You guys worry about first game back off a long road trip too much and talk about like it's a bad spot, it isn't. It's not the first game back it's the second game off a long trip when at home which is the flat spot. Heat don't play many big games anymore in the regular season, maybe 5 or 6 games tops they care about and you could say look ahead to SA but I don't even believe that. SA may want revenge but Heat don't care much, they did win the title.
Have you ever noticed teams often get hot covering ats on the road. The best place for an NBA team is on the road for gamblers and the longer the trip the better. There are no distractions on long road trips just basketball. Sure the travel will eventually get to them but not for the Lakers tonight, not after a couple days rest after a tough loss. No surprise that LA is playing their best ball and for the first time all year showing confidence. Sure they'll lose but it means a lot more to them than the Heat. Heat will see that line up and say OK we can turn it up any time we want and mess around all night. Heat should never be feared laying DD points at home where they struggle. Surprising they are a respectable 4-4 ats at home as a DD fav. Usually much worse against the number. Lakers are the play.
No team has had a more favorable schedule than the Nets the past couple weeks and it shows. They get the Mavs at the perfect time last game off a 3 game trip. Mavs might be the most predictable team in the league when it comes to SU wins or losses. They win when they are supposed to and lose when they should. Teams that they are even with they split. Guess what, Nets are the better team. Record may not show it but they are. When you have your best player talking about put me on the bench it spreads and what I like best about them is how they are moving the ball on offense. Ball movement is as good if not better than anyone on the planet at the moment. Everybody touches it, they are consistently getting good looks nearly every possession and their bench is easily the best in the league. Defense has improved but more than anything it's the attitude and nobody cares who scores or plays, you can just see they want to win. Nobody needs to play more than 30 minutes. Mavs get rolled Friday and Nets again couple days off and at home resting. Interested in seeing what the line will be, Nets should be a small fav with or without Dirk. Last game against the Knicks was play of the year material, hope you listened to Scal. Nets made it a point that they wanted revenge and they never talk like that to the media.
Knicks look like a team that has given up on their coach. When Chandler rips your coach in front of the media and says you got out schemed and we switch everything when we should just play man up it's a huge problem. Melo isn't coming back next year and will opt out, just seeing Melo shake his head in disgust on the bench in what is now every game just shows what he thinks. Knicks are a dead team showing zero fight and one of the worst teams in the league ats at home. Knicks look lost on defense, it's the half way point and guys still leave shooters wide open far too often. Cats should be a strong play tomorrow.
You guys worry about first game back off a long road trip too much and talk about like it's a bad spot, it isn't. It's not the first game back it's the second game off a long trip when at home which is the flat spot. Heat don't play many big games anymore in the regular season, maybe 5 or 6 games tops they care about and you could say look ahead to SA but I don't even believe that. SA may want revenge but Heat don't care much, they did win the title.
Have you ever noticed teams often get hot covering ats on the road. The best place for an NBA team is on the road for gamblers and the longer the trip the better. There are no distractions on long road trips just basketball. Sure the travel will eventually get to them but not for the Lakers tonight, not after a couple days rest after a tough loss. No surprise that LA is playing their best ball and for the first time all year showing confidence. Sure they'll lose but it means a lot more to them than the Heat. Heat will see that line up and say OK we can turn it up any time we want and mess around all night. Heat should never be feared laying DD points at home where they struggle. Surprising they are a respectable 4-4 ats at home as a DD fav. Usually much worse against the number. Lakers are the play.
No team has had a more favorable schedule than the Nets the past couple weeks and it shows. They get the Mavs at the perfect time last game off a 3 game trip. Mavs might be the most predictable team in the league when it comes to SU wins or losses. They win when they are supposed to and lose when they should. Teams that they are even with they split. Guess what, Nets are the better team. Record may not show it but they are. When you have your best player talking about put me on the bench it spreads and what I like best about them is how they are moving the ball on offense. Ball movement is as good if not better than anyone on the planet at the moment. Everybody touches it, they are consistently getting good looks nearly every possession and their bench is easily the best in the league. Defense has improved but more than anything it's the attitude and nobody cares who scores or plays, you can just see they want to win. Nobody needs to play more than 30 minutes. Mavs get rolled Friday and Nets again couple days off and at home resting. Interested in seeing what the line will be, Nets should be a small fav with or without Dirk. Last game against the Knicks was play of the year material, hope you listened to Scal. Nets made it a point that they wanted revenge and they never talk like that to the media.
