Was watching the game and Kyle Lowry ran into a offensive fowl on stoudamire , while he made the basket, and they counted the PTS... Fucken stupid, they call offensive foul and left the PTS on the scoreboard .... Nba. Too much already
Was watching the game and Kyle Lowry ran into a offensive fowl on stoudamire , while he made the basket, and they counted the PTS... Fucken stupid, they call offensive foul and left the PTS on the scoreboard .... Nba. Too much already
Was watching the game and Kyle Lowry ran into a offensive fowl on stoudamire , while he made the basket, and they counted the PTS... Fucken stupid, they call offensive foul and left the PTS on the scoreboard .... Nba. Too much already
Dude. Do you REALLY not know how to spell Foul? It wasn't even a typo. The w is no where near the u. Really?
Was watching the game and Kyle Lowry ran into a offensive fowl on stoudamire , while he made the basket, and they counted the PTS... Fucken stupid, they call offensive foul and left the PTS on the scoreboard .... Nba. Too much already
Dude. Do you REALLY not know how to spell Foul? It wasn't even a typo. The w is no where near the u. Really?
Was watching the game and Kyle Lowry ran into a offensive fowl on stoudamire , while he made the basket, and they counted the PTS... Fucken stupid, they call offensive foul and left the PTS on the scoreboard .... Nba. Too much already
Was watching the game and Kyle Lowry ran into a offensive fowl on stoudamire , while he made the basket, and they counted the PTS... Fucken stupid, they call offensive foul and left the PTS on the scoreboard .... Nba. Too much already
It's so funny the guys that actually think this. If it was that simple we'd all be rich. People just like saying stuff even though it's 100% false
The good old "fade the public" angle.
Totally agree. It's always a good laugh when I see topics like "Everybody on the under? I'm taking the OVER large!"
LOL! Even funnier when the under still hits. And they are dead silent and have nothing to say.
People that think this way, are people who don't understand math, random variables, and are totally ignorant as to how and why certain lines for certain games are created in the first place.
It's so funny the guys that actually think this. If it was that simple we'd all be rich. People just like saying stuff even though it's 100% false
The good old "fade the public" angle.
Totally agree. It's always a good laugh when I see topics like "Everybody on the under? I'm taking the OVER large!"
LOL! Even funnier when the under still hits. And they are dead silent and have nothing to say.
People that think this way, are people who don't understand math, random variables, and are totally ignorant as to how and why certain lines for certain games are created in the first place.
Is the nba rigged? No, tim donaghy changed that forever.
Do the refs control the outcomes of games? To an extent, but I am confident it is not for profit and even more confident that adam silver doesn't mandate they let some teams win or cover.
Is fading the public a good bet? Probably the most obvious yes, because vegas doesn't set lines to lose money. In theory, they set lines to get 50/50 money and collect their 10%. If a line is getting 85% of bets, chances are they know something we don't. It will not hit every time, but over the course of a season, you will ALWAYS come out ahead if you fade the super public plays. ALWAYS.
Are a few of you guys actually saying that playing the super public plays is a great strategy to earn money?
If you believe this, I have a few 10 game parlays you should totally bet on.
Is the nba rigged? No, tim donaghy changed that forever.
Do the refs control the outcomes of games? To an extent, but I am confident it is not for profit and even more confident that adam silver doesn't mandate they let some teams win or cover.
Is fading the public a good bet? Probably the most obvious yes, because vegas doesn't set lines to lose money. In theory, they set lines to get 50/50 money and collect their 10%. If a line is getting 85% of bets, chances are they know something we don't. It will not hit every time, but over the course of a season, you will ALWAYS come out ahead if you fade the super public plays. ALWAYS.
Are a few of you guys actually saying that playing the super public plays is a great strategy to earn money?
If you believe this, I have a few 10 game parlays you should totally bet on.
Is the nba rigged? No, tim donaghy changed that forever.
Do the refs control the outcomes of games? To an extent, but I am confident it is not for profit and even more confident that adam silver doesn't mandate they let some teams win or cover.
Is fading the public a good bet? Probably the most obvious yes, because vegas doesn't set lines to lose money. In theory, they set lines to get 50/50 money and collect their 10%. If a line is getting 85% of bets, chances are they know something we don't. It will not hit every time, but over the course of a season, you will ALWAYS come out ahead if you fade the super public plays. ALWAYS.
Are a few of you guys actually saying that playing the super public plays is a great strategy to earn money?
If you believe this, I have a few 10 game parlays you should totally bet on.
