2-2 yesterday missing out on both of my Unders...which was no surprise since every game went over the total. The Early Sunday Under theory has been great to me the past couple of years, but it is quite obvious that it has run its course. Another week, more chances to get back in the game.
2-2 yesterday missing out on both of my Unders...which was no surprise since every game went over the total. The Early Sunday Under theory has been great to me the past couple of years, but it is quite obvious that it has run its course. Another week, more chances to get back in the game.
Capped this one right about where it is. Small lean towards the Wizards and the OVER right now as the Magic aren't good on the road and this is the first game of a decent sized road trip for them. Last 5 road games for the Magic have seen an average of 211 points scored. The Wizards also tend to play to higher totals at home as well. Might be a nice combination platter tonight, as I can see a 105-97 win for the Wiz. Only thing that might sway me one way or another off these predictions is the injury to Jameer Nelson. Magic clearly didn't have a solid backup for him with Moore or Lamb.
New Orleans vs Chicago -
Capped the spread just about right...but the total I would have put in the 180's somewhere. Without the two biggest players for both teams going in this one, I don't know where the scoring is going to come from. So much of the Pelicans offense is based around Anthony Davis...from his shot blocking and fast breaks, to his rebounding and actual offensive skills. I know that it should also mean slightly easier inside points for the Bulls...but they haven't exactly been lighting it up there either. I'll probably stay away from the spread as well as our good friend Matt Boland the home killer is on the game (1-12 ATS...8-5 SU). Bulls only allow 82 points per game at the United Center...fairly strong lean towards the UNDER.
Atlanta vs San Antonio -
I capped this one at Spurs -8 and a total of 204. This was the game I was farthest off on. Spurs have hit a little bit of a snag here in the past week and have lost a couple of games. They are also only 2-3 ATS when favorites of 10 or more points. On the flip side of that however, the Hawks are 0-3 ATS when they are getting more than 5 points...so they struggle against the really good teams. I really like the OVER in this one but will have to wait and see if there is a finalized status on Jeff Teague before the game. The Hawks are not a very deep team...the Spurs are.
Houston vs Utah -
Capped this one just about right as well...small lean towards the OVER right now if anything. Houston has been absolutely killing teams over the past couple of weeks...and on paper there isn't much reason to think that won't continue. The Rockets are nursing some injuries heading into this one...and they head home for a week after this game. Might be a "do enough to win" type of game, which scares me off the lines quite a bit.
Indiana vs Portland -
Best game on the board tonight...lean towards the UNDER right now if anything simply because it's the Pacers. I still find it amazing that 2 out of the 3 losses from the Blazers this year have come at the hands of the Suns. Might also have to play the Blazers early on in the game as the Pacers are coming off a pretty tough game yesterday against the Clippers and they generally start off extremely slow.
Capped this one right about where it is. Small lean towards the Wizards and the OVER right now as the Magic aren't good on the road and this is the first game of a decent sized road trip for them. Last 5 road games for the Magic have seen an average of 211 points scored. The Wizards also tend to play to higher totals at home as well. Might be a nice combination platter tonight, as I can see a 105-97 win for the Wiz. Only thing that might sway me one way or another off these predictions is the injury to Jameer Nelson. Magic clearly didn't have a solid backup for him with Moore or Lamb.
New Orleans vs Chicago -
Capped the spread just about right...but the total I would have put in the 180's somewhere. Without the two biggest players for both teams going in this one, I don't know where the scoring is going to come from. So much of the Pelicans offense is based around Anthony Davis...from his shot blocking and fast breaks, to his rebounding and actual offensive skills. I know that it should also mean slightly easier inside points for the Bulls...but they haven't exactly been lighting it up there either. I'll probably stay away from the spread as well as our good friend Matt Boland the home killer is on the game (1-12 ATS...8-5 SU). Bulls only allow 82 points per game at the United Center...fairly strong lean towards the UNDER.
Atlanta vs San Antonio -
I capped this one at Spurs -8 and a total of 204. This was the game I was farthest off on. Spurs have hit a little bit of a snag here in the past week and have lost a couple of games. They are also only 2-3 ATS when favorites of 10 or more points. On the flip side of that however, the Hawks are 0-3 ATS when they are getting more than 5 points...so they struggle against the really good teams. I really like the OVER in this one but will have to wait and see if there is a finalized status on Jeff Teague before the game. The Hawks are not a very deep team...the Spurs are.
