2 UNIT PLAYS: 7-5 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2-1 on Wednesday night with a push on the Nuggets. Hope you all had a fantastic Thanksgiving with friends and family. Now back to the grind in the most important month of the season IMO...teams have had a month to figure out who they want to be and what rotations they want to use...now it's time to put all of that into motion.
2 UNIT PLAYS: 7-5 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2-1 on Wednesday night with a push on the Nuggets. Hope you all had a fantastic Thanksgiving with friends and family. Now back to the grind in the most important month of the season IMO...teams have had a month to figure out who they want to be and what rotations they want to use...now it's time to put all of that into motion.
As excited as I am to finally watch a Celtics game after their 23 day break...it's way too difficult to pick a side or a total in this game...Noah might be out, Gibson and Rose are more than likely out. Small lean towards the Celtics to get the job done at home with a ton of rest...but not sure unless the line does something super funky.
Golden State vs Charlotte -
A big part of me wants to take the Warriors because they are hot as hell right now and kicking the crap out of everyone on this road trip. A big part of me wants to take the Hornets because there is no way they can be this bad at home, both SU and ATS and the public is huge on the Warriors early on. A big part of me wants to take the OVER because the way this Warriors offense is playing right now you have to figure them for about 110 points no matter who they are playing. Going to watch the lines and see what happens...OVER is the best lean I have right now.
Milwaukee vs Detroit -
Would set the line as Bucks as short favorites similar to the Minnesota game, and I'd put the O/U at about 194. I love the Bucks as favorites generally...but this is a sandwich game for them and the Pistons have a few big boys coming up on the schedule so they will want this one more than most. IF Jennings is able to go and I can get a few points...the Pistons might have to be the play.
Dallas vs Toronto -
Gotta wait for the full injury report to come out on the Mavericks. if Felton and Nelson are unable to go...a small play on the Raptors at home might be in order. The Mavs struggled big time against the Knicks without a point guard leader out there...Ellis seems to be more comfortable at the 2. The reason why you would have to be on the Raps in that case would be Lowry and DeRozan could tear up the backcourt of the Mavs. A ton of early bets coming in on the OVER...but it's a bit premature to call that one because of the possibility of a limited backcourt for Dallas. They only hit 190 against the Knicks in regulation.
New Orleans vs Atlanta -
A strong lean towards the Hawks as long as it doesn't skyrocket early in the morning. A decent amount of money coming in on the Hawks early...but nothing really worth noting. Hawks are much better at home while the Pelicans more than likely have very little motivation and excitement over this random two game Eastern road trip after 1 home game. I will be strongly leaning towards fading the Pels in both of these upcoming games.
LA Clippers vs Houston -
If I can get the UNDER at 205 or less for some strange reason I will jump all over it. I'd personally set the line at Clippers -5 and 200...but we will see. Public perception is that these are two high scoring teams, but the fact remains that without Howard and Beverley, the Rockets become extremely stagnant. It all depends on what the line is.
As excited as I am to finally watch a Celtics game after their 23 day break...it's way too difficult to pick a side or a total in this game...Noah might be out, Gibson and Rose are more than likely out. Small lean towards the Celtics to get the job done at home with a ton of rest...but not sure unless the line does something super funky.
Golden State vs Charlotte -
A big part of me wants to take the Warriors because they are hot as hell right now and kicking the crap out of everyone on this road trip. A big part of me wants to take the Hornets because there is no way they can be this bad at home, both SU and ATS and the public is huge on the Warriors early on. A big part of me wants to take the OVER because the way this Warriors offense is playing right now you have to figure them for about 110 points no matter who they are playing. Going to watch the lines and see what happens...OVER is the best lean I have right now.
Milwaukee vs Detroit -
Would set the line as Bucks as short favorites similar to the Minnesota game, and I'd put the O/U at about 194. I love the Bucks as favorites generally...but this is a sandwich game for them and the Pistons have a few big boys coming up on the schedule so they will want this one more than most. IF Jennings is able to go and I can get a few points...the Pistons might have to be the play.
Dallas vs Toronto -
Gotta wait for the full injury report to come out on the Mavericks. if Felton and Nelson are unable to go...a small play on the Raptors at home might be in order. The Mavs struggled big time against the Knicks without a point guard leader out there...Ellis seems to be more comfortable at the 2. The reason why you would have to be on the Raps in that case would be Lowry and DeRozan could tear up the backcourt of the Mavs. A ton of early bets coming in on the OVER...but it's a bit premature to call that one because of the possibility of a limited backcourt for Dallas. They only hit 190 against the Knicks in regulation.
New Orleans vs Atlanta -
A strong lean towards the Hawks as long as it doesn't skyrocket early in the morning. A decent amount of money coming in on the Hawks early...but nothing really worth noting. Hawks are much better at home while the Pelicans more than likely have very little motivation and excitement over this random two game Eastern road trip after 1 home game. I will be strongly leaning towards fading the Pels in both of these upcoming games.