Knicks look like a team that has given up on their coach. When Chandler rips your coach in front of the media and says you got out schemed and we switch everything when we should just play man up it's a huge problem. Melo isn't coming back next year and will opt out, just seeing Melo shake his head in disgust on the bench in what is now every game just shows what he thinks. Knicks are a dead team showing zero fight and one of the worst teams in the league ats at home. Knicks look lost on defense, it's the half way point and guys still leave shooters wide open far too often. Cats should be a strong play tomorrow.
Not sure how you don't fade the Bucks Friday. 4-10 ats coming off an ats cover. 1-6 ats off a SU win. Shame on the Cavs if they don't win by DD tomorrow.
Not sure how you don't fade the Bucks Friday. 4-10 ats coming off an ats cover. 1-6 ats off a SU win. Shame on the Cavs if they don't win by DD tomorrow.
Interesting line with the Knicks. -3.5 seems almost too easy taking the Cats. Eh would have liked a lower line for the Cats. Thought it would open 3 or 2.5. Maybe I'm over thinking it but kind of think that's a strong line for the Knicks. That line will only go down, why give the hook? Could have gotten same Cats money on +2.
One game that jumped out was Memphis. Getting 5.5? Rockets when they lose 2 in a row ats are 0-5 ats the next game. Last 5 SU losses Memphis is 5-0 ats. Memphis has 3 days rest, Rockets off 1 day is 10-15 ats. Would have loved +6 but not going to see that number. 18-6 home team is giving less than 2 buckets to a 9-7 road team (20-20). Memphis is the correct side. Will really look into this game more.
Interesting line with the Knicks. -3.5 seems almost too easy taking the Cats. Eh would have liked a lower line for the Cats. Thought it would open 3 or 2.5. Maybe I'm over thinking it but kind of think that's a strong line for the Knicks. That line will only go down, why give the hook? Could have gotten same Cats money on +2.
One game that jumped out was Memphis. Getting 5.5? Rockets when they lose 2 in a row ats are 0-5 ats the next game. Last 5 SU losses Memphis is 5-0 ats. Memphis has 3 days rest, Rockets off 1 day is 10-15 ats. Would have loved +6 but not going to see that number. 18-6 home team is giving less than 2 buckets to a 9-7 road team (20-20). Memphis is the correct side. Will really look into this game more.
Memphis is now 0-10 in the division, the only team in the league not to have one division win. They thought they would finally break the goose egg against the Pelicans but not to be. They've been getting killed in the local media and now been asked about ad nauseam about this streak in the division. The players are sick of hearing about it and are embarrassed. Look for a big effort from the Grizz tomorrow.
Memphis is now 0-10 in the division, the only team in the league not to have one division win. They thought they would finally break the goose egg against the Pelicans but not to be. They've been getting killed in the local media and now been asked about ad nauseam about this streak in the division. The players are sick of hearing about it and are embarrassed. Look for a big effort from the Grizz tomorrow.
No team in the league has blown more big leads than the Mavs. They are bad defensively and one of the worst at rebounding. Nets are going to kill them all night on the boards. Funny seeing Dirk for the first time getting rest with no injury. Smart move and he's the reason why they have a winning record and still a great player. But they are zero threat and an 8 seed. Any Mav fan will tell you this is one of the dumber teams in the league.
Good job Lakers .
Not betting it but Denver and the over seem like the proper side.
