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Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: 1st Half under system
radiobam send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#26
Posted: 1/19/2013 6:45:20 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Ramathorn02:

I can't this early, well I guess I can.  I just look up what the espn, tnt, or abc games are on and I bet the under in the first.  I'd do it on nba tv too, if I have time.


oh i didnt mean today or right now, just when the plays present themselves and on that today

anyways best of luck
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air23blc
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#27
Posted: 1/19/2013 6:49:38 PM
Ram I'm going to start a new thread so that I can track all of the plays that are on league pass, local and national tv
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#28
Posted: 1/19/2013 8:34:18 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by radiobam:



oh i didnt mean today or right now, just when the plays present themselves and on that today

anyways best of luck

Gotcha.  I'll try.  Usually, espn and tnt have games on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday right?  That's when I look, I'll post then I guess.

 

Problem is I have a shady behind bookie who will start shading garbage, so I may have to fade eventually.  Hot start, but I want this system to go 80-50, so I know we will suffer losses.

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#29
Posted: 1/19/2013 8:36:38 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by air23blc:

Ram I'm going to start a new thread so that I can track all of the plays that are on league pass, local and national tv

 

Sounds good. 

 

 

 

 

This is really funny.  I can tell everyone here most of the best I made my first two years were on the game over in football and basketball.  I guess when you're desperate you bet the over, hahah.  Seriously, 90% of my bets must've been overs.  Just couldn't get myself to be the under.

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#30
Posted: 1/20/2013 1:08:51 AM
This system makes perfect sense, simple and obviously effective, well done Ram! 
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#31
Posted: 1/20/2013 6:09:07 AM
Ram,

Had a bit of time on my hands so back-tested for last season for TNT televised games.

43 games televised on TNT, using the system results are:
1H under (win) - 21 games
1H over but 2H under (win) - 12 games
winning games - 33/43

Unfortunately the fact that if both halves go over it loses us 3 units meant that the system 'only' gave a profit of 5 units.

Now for the interesting (for me anyway) part. If we only take the games after 12th Jan 2012 (roughly when you started following it this year) the results are:

34 games
1H Under (win) - 19 games
1H Over but 2H under (win) -11 games
Winning games 30/34 (+18 units)

The televised games up to Jan 12th were very high scoring (totals including 222,225,226 (6 of of 10 televised games >200). Now for those who believe in conspiracy theories the scenario could be - start the season with high-scoring televised games so the public get used to backing the overs and winning. Then, bang, the unders hit for the rest of the season.
Also, 2 out of the 4 'losing' games after Jan 12th were on the same day (the first televised games after the All Star game. High ratings, a lot of public interest, again, 'look folks both games above 200, remember how high-scoring the NBA is and how the overs always win?'. Then the unders get up in 15 out of the last 16. Food for thought.
 
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#32
Posted: 1/20/2013 10:28:36 AM

Good stuff Jambo.  I have no doubt this system will not to be faded.

 

Also, a school of thought is not doubling up in the second half, just betting one unit. 

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#33
Posted: 1/20/2013 10:31:07 AM

I meant should be faded at some point, but wow great stats Jambo. 

 

I think as the season wears on fatigue is a factor, fighting for a playoff spot could be a factor, etc.

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#34
Posted: 1/20/2013 10:33:38 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by PatrickHenry2K:

This system makes perfect sense, simple and obviously effective, well done Ram! 

Thanks Patrick!!

 

 

I know the games tend to go under on Christmas day, wonder if MLK day will be the same.

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#35
Posted: 1/20/2013 11:40:37 AM
Ramathorn02...... I read all about the system and try to check the game they play on televise. How about when they play on ABC Sacramento not ABC alone like on Jan 25th. Is it count in the system?
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#36
Posted: 1/20/2013 11:56:10 AM
So this system for college football too Rama?
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#37
Posted: 1/20/2013 1:05:26 PM
Here we go with Roulette again.
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#38
Posted: 1/20/2013 10:42:14 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by bbe_bb_2006:

Ramathorn02...... I read all about the system and try to check the game they play on televise. How about when they play on ABC Sacramento not ABC alone like on Jan 25th. Is it count in the system?

For me no. 

 

I only play the ones televised nationally.  ESpn, tnt.

 

To answer your other question, someone did the CFB under system during bowl games only and it was a big hit.  So, I tried it on NBA televised only.

 

 

Right now, 1st halves aren't even available on my book for some reason.  Wonder if he's just being a person.

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#39
Posted: 1/21/2013 10:17:15 AM
so for today it would be:

Pacers/Griz U87 (this looks like a loser, haha)
Nets/Knicks U97.5
Spurs/Sixers U98


All look scary as hell.  Good luck if you play them.
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#40
Posted: 1/21/2013 10:55:12 AM
So on the weekend when they play on ABC...... Is those game in the system to or only on TNT...ESPN and NBA TV?
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#41
Posted: 1/21/2013 10:56:13 AM
Rama....So on the weekend when they play on ABC...... Is those game in the system to or only on TNT...ESPN and NBA TV?
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#42
Posted: 1/21/2013 2:12:16 PM
Another win on the Pacers-Grizzlies early game on ESPN today.  1st half line was 86...1st half ended 82. 
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#43
Posted: 1/21/2013 2:15:36 PM
Winner winner chicken dinner!
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#44
Posted: 1/21/2013 2:16:11 PM
Is he not gonna update this thread? I forgot lol
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#45
Posted: 1/21/2013 2:19:30 PM
how do you check what games are nationally televised?
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#46
Posted: 1/21/2013 2:26:24 PM
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#47
Posted: 1/21/2013 2:28:36 PM
Lakers and bulls on TNT as well tonight?
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#48
Posted: 1/21/2013 2:28:41 PM
13-0

Indy/Memphis under first half

they couldnt score 4 points in 2 mins. thank god.

2 games on TNT tonight
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#49
Posted: 1/21/2013 2:28:44 PM
So is there a play on the Knicks and Nets game on NBATV or do we wait until Spurs and Sixers?
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#50
Posted: 1/21/2013 2:32:29 PM
knicks and nets -NBA Tv
Spurs and 76ers - TNT
Lakers and Bulls - TNT

This is what i have on espn.com
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