Is the nba rigged? No, tim donaghy changed that forever.
Do the refs control the outcomes of games? To an extent, but I am confident it is not for profit and even more confident that adam silver doesn't mandate they let some teams win or cover.
Is fading the public a good bet? Probably the most obvious yes, because vegas doesn't set lines to lose money. In theory, they set lines to get 50/50 money and collect their 10%. If a line is getting 85% of bets, chances are they know something we don't. It will not hit every time, but over the course of a season, you will ALWAYS come out ahead if you fade the super public plays. ALWAYS.
Are a few of you guys actually saying that playing the super public plays is a great strategy to earn money?
If you believe this, I have a few 10 game parlays you should totally bet on.
Is the nba rigged? No, tim donaghy changed that forever.
Do the refs control the outcomes of games? To an extent, but I am confident it is not for profit and even more confident that adam silver doesn't mandate they let some teams win or cover.
Is fading the public a good bet? Probably the most obvious yes, because vegas doesn't set lines to lose money. In theory, they set lines to get 50/50 money and collect their 10%. If a line is getting 85% of bets, chances are they know something we don't. It will not hit every time, but over the course of a season, you will ALWAYS come out ahead if you fade the super public plays. ALWAYS.
Are a few of you guys actually saying that playing the super public plays is a great strategy to earn money?
If you believe this, I have a few 10 game parlays you should totally bet on.
You gotta be kidding me man. First of all? There is no way to be 100% sure exactly WHERE the TRUE public money is going. You think it's really 100% pure public money, because covers.com, or freeplays.com or whatever, says the "general consensus" is 85% on this team or that team? No, it's not man. And just because the supposed "public" picks a side, does not mean it will lose OR win. I can actually make the same statement, that following the public every season will make you a winner, if you follow it the right way. Same garbage if you fade the public the right way. Makes no difference. You are just betting on a pattern, that happens to keep you ahead the end of THAT season. That's all. The point of the lines being set the way they are is to get 50/50 action. That's IT. Sometimes, they HAVE to set certain lines and/or totals a certain way, other wise they would run the risk of getting almost NO action on a certain side or total. Like the other day, with indiana vs atlanta in nba. They had the line set at -1/+1. If it was anything higher, they would run the risk of TOO much action on indiana. If twas indiana +6? There would be too much action on indiana....and even tho atlanta had the edge? It is STILL a gamble for both vegas and the bettor.....so indiana could have and might have won that game in an upset. So that's why they set the line like that. However, the public is so IGNORANT to how matchups work in the nba (and every other sport) and how well certain teams are playing, that, even at -1/+1....people would pound indiana and vegas would still make out ahead on that line in that matchup.
IGNORANCE is the reason why public fades some times work. It has nothing to do with a FIX or RIGGED game. Cmon now. You think vegas knows exactly how much action will come in on a side RIGHT before game time? Kick off? Get real. It's a numbers thing. And the vegas line makers are just MORE knowledgeable and educated in things the public is WAY too ignorant of. But in ANY case? The garbage is 50/50 in the long run. Period. And vegas makes their LONG term money, on the 10%.
Is the nba rigged? No, tim donaghy changed that forever.
Do the refs control the outcomes of games? To an extent, but I am confident it is not for profit and even more confident that adam silver doesn't mandate they let some teams win or cover.
Is fading the public a good bet? Probably the most obvious yes, because vegas doesn't set lines to lose money. In theory, they set lines to get 50/50 money and collect their 10%. If a line is getting 85% of bets, chances are they know something we don't. It will not hit every time, but over the course of a season, you will ALWAYS come out ahead if you fade the super public plays. ALWAYS.
Are a few of you guys actually saying that playing the super public plays is a great strategy to earn money?
If you believe this, I have a few 10 game parlays you should totally bet on.
You gotta be kidding me man. First of all? There is no way to be 100% sure exactly WHERE the TRUE public money is going. You think it's really 100% pure public money, because covers.com, or freeplays.com or whatever, says the "general consensus" is 85% on this team or that team? No, it's not man. And just because the supposed "public" picks a side, does not mean it will lose OR win. I can actually make the same statement, that following the public every season will make you a winner, if you follow it the right way. Same garbage if you fade the public the right way. Makes no difference. You are just betting on a pattern, that happens to keep you ahead the end of THAT season. That's all. The point of the lines being set the way they are is to get 50/50 action. That's IT. Sometimes, they HAVE to set certain lines and/or totals a certain way, other wise they would run the risk of getting almost NO action on a certain side or total. Like the other day, with indiana vs atlanta in nba. They had the line set at -1/+1. If it was anything higher, they would run the risk of TOO much action on indiana. If twas indiana +6? There would be too much action on indiana....and even tho atlanta had the edge? It is STILL a gamble for both vegas and the bettor.....so indiana could have and might have won that game in an upset. So that's why they set the line like that. However, the public is so IGNORANT to how matchups work in the nba (and every other sport) and how well certain teams are playing, that, even at -1/+1....people would pound indiana and vegas would still make out ahead on that line in that matchup.
