I wonder how much easier it would be to use logic when placing my bets instead of crunching a ton of numbers. Let's see how this plays out.
1st play: Boston -2.5; Boston just lost to the Knicks a couple of weeks ago in NY as -1.5 pt favs and are now -2.5 pt favs in the same building a couple weeks later??? Give me Boston -2.5, actually I always buy the half point so let's make it -2 (-120).
2nd play: Houston -5; how does this line even exist? Miami has won 4 in a row and just demolished Atlanta this past Sunday. On the other hand, Houston has lost 3 in a row with their last defeat coming against the unpredictable wizards. Too many points for a struggling team to cover.....and that's why I like them. Give me Houston -5
3rd play: Toronto -9.5; Toronto just played last night and are favored by -9.5??? Phoenix must REALLY suck. I'm taking Toronto -9.5
4th play: Milwaukee +6.5; Portland has been spanking everyone lately. Winning 8/10 in the good ol Adrian Peterson fashion. Milwaukee just played last night.......and lost to the Kings by 7! Well now, how can this be that Portland is only favored by 6.5? I like Milwaukee getting the points.
Last play: LAL +4; Minny should never be favored by 4 points against anyone......especially not these sneaky fakers, who are known to catch you dozing. Snap out of it and take the Fakers +4
Take it with a grain of salt or like a ton of bricks but either way
I wonder how much easier it would be to use logic when placing my bets instead of crunching a ton of numbers. Let's see how this plays out.
1st play: Boston -2.5; Boston just lost to the Knicks a couple of weeks ago in NY as -1.5 pt favs and are now -2.5 pt favs in the same building a couple weeks later??? Give me Boston -2.5, actually I always buy the half point so let's make it -2 (-120).
2nd play: Houston -5; how does this line even exist? Miami has won 4 in a row and just demolished Atlanta this past Sunday. On the other hand, Houston has lost 3 in a row with their last defeat coming against the unpredictable wizards. Too many points for a struggling team to cover.....and that's why I like them. Give me Houston -5
3rd play: Toronto -9.5; Toronto just played last night and are favored by -9.5??? Phoenix must REALLY suck. I'm taking Toronto -9.5
4th play: Milwaukee +6.5; Portland has been spanking everyone lately. Winning 8/10 in the good ol Adrian Peterson fashion. Milwaukee just played last night.......and lost to the Kings by 7! Well now, how can this be that Portland is only favored by 6.5? I like Milwaukee getting the points.
Last play: LAL +4; Minny should never be favored by 4 points against anyone......especially not these sneaky fakers, who are known to catch you dozing. Snap out of it and take the Fakers +4
Take it with a grain of salt or like a ton of bricks but either way
I definitely used this kind of logic when betting Atlanta -6 today. 2nd day of back to back with a 18 point loss to Miami, but favoured by 6? Took the points and cashed
I definitely used this kind of logic when betting Atlanta -6 today. 2nd day of back to back with a 18 point loss to Miami, but favoured by 6? Took the points and cashed
Doesn't always work bro. One perfect example, pelicans couldn't beat memphis and made last time they met an after thought beating them by double digits! Detroit not covering against one of the worst teams in the nba. List goes on and on and on. Goodluck anyway
Doesn't always work bro. One perfect example, pelicans couldn't beat memphis and made last time they met an after thought beating them by double digits! Detroit not covering against one of the worst teams in the nba. List goes on and on and on. Goodluck anyway
Don't even touch the Lakers.. If they cover then let it be.. I feel so bad for Kobe.. 4 points to a visiting team is actually good.. I feel they will cover an ATS vs a bigger spread..
Celtics is a good play.. I doubt this will be a bloodbath.. Celtics are legit team
Don't even touch the Lakers.. If they cover then let it be.. I feel so bad for Kobe.. 4 points to a visiting team is actually good.. I feel they will cover an ATS vs a bigger spread..
Celtics is a good play.. I doubt this will be a bloodbath.. Celtics are legit team
Logic = "Joe" public play... Keep betting with the public ALL day. We need people like you..
Trust me, there have been many lines where Vegas is telling us the winner, yet we imply logic and we lose because team "x" has so many wins or is ranked so and so. I've lost enough money to interpret some of these lines...
"Schrödinger's bet." A bet that loses when you bet it but wins when you DON'T bet it...
Logic = "Joe" public play... Keep betting with the public ALL day. We need people like you..
Trust me, there have been many lines where Vegas is telling us the winner, yet we imply logic and we lose because team "x" has so many wins or is ranked so and so. I've lost enough money to interpret some of these lines...
Just thought id give you a little advice ( what i do personally)
saw how you said in your boston pick I always buy the half..
may I ask why? not being rude just wondering.
you add a lot of unnecessary juice.
what i do and it works is buy the half UP so from -2.5 to -3.. you then are getting + value and to win your -2.5 you need 3 or more anyways…
some people shy away because what happens if they only win by 2.. well over time if you always buy the half point UP and are consistently getting the + value you're wins will add up and even if you were to lose because you didn't buy the half point down it evens itself out and you will make more of a profit long term rather than get sucked into buying the half down from -2.5 to -2. buy it up my dude
Just thought id give you a little advice ( what i do personally)
saw how you said in your boston pick I always buy the half..
may I ask why? not being rude just wondering.
you add a lot of unnecessary juice.
what i do and it works is buy the half UP so from -2.5 to -3.. you then are getting + value and to win your -2.5 you need 3 or more anyways…
some people shy away because what happens if they only win by 2.. well over time if you always buy the half point UP and are consistently getting the + value you're wins will add up and even if you were to lose because you didn't buy the half point down it evens itself out and you will make more of a profit long term rather than get sucked into buying the half down from -2.5 to -2. buy it up my dude
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