Posted: 6/11/2012 10:21:14 PM
First thing I will say is I hate OKC...cant stand them...hate harden..hate westbrook....i have not bet okc once all year...when i think they r the right side i simply dont play them....that being said
Lets break it down
Home Court : Adv OKC
Coaching: Adv OKC
PG : Adv OKC
SG: Wade vs Sefelosha-Harden ( we will be generous and say even, but the way Wade is playing OKC has an advantage) not to mention Wade is hurt
SF: Big ADV Miami ( lets not hate on Lebron, dudes a beast, a freak he can defend, rebound, score, pass, most complete player in the NBA and im not a fan of lebron at all, but i think durant will struggle against lebron and lebron will have his way
PF-C: I will combine these two cause of matchups...I think we will see Ibaka defensively on Bosh and Perkins on Halsem...
We all realize how important bosh is for Miami...that being said Ibaka will have his way...his physicality will give bosh a lot of problems....
Bench: Obviously very short rotations here, and I think the home team will have the advantage here (as benches usually do)
Miami has lost home games to Indiana and Boston, OKC undefeated at home....so the 2-3-2 hurts Miami as the pressure to win 3 straight in Miami will get to them....its just too much.....obviously i believe OKC will be up 2-0 headed to south beach.....i dont see Miami winning Game 2 ( that would be the one to steal)
In my humble opinion Lebron can outscore Durant by 10-12 and wont matter...the more Lebron scores the more the others struggle.....I think OKC will gladly let Lebron get his and not let Bosh and Wade get going.....
OKC is a better team....Miami has been down twice in the playoffs...and both times had to steal an away game to avoid going down 3-1 or being eliminated...they did it because they were playing inferior teams...OKC is not an inferior team..they wont come back on OKC once they go down....
Miami beats a Boston team in 7 who almost lost to the 8 seeded 76ers....this is a big step up in class for Miami...
As for OKC i actually think its a step down as I do think the Spurs were the best team in the NBA....
Game 1: OKC
Game 2: OKC
Game 3 : Miami
Game 4: OKC
Game 5: ?
Game 6: if not in 5 this will be the close out one...wont go 7
most importantly thunder a team of destiny....
OKC to win championship 10 k - OKC -4.5 (5 K)
odds now -170 from -150 saturday night and im seeing 5s everywhere not 4.5....betting pretty split