*** THUNDER/SPURS GAME 2 ***

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Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: *** THUNDER/SPURS GAME 2 ***
badlands PM badlands
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Posted: 5/29/2012 7:40:25 AM
64-44

OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER   +4.5


bet-lag PM bet-lag
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Posted: 5/29/2012 7:55:32 AM
Agree with this. Seems like public is on Spurs -4.5 just like how everyone was on Boston +8 yesterday. Everyone's forgetting how great of an offensive team OKC is and I think this shows up for them tomorrow giving them a straight-up win.
russelgee PM russelgee
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Posted: 5/29/2012 7:58:57 AM
how about the totals?
LVTruck PM LVTruck
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Posted: 5/29/2012 8:26:43 AM




BravesFan1984 PM BravesFan1984
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Posted: 5/29/2012 10:39:38 AM
OKC
cipalata81 PM cipalata81
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Posted: 5/29/2012 11:07:11 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by badlands:

64-44

OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER   +4.5




 im on it! thunder win straight up here i believe 
MGM_grnd PM MGM_grnd
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Posted: 5/29/2012 11:22:39 AM
$
Daywalker331 PM Daywalker331
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Posted: 5/29/2012 11:27:58 AM

I bet you can't wait for tommorow... can u ?

damuskul13 PM damuskul13
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Posted: 5/29/2012 11:47:20 AM
MakeitRain84 PM MakeitRain84
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Posted: 5/29/2012 11:47:43 AM
actually im kind of suprised how many people taking spurs i line jumped to -5 but i already took thunder +4.5 and ML lets get it!
superbeets PM superbeets
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Posted: 5/29/2012 12:04:24 PM
Good luck bad...

I'm leaning to the over right now but the way I see it is if OKC covers then it should go over.. May even throw a half unit or something smaller on a parlay with that but leave my main play for the over..

GL
kimoinsd808 PM kimoinsd808
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Posted: 5/29/2012 12:42:32 PM
badlands moving the lines.....OKC +5 at most shops around town.
badlands PM badlands
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Posted: 5/29/2012 12:52:17 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by superbeets:

Good luck bad...

I'm leaning to the over right now but the way I see it is if OKC covers then it should go over.. May even throw a half unit or something smaller on a parlay with that but leave my main play for the over..

GL

ya like the over too beats..i think westbrick is westbrook tonight.  104  101 cats
badlands PM badlands
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Posted: 5/29/2012 12:53:26 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by kimoinsd808:

badlands moving the lines.....OKC +5 at most shops around town.

ha if that were the case that would mean they are fading me  
nightlife32 PM nightlife32
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Posted: 5/29/2012 12:54:43 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by bet-lag:

Agree with this. Seems like public is on Spurs -4.5 just like how everyone was on Boston +8 yesterday. Everyone's forgetting how great of an offensive team OKC is and I think this shows up for them tomorrow giving them a straight-up win.

 

 Publics on Thunder

followmylead PM followmylead
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Posted: 5/29/2012 12:56:41 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by bet-lag:

Agree with this. Seems like public is on Spurs -4.5 just like how everyone was on Boston +8 yesterday. Everyone's forgetting how great of an offensive team OKC is and I think this shows up for them tomorrow giving them a straight-up win.

public on OKC. on covers its a different story.

Mikado PM Mikado
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Posted: 5/29/2012 1:01:03 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by nightlife32:

 

 Publics on Thunder





Do you know all the public personally?

I know a few professional bettors, two I talked to are on the Thunder and one on Spurs... should I go around saying all the Pros are on the Thunder tonight? 
badlands PM badlands
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Posted: 5/29/2012 1:03:40 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by nightlife32:

 

 Publics on Thunder


public

sharps

fake betting %'s sites throw at you

news flash the spurs have been a public bet all post season how has that worked out for the public? pretty good no? remember game 3 at la? 10 threads in here about a public burial on the spurs coming up! how d that work out for fade the public backers?    

you seriously cant even have a discussion with people about x and o's anymore in this place.  all people know are fake %'s and they are gonna fade them 

JimmyTheLegend PM JimmyTheLegend
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Posted: 5/29/2012 1:05:34 PM
Since 2008 ALL 1-0 teams in the 3rd round that were not favored by 7 or more in game 1 lost game 2 outright if favored by 6 or less. Also, all of them lost ATS since 2007.
Also, all 1-2-3 seeds after round 2 are 0-13 ATS in game #2 are 0-15 ATS in last 15 if favored by 6 or less.
The plays are OK CITY +4.5 and OK CITY +180 moneyline.