IGNORANCE is the reason why public fades some times work. It has nothing to do with a FIX or RIGGED game. Cmon now. You think vegas knows exactly how much action will come in on a side RIGHT before game time? Kick off? Get real. It's a numbers thing. And the vegas line makers are just MORE knowledgeable and educated in things the public is WAY too ignorant of. But in ANY case? The garbage is 50/50 in the long run. Period. And vegas makes their LONG term money, on the 10%.
All of you people saying it is rigged for the knicks, check out the phantom fouls on jonas in the first quarter and all the noncalls in the first quarter.
There is no fix, the refs just suck. I was on the other side and thinking that it was rigged also. That is just the easiest thought when ur mad and lose a bet. Also, if the shot is before the actual foul, the basket should count. If he makes the contact b4 he releases, its not a basket.
All of you people saying it is rigged for the knicks, check out the phantom fouls on jonas in the first quarter and all the noncalls in the first quarter.
There is no fix, the refs just suck. I was on the other side and thinking that it was rigged also. That is just the easiest thought when ur mad and lose a bet. Also, if the shot is before the actual foul, the basket should count. If he makes the contact b4 he releases, its not a basket.
You gotta be kidding me man. First of all? There is no way to be 100% sure exactly WHERE the TRUE public money is going. You think it's really 100% pure public money, because covers.com, or freeplays.com or whatever, says the "general consensus" is 85% on this team or that team? No, it's not man. And just because the supposed "public" picks a side, does not mean it will lose OR win. I can actually make the same statement, that following the public every season will make you a winner, if you follow it the right way. Same garbage if you fade the public the right way. Makes no difference. You are just betting on a pattern, that happens to keep you ahead the end of THAT season. That's all. The point of the lines being set the way they are is to get 50/50 action. That's IT. Sometimes, they HAVE to set certain lines and/or totals a certain way, other wise they would run the risk of getting almost NO action on a certain side or total. Like the other day, with indiana vs atlanta in nba. They had the line set at -1/+1. If it was anything higher, they would run the risk of TOO much action on indiana. If twas indiana +6? There would be too much action on indiana....and even tho atlanta had the edge? It is STILL a gamble for both vegas and the bettor.....so indiana could have and might have won that game in an upset. So that's why they set the line like that. However, the public is so IGNORANT to how matchups work in the nba (and every other sport) and how well certain teams are playing, that, even at -1/+1....people would pound indiana and vegas would still make out ahead on that line in that matchup.
IGNORANCE is the reason why public fades some times work. It has nothing to do with a FIX or RIGGED game. Cmon now. You think vegas knows exactly how much action will come in on a side RIGHT before game time? Kick off? Get real. It's a numbers thing. And the vegas line makers are just MORE knowledgeable and educated in things the public is WAY too ignorant of. But in ANY case? The garbage is 50/50 in the long run. Period. And vegas makes their LONG term money, on the 10%.
I do NOT think the nba rigs or fixes games, as I blatantly stated.
Fading the super public plays is not 50/50. I don't think you can find a veteran sports handicapper who would tell you following public plays over the long run will get you out ahead (there are also websites dedicated to this theory).
As to your vegas is only looking for 50/50 money....I would also strongly disagree with this. Do you really think that if vegas wanted 50/50 money that they would have set the gstate @ pelicans line at +4.5 yesterday? They would have to set it at +8 to get even money. The books got killed on that game. If you bet gstate type teams in that scenario every time, you will lose in the long run.
I understand that you don't bet based on the lines, betting percentages, and line movement, but to discount these legitimate capping tools for others is just incorrect.
Out of curiosity, what is your capping style? How do you decide which plays to make? Not trying to hate, just trying to get some insight...
