'm not considering the Miami Heat a below .500 team right now even though they really are. I could actually explain that angle for a good two to three more paragraphs but I won't.
Sometimes the same information can be elevated to be more meaningful in some situations than others, that's just an example. That's what makes this so complicated. There's so much information, some is more valuable than others here and some may be more valuable there. Then you have to take into account the player performance.
Last night I thought Houston came out with the intensity I expected, they just didn't hit a damn shot and I think over time it weighed on their intensity as it then turned in to frustration, and it was allowing easy baskets inside for an already above average inside team.
Factor in how good these lines makers are. The betting universe is a tough one to survive in.
love the pick bro, i'll be riding with you on it. i'm also on bulls u222. any thoughts on it?
Not really. I'm kind of in the middle on that entire game.
I'd lean Bulls and under just based on Barton and Jokic being very passive offensively lately, but who knows they're going have to turn it around at some point.
love the pick bro, i'll be riding with you on it. i'm also on bulls u222. any thoughts on it?
Not really. I'm kind of in the middle on that entire game.
I'd lean Bulls and under just based on Barton and Jokic being very passive offensively lately, but who knows they're going have to turn it around at some point.
To add to that. Honestly, I just bet what I like regardless of favorites or dogs.
I focus more so on current form over season form. I do compare drop offs in those periods of time etc but when you compare a stat like record vs teams below .500 for example, I'm not considering the Miami Heat a below .500 team right now even though they really are. I could actually explain that angle for a good two to three more paragraphs but I won't.
Sometimes the same information can be elevated to be more meaningful in some situations than others, that's just an example. That's what makes this so complicated. There's so much information, some is more valuable than others here and some may be more valuable there. Then you have to take into account the player performance.
Last night I thought Houston came out with the intensity I expected, they just didn't hit a damn shot and I think over time it weighed on their intensity as it then turned in to frustration, and it was allowing easy baskets inside for an already above average inside team.
Factor in how good these lines makers are. The betting universe is a tough one to survive in.
are you saying Miami is better than a .500 team right now? Or worse?
To add to that. Honestly, I just bet what I like regardless of favorites or dogs.
I focus more so on current form over season form. I do compare drop offs in those periods of time etc but when you compare a stat like record vs teams below .500 for example, I'm not considering the Miami Heat a below .500 team right now even though they really are. I could actually explain that angle for a good two to three more paragraphs but I won't.
Sometimes the same information can be elevated to be more meaningful in some situations than others, that's just an example. That's what makes this so complicated. There's so much information, some is more valuable than others here and some may be more valuable there. Then you have to take into account the player performance.
Last night I thought Houston came out with the intensity I expected, they just didn't hit a damn shot and I think over time it weighed on their intensity as it then turned in to frustration, and it was allowing easy baskets inside for an already above average inside team.
Factor in how good these lines makers are. The betting universe is a tough one to survive in.
are you saying Miami is better than a .500 team right now? Or worse?
are you saying Miami is better than a .500 team right now? Or worse?
I just meant that currently they're not being "viewed" as a sub .500 team.
Some teams don't have the same mental approach against below average teams as they do against good ones.
Miami, although their record still isn't good, is a team who poses a legit threat to anybody in the league. Everybody knows it now and know's they have to come ready to play hard and compete in order to win against them.
It's easier said than done, but most players in the league don't show up to play hard every game, which is one reason why Westbrook is admired so much by fellow players.
I feel that the level of competition affects some teams more than others in a sense that some play down to their level of competition rather than try to sustain a high level of play every game no matter who the opponent is.
are you saying Miami is better than a .500 team right now? Or worse?
I just meant that currently they're not being "viewed" as a sub .500 team.
Some teams don't have the same mental approach against below average teams as they do against good ones.
Miami, although their record still isn't good, is a team who poses a legit threat to anybody in the league. Everybody knows it now and know's they have to come ready to play hard and compete in order to win against them.
It's easier said than done, but most players in the league don't show up to play hard every game, which is one reason why Westbrook is admired so much by fellow players.
I feel that the level of competition affects some teams more than others in a sense that some play down to their level of competition rather than try to sustain a high level of play every game no matter who the opponent is.
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