Houston vs Utah -
Capped this one just about right as well...small lean towards the OVER right now if anything. Houston has been absolutely killing teams over the past couple of weeks...and on paper there isn't much reason to think that won't continue. The Rockets are nursing some injuries heading into this one...and they head home for a week after this game. Might be a "do enough to win" type of game, which scares me off the lines quite a bit.
Indiana vs Portland -
Best game on the board tonight...lean towards the UNDER right now if anything simply because it's the Pacers. I still find it amazing that 2 out of the 3 losses from the Blazers this year have come at the hands of the Suns. Might also have to play the Blazers early on in the game as the Pacers are coming off a pretty tough game yesterday against the Clippers and they generally start off extremely slow.
Under Over always risky, depends on percentages and so many angles, if you tease them like yesterday game Okl-Mine teasing by over 199 is banker, If two run and and gun team plays easy to say over, if one team defensive, the other is run and gun, then difficult which one will adapt each others game, and overtime also matter for under games, so on risky always.
As for Indy Game, Look at yesterday Indy-Clippers game went over, Is all about manager's decision and percentages during game always risky
Under Over always risky, depends on percentages and so many angles, if you tease them like yesterday game Okl-Mine teasing by over 199 is banker, If two run and and gun team plays easy to say over, if one team defensive, the other is run and gun, then difficult which one will adapt each others game, and overtime also matter for under games, so on risky always.
As for Indy Game, Look at yesterday Indy-Clippers game went over, Is all about manager's decision and percentages during game always risky
Probably going to stay away from the NO/CHI game to see how the injury affects the Pelicans. It's something that I have always stuck to when a major player gets hurt in the season.
Probably going to stay away from the NO/CHI game to see how the injury affects the Pelicans. It's something that I have always stuck to when a major player gets hurt in the season.
Orlando vs Washington UNDER 49 1st Quarter ($110 to win $100)
Nelson is doubtful....Beal is still out. Past couple of games for the Wizards have started off slowly...and I really think it will take a little while for the Magic to adjust to life without a true point guard.
Orlando vs Washington UNDER 49 1st Quarter ($110 to win $100)
Nelson is doubtful....Beal is still out. Past couple of games for the Wizards have started off slowly...and I really think it will take a little while for the Magic to adjust to life without a true point guard.
Atlanta vs San Antonio OVER 198 ($220 to win $200)
The Hawks on the road against the Western Conference allow 109 points per game. I figure the Spurs will hit that number or come damn close to it. If that happens...I am fairly certain that Atlanta can muster up 90 points or more.
Atlanta vs San Antonio OVER 198 ($220 to win $200)
The Hawks on the road against the Western Conference allow 109 points per game. I figure the Spurs will hit that number or come damn close to it. If that happens...I am fairly certain that Atlanta can muster up 90 points or more.
Don't often comment in your thread but always appreciate your thoughts. Am looking closely for the best Under games tonight after the 8-0 and 5-2 overs the last 2 nights. The NO/Bulls game is very appealing as the number appears to be set high presumably on the basis of NO 8-1 Over in their last 9 (and generally over a higher number than has been set tonight). This said, with the exception of Spurs, they have been playing sides certainly not renowned for their defence. Chicago pride themselves on their defence and without Davis I can see NO having a tough time putting up a high number. I expect Bulls to grind out the win on the back of their defence and can see perhaps 8 points of value in the total that has been set.
I'm sure you will turn your season around and best of luck to you.
Don't often comment in your thread but always appreciate your thoughts. Am looking closely for the best Under games tonight after the 8-0 and 5-2 overs the last 2 nights. The NO/Bulls game is very appealing as the number appears to be set high presumably on the basis of NO 8-1 Over in their last 9 (and generally over a higher number than has been set tonight). This said, with the exception of Spurs, they have been playing sides certainly not renowned for their defence. Chicago pride themselves on their defence and without Davis I can see NO having a tough time putting up a high number. I expect Bulls to grind out the win on the back of their defence and can see perhaps 8 points of value in the total that has been set.
I'm sure you will turn your season around and best of luck to you.
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