5u 1-1
4u 3-3
3u 16-14
2u 31-22
1u 43-36
CLEVELAND / WASH OVER 198 ( 4 units ) GOW
What does the saying ""MEANINGLESS GAME"" mean to you ? It's a term commonly used by a sports gambler but seldom used by s sports fan.
There's a nice little angle developing among teams that have been eliminated from post season action. I started to keep of this last week as soon as teams had less than 10 games to play in the regular season. There are exactly 10 teams as of now that have been eliminated from post season play. DET, NJ,CLE, TOR,WASH,CHA,MIN,GS,SAC and NO.
The trend on the OVER is 4-1 since April 8.
4/8 CLE@NJ O/U 198-----FINAL SCORE 122-117 ( OVER)
4/9 WAS@CLE O/U 197--FINAL SCORE 113-85 ( OVER)
4/10 CHA@CLE O/U 195-FINAL SCORE 103-90 ( UNDER)
4/11 SAC@IND O/U 197-FINAL SCORE 105-96 ( OVER )
4/12 DET@CHA O/U 192--FINAL SCORE 109-85 ( OVER )
My thinking for this specific situation is simple. The unwillingness to play hard on defense combined with fatigue will make for higher scoring games. Shots become uncontested the D gets sluggish , players pile up fouls and coaches call less time outs to address the on court situation. I've never looking into this the previous seasons but with the condensed scheduling this year i think this a winning trend.
It's probably not a bad idea to blindly bet this Over the rest of the season.My guess is that there will be least 15-20 more games. I am pretty confident that this will hit at 60% over the next two weeks.
REMEMBER BOTH TEAMS HAVE TO BE ELIMINATED. Teams that are jockeying for playoff seedings aren't part of this situational trend.
I LIKE THIS OVER TODAY BECAUSE THE WIZARDS ARE COMING OFF A SEASON LOW ( 65 POINTS 27% FROM THE FIELD) I strongly believe these stats won't repeat today against a non post season qualifier.
INDIANA +3.5 ( 2 units )
NEW JERSEY +6 ( 1 unit )
good luck