Scott Foster and the Heavily Moved Line

Forum: NBA Betting Page 2 of 2  1 2  
Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: Scott Foster and the Heavily Moved Line
Mikado PM Mikado
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Posted: 6/14/2013 12:43:31 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by 3BallBomber:

this is the best thread today. i was already big on the cheats. when i saw foster was reffing i was pretty much all in. i put the last of my bk in the 2h on the cheats. i'm having a hell of a fianls basing my plays on fixed and manipulated games.

keep it going Mikado.

lol.  I did the same buddy.  I broke gambling rule #1 and put about 30% of my roll on Miami 2nd half on 4 different alt lines.  I would never advise to do that, but seeing Scott Foster and Mike Callahan officiating in the 1st half made it one of the easiest decisions I have made all season.  
3BallBomber PM 3BallBomber
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Posted: 6/14/2013 1:03:15 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Mikado:


lol.  I did the same buddy.  I broke gambling rule #1 and put about 30% of my roll on Miami 2nd half on 4 different alt lines.  I would never advise to do that, but seeing Scott Foster and Mike Callahan officiating in the 1st half made it one of the easiest decisions I have made all season.  

it wasn't quite that easy for me as i've never really invested in that much money in one game before. but i was so heavily invested already i grew the balls to go all the way w/ what i saw in the game in regards to the cheats getting those calls to edge the game. just glad it paid off or i would have been done for the finals & just way for my pending wagers on Miami.

well done to us. absolutely nailed it
theclaw PM theclaw
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Posted: 6/14/2013 10:18:32 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Mikado:

A little research into this topic reveals some interesting patterns.  Whether you buy into the fact that the NBA is a fixed league or not is regardless, the point is you can still make money if you know what to look for. 

After watching almost half of the game and seeing where the calls are going, it seems fairly obvious to me that Scott Foster is getting a little too generous towards the Heat (if you have not seen it with the Bulls and Pacers series). 

Line opened with the Spurs being a 2 point favorite, yet tipped at a 1 point dog.  I am not going to go into too much detail here because all of this is Googable (if that is a term yet) - but when Scott Foster is on a game where the line moves more than two points is a SOLID indicator the team of the direction of that movement will be a winner.

We can talk about all the interworkings of the matchups and psychology of a Game 4, but you are watching this game blind if you think the officials do not matter. 

Chalk it up for MIA 

 

Spurs 31 free throws

Heat 17

Heat didn't win because of Foster, they won because they are the better team that was desperate, shooting a spectacular 52.9% from the field to the Spurs 44.3%.

The team that shoots the higher % wins about 79% of all games and  when a team is out-shot by such a large margin those %'s go way up, Foster had nothing to do with that, the Heat players did...................................................

Not buying the fix is in stuff...........................................

shrimp1958 PM shrimp1958
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Posted: 6/14/2013 10:29:52 AM
shrimp1958 PM shrimp1958
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Posted: 6/14/2013 10:42:45 AM
Hey McAdoo...I got your Old Geezer right here.....

The Heat will bust them again Sunday night IF they play with the same fire they did last night..
kaponofor3 PM kaponofor3
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Posted: 6/14/2013 11:11:16 AM
Mikado -- any chance you would have thought that the foul shot total in this game would have been 31 for SAS and 17 for MIA, and that MIA would have won by 16?

Very strange result
kaponofor3 PM kaponofor3
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Posted: 6/14/2013 11:12:37 AM
Good to see you posting btw Mikado, hope all is well for you friend
tim1962 PM tim1962
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Posted: 6/14/2013 11:37:17 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Mikado:

This series kinda reminds me of how MIA played in the regular season.  
Effort was extremely varying, but as we have seen (like vs Pistons and Cavs this year) they can come back from getting their azz handed to them for 36 minutes, they just have to find that motivation and drive.  When Miami is turned on, they cannot be stopped - best team in the league.  However SA can win this series and that starts with consistency on D, they cannot let Miami find their confidence, especially in transition and from the 3 pt line.  SA needs to play 48 minutes of strict D like Game 3 and do not let Miami get in their zone.  SA's offense will find itself enough points to win, they just cannot do too much and start making mistakes on the offensive end turning their TO's into easy MIA buckets.  
YOU HIT IT RIGHT ON THE HEAD, DEFENSE AND KEEP THE TURN OVERS IN CHECK.
tim1962 PM tim1962
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Posted: 6/14/2013 11:38:17 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Mikado:


lol.  I did the same buddy.  I broke gambling rule #1 and put about 30% of my roll on Miami 2nd half on 4 different alt lines.  I would never advise to do that, but seeing Scott Foster and Mike Callahan officiating in the 1st half made it one of the easiest decisions I have made all season.  
GREAT MOVE
Mad_Skillz123 PM Mad_Skillz123
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Posted: 6/14/2013 2:09:27 PM
jimmythejap PM jimmythejap
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Posted: 6/16/2013 7:28:54 PM
Any leans tonite
Mikado PM Mikado
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Posted: 6/16/2013 8:04:43 PM
I'm on Spurs heavy.  If you look into Tony Brothers and Ed Malloy with the Miami Heat it will yield some interesting results. 

Good Luck to everybody in the Association
MoneyShot PM MoneyShot
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Posted: 6/16/2013 8:23:07 PM
GL
Posted using a mobile device.
jimmythejap PM jimmythejap
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Posted: 6/16/2013 8:32:41 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Mikado:

I'm on Spurs heavy.  If you look into Tony Brothers and Ed Malloy with the Miami Heat it will yield some interesting results. 

Good Luck to everybody in the Association

 

GL

 

HeadOverHeart PM HeadOverHeart
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Posted: 6/16/2013 8:35:13 PM
3BallBomber PM 3BallBomber
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Posted: 6/16/2013 8:45:44 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Mikado:

I'm on Spurs heavy.  If you look into Tony Brothers and Ed Malloy with the Miami Heat it will yield some interesting results. 

Good Luck to everybody in the Association

mccutchen too bro. miami is something like 1-4 when he has ref'd in the last 3 playoffs so far. will this be 1-5?!?
jimmythejap PM jimmythejap
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Posted: 6/18/2013 7:49:44 PM
Any leans for game six and totals

Mikado PM Mikado
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Posted: 6/20/2013 6:24:32 PM
Scott Foster and the rabbit out of the hat.

Expect the unexpected.

Spurs +6
Mikado PM Mikado
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Posted: 6/20/2013 6:30:07 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jimmythejap:

Any leans for game six and totals



I don't do totals anymore.

There is some interesting research that shows those who predict totals are worse at predicting outcomes - and those who bet outcomes are worse at predicting totals.  Find your strengths and use it to your advantage. 
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