When in game #2 in rounds 3 or later the total drops down and public % on over jumps up, the under wins 67% of time.
The play here is UNDER 201.5
Mikado PM Mikado
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Posted: 5/29/2012 1:06:48 PM
I work in a bar, about the most public place you can get for idiots acting like they know more about basketball than anybody.

Before Game 1 - everybody was all over the Thunder at my bar - guys were telling me Durant was going to go for 50 (when I had to remind them 51 was his career high vs a crappy Nugs defense). 

Last night - a majority of my bar is talking about how the Spurs are going to sweep the Thunder (I guess most my patrons only watched the 4th quarter).  Too much experience and solid defense seems to be an overwhelming consensus on the Spurs coming into this game. 
buffalo11 PM buffalo11
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Posted: 5/29/2012 1:07:53 PM
good luck
Mikado PM Mikado
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Posted: 5/29/2012 1:10:46 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by JimmyTheLegend:

Since 2008 ALL 1-0 teams in the 3rd round that were not favored by 7 or more in game 1 lost game 2 outright if favored by 6 or less. Also, all of them lost ATS since 2007.
Also, all 1-2-3 seeds after round 2 are 0-13 ATS in game #2 are 0-15 ATS in last 15 if favored by 6 or less.
The plays are OK CITY +4.5 and OK CITY +180 moneyline.

When in game #2 in rounds 3 or later the total drops down and public % on over jumps up, the under wins 67% of time.
The play here is UNDER 201.5


While I never use or really pay attention to stats.  That is a pretty crazy streak going on... but that's exactly what it is.  I would never use information like that to bet on.  It seems like you are asking for trouble going around digging through stats when it took me about 5 mins left in the 4th quarter last game to realize that the Thunder should be an excellent play in Game 2.  The best plays hit you in your gut immediately, and the worst plays tend to require you looking and digging for them to validate your reasoning for making your pick. 
badlands PM badlands
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Posted: 5/29/2012 1:11:31 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Mikado:

I work in a bar, about the most public place you can get for idiots acting like they know more about basketball than anybody.

Before Game 1 - everybody was all over the Thunder at my bar - guys were telling me Durant was going to go for 50 (when I had to remind them 51 was his career high vs a crappy Nugs defense). 

Last night - a majority of my bar is talking about how the Spurs are going to sweep the Thunder (I guess most my patrons only watched the 4th quarter).  Too much experience and solid defense seems to be an overwhelming consensus on the Spurs coming into this game. 

the spurs are a great team but everyone has the jazz and clipp series implanted in their head and its never leaving. newsflash the jazz were awful and a joke of a playoff team and the clipp show were more espn dunk material then a good team when healthy let alone with their 2 best players injured the whole series. i rode s.a those 2 rounds. okc would have swept both those teams also. people keep saying okc had their chance   if im okc im happy as a pig and garbage i was winning by 9 in the 4th qtr with wesbrick putting up one his pattented shitfests. not to mention dumb behind coaching taking iblocka out. his +/- was +9 but brooks tried to get cute. 
cmod123 PM cmod123
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Posted: 5/29/2012 1:12:03 PM
BOL bads! Love OKC +4.5 this evening!
JimmyTheLegend PM JimmyTheLegend
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Posted: 5/29/2012 1:35:53 PM
So let me see if I understand this correctly, if it hits you like hard in the gut and then you happen to see a stat that goes with your gut, it just might be the high percentage, right play.  Sounds like you're in the money today, maybe.
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