You gotta be kidding me man. First of all? There is no way to be 100% sure exactly WHERE the TRUE public money is going. You think it's really 100% pure public money, because covers.com, or freeplays.com or whatever, says the "general consensus" is 85% on this team or that team? No, it's not man. And just because the supposed "public" picks a side, does not mean it will lose OR win. I can actually make the same statement, that following the public every season will make you a winner, if you follow it the right way. Same garbage if you fade the public the right way. Makes no difference. You are just betting on a pattern, that happens to keep you ahead the end of THAT season. That's all. The point of the lines being set the way they are is to get 50/50 action. That's IT. Sometimes, they HAVE to set certain lines and/or totals a certain way, other wise they would run the risk of getting almost NO action on a certain side or total. Like the other day, with indiana vs atlanta in nba. They had the line set at -1/+1. If it was anything higher, they would run the risk of TOO much action on indiana. If twas indiana +6? There would be too much action on indiana....and even tho atlanta had the edge? It is STILL a gamble for both vegas and the bettor.....so indiana could have and might have won that game in an upset. So that's why they set the line like that. However, the public is so IGNORANT to how matchups work in the nba (and every other sport) and how well certain teams are playing, that, even at -1/+1....people would pound indiana and vegas would still make out ahead on that line in that matchup.
IGNORANCE is the reason why public fades some times work. It has nothing to do with a FIX or RIGGED game. Cmon now. You think vegas knows exactly how much action will come in on a side RIGHT before game time? Kick off? Get real. It's a numbers thing. And the vegas line makers are just MORE knowledgeable and educated in things the public is WAY too ignorant of. But in ANY case? The garbage is 50/50 in the long run. Period. And vegas makes their LONG term money, on the 10%.
I do NOT think the nba rigs or fixes games, as I blatantly stated.
Fading the super public plays is not 50/50. I don't think you can find a veteran sports handicapper who would tell you following public plays over the long run will get you out ahead (there are also websites dedicated to this theory).
As to your vegas is only looking for 50/50 money....I would also strongly disagree with this. Do you really think that if vegas wanted 50/50 money that they would have set the gstate @ pelicans line at +4.5 yesterday? They would have to set it at +8 to get even money. The books got killed on that game. If you bet gstate type teams in that scenario every time, you will lose in the long run.
I understand that you don't bet based on the lines, betting percentages, and line movement, but to discount these legitimate capping tools for others is just incorrect.
Out of curiosity, what is your capping style? How do you decide which plays to make? Not trying to hate, just trying to get some insight...
Canadian, my point is there is no way to know 100% what the super public plays are. The "general consensus" can say the "public" is on one side, but, in reality? The public is on the OTHER side, it just so happens, that the majority (public and smart money) is one side, so it looks lopsided to the ignorant, blind, consensus accumulation numbers done by websites like covers.com or freeplays.com, etc.
Do you get what I mean? So, just because you think you are "fading" the public, does not mean you are necessarily "fading" the public on every bet. You could have easily just been picking the right side, with whatever pattern you've discovered, that on the surface? Appears to be "fading the public". Do you get what I'm saying?
My analysis involves strictly matchups, road teams, and recent performance. Lines are just that...lines. Created to get even money on WAGERS. The lines have absolutely NO idea, what side is going to win. It just a spread that is decided on by the lines makers to get even money on WAGERING. And it is decided by home team, road team, points allowed, points against, etc. It means nothing about how that particular team will actual perform in that particular match up..But it is....accurate over the long run (which is why bookies always win long term), because the "public" only knows what they see on the surface. They are ignorant, and don't know garbage about match ups, and true analysis.
Canadian, my point is there is no way to know 100% what the super public plays are. The "general consensus" can say the "public" is on one side, but, in reality? The public is on the OTHER side, it just so happens, that the majority (public and smart money) is one side, so it looks lopsided to the ignorant, blind, consensus accumulation numbers done by websites like covers.com or freeplays.com, etc.
Do you get what I mean? So, just because you think you are "fading" the public, does not mean you are necessarily "fading" the public on every bet. You could have easily just been picking the right side, with whatever pattern you've discovered, that on the surface? Appears to be "fading the public". Do you get what I'm saying?
My analysis involves strictly matchups, road teams, and recent performance. Lines are just that...lines. Created to get even money on WAGERS. The lines have absolutely NO idea, what side is going to win. It just a spread that is decided on by the lines makers to get even money on WAGERING. And it is decided by home team, road team, points allowed, points against, etc. It means nothing about how that particular team will actual perform in that particular match up..But it is....accurate over the long run (which is why bookies always win long term), because the "public" only knows what they see on the surface. They are ignorant, and don't know garbage about match ups, and true analysis.
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