LA Clippers vs Houston -
If I can get the UNDER at 205 or less for some strange reason I will jump all over it. I'd personally set the line at Clippers -5 and 200...but we will see. Public perception is that these are two high scoring teams, but the fact remains that without Howard and Beverley, the Rockets become extremely stagnant. It all depends on what the line is.
Going to stay completely away from these dumpster fire teams. I don't care if Westbrook and Durant are both able to go for this one...it'll be a while before we get a picture of what this team is.
Orlando vs Indiana -
Harris is back and reasonably healthy for the Magic so they have their offense essentially back in order. Pacers have been so inconsistent it's crazy. 88 and 83 against Phoenix and Charlotte...then 100 and 111 against Dallas and San Antonio? Only play I would consider in this one would be the Magic in the 1st quarter...the play that I've done well with this year.
Sacramento vs San Antonio -
Was huge on the Kings for a while there, but they faltered pretty big against the Rockets the other night. I think they are over this road trip and just looking forward to getting back home to friendlier fans. If I can get the Spurs at anything less than 7 I'll probably jump all over it. Spurs heading out East after this game, but nothing major on the schedule with Boston and Philly...focus should be 100% on the Kings.
Phoenix vs Denver -
Any money that is thrown on this game depends on whether or not I can get the Nuggets as short enough favorites (3 or less) The Suns did a good job in 1 quarter the other night to shut down the Nuggets...but let them back in late. In the thin air of Denver I have a feeling the Nuggs can get the job done. I'm sure a good amount of people would be on the OVER as well because of how the first game of the home and home went...but if it's 210 or more I would look strongly at the UNDER.
Memphis vs Portland -
If this line can get to the two possession mark, I would love to be on the Grizzlies. They clearly let their guard down against the Lakers and almost let it bite them...but they match up very well against the Blazers. Blazers rely heavily on the inside outside game and dominating boards...which is something that the Grizzlies take away from you. Unfortunately less than two possessions just isn't tasty enough of a number for me...but if I can grab 4 or more...I'm in!
Minnesota vs LA Lakers -
I'd put this line at about Lakers -2 and an O/U of 210. Lakers played very well against the Grizzlies...and actually shared the ball rather than going into Kobe shoot every time mode. Minnesota is struggling right now to put together a full 48 minutes...so a small lean towards the UNDER might also be considered...we will have to see how high the public wants this one to be!!
Going to stay completely away from these dumpster fire teams. I don't care if Westbrook and Durant are both able to go for this one...it'll be a while before we get a picture of what this team is.
Orlando vs Indiana -
Harris is back and reasonably healthy for the Magic so they have their offense essentially back in order. Pacers have been so inconsistent it's crazy. 88 and 83 against Phoenix and Charlotte...then 100 and 111 against Dallas and San Antonio? Only play I would consider in this one would be the Magic in the 1st quarter...the play that I've done well with this year.
Sacramento vs San Antonio -
Was huge on the Kings for a while there, but they faltered pretty big against the Rockets the other night. I think they are over this road trip and just looking forward to getting back home to friendlier fans. If I can get the Spurs at anything less than 7 I'll probably jump all over it. Spurs heading out East after this game, but nothing major on the schedule with Boston and Philly...focus should be 100% on the Kings.
Phoenix vs Denver -
Any money that is thrown on this game depends on whether or not I can get the Nuggets as short enough favorites (3 or less) The Suns did a good job in 1 quarter the other night to shut down the Nuggets...but let them back in late. In the thin air of Denver I have a feeling the Nuggs can get the job done. I'm sure a good amount of people would be on the OVER as well because of how the first game of the home and home went...but if it's 210 or more I would look strongly at the UNDER.
Memphis vs Portland -
If this line can get to the two possession mark, I would love to be on the Grizzlies. They clearly let their guard down against the Lakers and almost let it bite them...but they match up very well against the Blazers. Blazers rely heavily on the inside outside game and dominating boards...which is something that the Grizzlies take away from you. Unfortunately less than two possessions just isn't tasty enough of a number for me...but if I can grab 4 or more...I'm in!
Minnesota vs LA Lakers -
I'd put this line at about Lakers -2 and an O/U of 210. Lakers played very well against the Grizzlies...and actually shared the ball rather than going into Kobe shoot every time mode. Minnesota is struggling right now to put together a full 48 minutes...so a small lean towards the UNDER might also be considered...we will have to see how high the public wants this one to be!!
I said if I could get the Grizzlies at two possessions I would take them, so here I am. Just can't see the Blazers winning by that much, if at all. Prediction: Blazers 109 Grizzlies 107
I said if I could get the Grizzlies at two possessions I would take them, so here I am. Just can't see the Blazers winning by that much, if at all. Prediction: Blazers 109 Grizzlies 107
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