37 Games 74 Teams 0 Pushes on Original Spread 9 Games of 37 Finished Between 0.5-3 Points Off Original Spread
Portland -1 Golden St. -1 Brooklyn -1 Minnesota -1.5 Sacramento -2.5 Washington -2.5 Philadelphia -3 LA Lakers -3 Utah -3
\/---------UPDATED FIRST 33 DAYS OF 2013 STATS-------\/
NBA STATS from Tuesday, January 1, 2013 through Friday, February 1, 2013
238 games 476 teams 4 games pushed on original spread 51 teams lost by 0.5 to 3 points against original spread
Buy 0.5 point (-120) 7 losses to pushes (1.47%) 4 pushes to wins (0.84%) 2.31% of total bets changed by buying 0.5 point
Buy 1 point (-130) 12 pushes (2.52%) 11 wins (2.31%) 4.83% of total bets changed by buying 1 point
Buy 1.5 points (-140) 8 pushes (1.68%) 23 wins (4.83%) 6.51% of total bets changed by buying 1.5 points
Buy 2 points (-155) 6 pushes (1.26%) 31 wins (6.51%) 7.77% of total bets changed by buying 2 points
Buy 2.5 points (-175) 7 pushes (1.47%) 37 wins (7.77%) 9.24% of total bets changed by buying 2.5 points
Buy 3 points (-195) 11 pushes (2.31%) 44 wins (9.24%) 11.55% of total bets changed by buying 3 points
On
3 points, on average 11.55% of bets that normally would have been a
loss would be either a push or a win, but on the other 88.45% of the bets
(regardless of win or lose), you are losing 77% MORE MONEY than
"normal juiced" bet on the original spread of -110.
Paying 77% more for only 11.55% insurance!
If
you think a game is going to be THAT CLOSE to the original spread, why
are you even thinking of betting on the game?!?!?THERE ARE BETTER BETS
ON THE BOARD!!!!!
/\---------UPDATED FIRST 33 DAYS OF 2013 STATS-------/\
37 Games 74 Teams 0 Pushes on Original Spread 9 Games of 37 Finished Between 0.5-3 Points Off Original Spread
Portland -1 Golden St. -1 Brooklyn -1 Minnesota -1.5 Sacramento -2.5 Washington -2.5 Philadelphia -3 LA Lakers -3 Utah -3
\/---------UPDATED FIRST 33 DAYS OF 2013 STATS-------\/
NBA STATS from Tuesday, January 1, 2013 through Friday, February 1, 2013
238 games 476 teams 4 games pushed on original spread 51 teams lost by 0.5 to 3 points against original spread
Buy 0.5 point (-120) 7 losses to pushes (1.47%) 4 pushes to wins (0.84%) 2.31% of total bets changed by buying 0.5 point
Buy 1 point (-130) 12 pushes (2.52%) 11 wins (2.31%) 4.83% of total bets changed by buying 1 point
Buy 1.5 points (-140) 8 pushes (1.68%) 23 wins (4.83%) 6.51% of total bets changed by buying 1.5 points
Buy 2 points (-155) 6 pushes (1.26%) 31 wins (6.51%) 7.77% of total bets changed by buying 2 points
Buy 2.5 points (-175) 7 pushes (1.47%) 37 wins (7.77%) 9.24% of total bets changed by buying 2.5 points
Buy 3 points (-195) 11 pushes (2.31%) 44 wins (9.24%) 11.55% of total bets changed by buying 3 points
On
3 points, on average 11.55% of bets that normally would have been a
loss would be either a push or a win, but on the other 88.45% of the bets
(regardless of win or lose), you are losing 77% MORE MONEY than
"normal juiced" bet on the original spread of -110.
Paying 77% more for only 11.55% insurance!
If
you think a game is going to be THAT CLOSE to the original spread, why
are you even thinking of betting on the game?!?!?THERE ARE BETTER BETS
ON THE BOARD!!!!!
/\---------UPDATED FIRST 33 DAYS OF 2013 STATS-------/\
People on these forums have brought up that "they only pick the games that matter" as if they are psychic or something, but in the reality of the situation, IT DOESN'T MATTER HOW YOU BUY THEM,...BUYING ANY AMOUNT OF POINTS IN ANY SITUATION IN ANY FORM OF BASKETBALL HAS A NEGATIVE EFFECT TO YOUR BANK ROLL.
A few people stated that they "only buy the hook" or half point, whereas the 0.5 point data shows that there is NO advantage to only buying 0.5 points as compared to any other amount. The bottom line is that the amount of added juice you pay on your bets IS NOT GREATER than the amount of money "saved" by extra wins or pushes.
A few people have believed that "only buying points on games that have low ORIGINAL SPREADS" as compared to buying points on games with higher original spreads is profitable...BUT after doing statistical data on games of PUSH to 3 points of original spread and then buying 0.5 to 3 points on them, showed NO difference in probabilities or anything near being profitable.
A few people have thought that "buying games to 7 points" was profitable to them where 7 points is a "3-score game" and teams "give-up" at that number, the stats and research STILL said that buying points was ANYTHING NEAR being PROFITABLE.
Though the stats DID show that MORE BETS were affected by buying points to 7 than buying to 6 or 8 points (approximately twice as much chances), it DID NOT SHOW A HIGH ENOUGH PROBABILITY to SAVE MORE MONEY through more pushes and wins THAN THE ADDED JUICE PAID ON ALL BETS.
People on these forums have brought up that "they only pick the games that matter" as if they are psychic or something, but in the reality of the situation, IT DOESN'T MATTER HOW YOU BUY THEM,...BUYING ANY AMOUNT OF POINTS IN ANY SITUATION IN ANY FORM OF BASKETBALL HAS A NEGATIVE EFFECT TO YOUR BANK ROLL.
A few people stated that they "only buy the hook" or half point, whereas the 0.5 point data shows that there is NO advantage to only buying 0.5 points as compared to any other amount. The bottom line is that the amount of added juice you pay on your bets IS NOT GREATER than the amount of money "saved" by extra wins or pushes.
A few people have believed that "only buying points on games that have low ORIGINAL SPREADS" as compared to buying points on games with higher original spreads is profitable...BUT after doing statistical data on games of PUSH to 3 points of original spread and then buying 0.5 to 3 points on them, showed NO difference in probabilities or anything near being profitable.
A few people have thought that "buying games to 7 points" was profitable to them where 7 points is a "3-score game" and teams "give-up" at that number, the stats and research STILL said that buying points was ANYTHING NEAR being PROFITABLE.
Though the stats DID show that MORE BETS were affected by buying points to 7 than buying to 6 or 8 points (approximately twice as much chances), it DID NOT SHOW A HIGH ENOUGH PROBABILITY to SAVE MORE MONEY through more pushes and wins THAN THE ADDED JUICE PAID ON ALL BETS.
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