No team in the league has blown more big leads than the Mavs. They are bad defensively and one of the worst at rebounding. Nets are going to kill them all night on the boards. Funny seeing Dirk for the first time getting rest with no injury. Smart move and he's the reason why they have a winning record and still a great player. But they are zero threat and an 8 seed. Any Mav fan will tell you this is one of the dumber teams in the league.
Good job Lakers .
Not betting it but Denver and the over seem like the proper side.
Good analysis but fading Teams on the 1st game back from a road trip has been money since I have been tracking this year. Looking to follow your plays 2 Moro cause they make too much sense not to.
Good analysis but fading Teams on the 1st game back from a road trip has been money since I have been tracking this year. Looking to follow your plays 2 Moro cause they make too much sense not to.
This season, teams are 65-91 ATS in their 1st game home from a road trip of two or more games. Only a few teams have a winning record in that situation. If you just blind bet that spot against the home team you would be hitting at a 58% clip. Most gamblers would be happy with that.
This season, teams are 65-91 ATS in their 1st game home from a road trip of two or more games. Only a few teams have a winning record in that situation. If you just blind bet that spot against the home team you would be hitting at a 58% clip. Most gamblers would be happy with that.
165 preciate the knowledge you spit out dude didn't think that 2nd game of a home team after long road trip would be flat spot. I also like your plays bro and may tail. BOL bro
165 preciate the knowledge you spit out dude didn't think that 2nd game of a home team after long road trip would be flat spot. I also like your plays bro and may tail. BOL bro
This season, teams are 65-91 ATS in their 1st game home from a road trip of two or more games. Only a few teams have a winning record in that situation. If you just blind bet that spot against the home team you would be hitting at a 58% clip. Most gamblers would be happy with that.
This season, teams are 65-91 ATS in their 1st game home from a road trip of two or more games. Only a few teams have a winning record in that situation. If you just blind bet that spot against the home team you would be hitting at a 58% clip. Most gamblers would be happy with that.
This season teams are 41-49 ATS in their 2nd game home from a road trip of two games or more. Betting against teams in that spot would've been hitting at a 54% clip.
This season teams are 41-49 ATS in their 2nd game home from a road trip of two games or more. Betting against teams in that spot would've been hitting at a 54% clip.
Kimoins check what it is 4 games on the road or more and 2nd game at home. The numbers are simply staggering. Glad I could teach you one of the great NBA angles.
Kimoins check what it is 4 games on the road or more and 2nd game at home. The numbers are simply staggering. Glad I could teach you one of the great NBA angles.
Wow... thought it was higher % but I also try to select the ones where I think there's a let down to be had. For instance, a good team returning home playing a really bad team. Good teams usually have a harder time "getting up" for these type of games. Its hard to bet on these bad teams but it usually works out. Guess I've been lucky this month.
Wow... thought it was higher % but I also try to select the ones where I think there's a let down to be had. For instance, a good team returning home playing a really bad team. Good teams usually have a harder time "getting up" for these type of games. Its hard to bet on these bad teams but it usually works out. Guess I've been lucky this month.
Kimoins check what it is 4 games on the road or more and 2nd game at home. The numbers are simply staggering. Glad I could teach you one of the great NBA angles.
This season, teams are 10-11 ATS playing in their 2nd home game off a road trip of 4 games.
Kimoins check what it is 4 games on the road or more and 2nd game at home. The numbers are simply staggering. Glad I could teach you one of the great NBA angles.
This season, teams are 10-11 ATS playing in their 2nd home game off a road trip of 4 games.
Kimoins check what it is 4 games on the road or more and 2nd game at home. The numbers are simply staggering. Glad I could teach you one of the great NBA angles.
Do you have numbers that back up your claim that go further back than this season? I would be interested in playing this angle if it were as truly staggering as you claim. I'm not impressed with this season's numbers.
Kimoins check what it is 4 games on the road or more and 2nd game at home. The numbers are simply staggering. Glad I could teach you one of the great NBA angles.
Do you have numbers that back up your claim that go further back than this season? I would be interested in playing this angle if it were as truly staggering as you claim. I'm not impressed with this season's numbers.
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