THATS IT! I AM BETTING WITH VEGAS! *MUST READ*

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Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: THATS IT! I AM BETTING WITH VEGAS! *MUST READ*
anna31204 PM anna31204
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Posted: 1/31/2011 10:19:58 PM

Bet To Win  

long live the fade ... never met a bookie that was outa cash and vegas sure does have some really nice hotels !!! i'd say 58% by weeks end !!! cash it !!!

BOL

anna31204

LosAngelesKing PM LosAngelesKing
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Posted: 1/31/2011 10:20:18 PM
nice reconn on this, I'll pay more attention to this as u continue your journey

GL
LosAngelesKing PM LosAngelesKing
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Posted: 1/31/2011 10:21:44 PM
on a side note, I don't think I will ever take the cavs lol
BET_TO_WIN PM BET_TO_WIN
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Posted: 1/31/2011 10:23:42 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by LosAngelesKing:

on a side note, I don't think I will ever take the cavs lol

You know, last night I said to myself, Miami Heat are the play.

Cavs have covered their last few big spreads and the Heat almost lost SU to the Pistons... but it was a blow out!
ripkarl PM ripkarl
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Posted: 1/31/2011 11:26:09 PM
Texas A&M +1.5 (2 UNITS) 
Memphis Grizzlies +1.5 (2 UNITS) 
NJ Nets +3.5 (2 UNITS) 
Louisville +5 (2 UNITS) 
Milwaukee Bucks +3.5 (2 UNITS) 
Louisville ML (1 UNIT) 
Cleveland Cavs (1 UNIT) 

3-3 so far with losses on the 1 unit. Yep you have to avoid the MLs! let's see what happens in the bucks game. 
BET_TO_WIN PM BET_TO_WIN
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Posted: 1/31/2011 11:28:51 PM
Yes agreed. 

Might have to see how the TOP 5 go in the next few days..
BET_TO_WIN PM BET_TO_WIN
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Posted: 2/1/2011 9:52:34 PM
My computer crashed. Unbelievable.

Anyway here were the 1/31 results

Texas A&M +1.5 (2 UNITS) 
Memphis Grizzlies +1.5 (2 UNITS)  (WON SU)
NJ Nets +3.5 (2 UNITS)  (WON SU)
Louisville +5 (2 UNITS) 
Milwaukee Bucks +3.5 (2 UNITS) 
Louisville ML (1 UNIT) 
Cleveland Cavs (1 UNIT) 

Might decide to just play the Top 5 bets in the longrun. 

TOTAL RECAP: 3-4 (0.00 UNITS)

NBA- 2-2 (+1.00 UNIT)

NCAA- 1-2 (-1.00 UNIT)
BET_TO_WIN PM BET_TO_WIN
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Posted: 2/1/2011 9:54:51 PM
___________________________________________

2/1 TOP BETS (FADE OF TOP 10)

Ole Miss +6.5 (WON SU)
Sacramento Kings +6.5
Wisconsin Badgers -5 

Portland Blazers +5.5 


___________________________________________

2/1 TOP BETS (FADE OF TOP 10)

Ole Miss +6.5 (WON SU)
Sacramento Kings +6.5
Wisconsin Badgers -5 
Portland Blazers +5.5  


___________________________________________

2/1 TOP BETS (FADE OF TOP 10)

Ole Miss +6.5 (WON SU)
Sacramento Kings +6.5
Wisconsin Badgers -5 

Portland Blazers +5.5  
Bradley +5 (WON SU) 

Washington Wizards +9.5 

Vandy +4.5 


BET_TO_WIN PM BET_TO_WIN
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Posted: 2/1/2011 9:55:50 PM
Whoops.

here is the card for 2/1 that was played

Once system proves I will make money I will post plays before the games obviously

2/1 TOP BETS (FADE OF TOP 10)

Ole Miss +6.5 (WON SU)
Sacramento Kings +6.5
Wisconsin Badgers -5 

Portland Blazers +5.5  
Bradley +5 (WON SU) 

Washington Wizards +9.5 

Vandy +4.5 
ripkarl PM ripkarl
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Posted: 2/1/2011 9:58:28 PM
gl buddy! hope we both win tonight. I'm on the BOS/SAS MLs! but i'm already liking the trend here. 
BET_TO_WIN PM BET_TO_WIN
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Posted: 2/2/2011 10:47:19 AM
Ole Miss +6.5 (WON SU)
Sacramento Kings +6.5
Wisconsin Badgers -5 

Portland Blazers +5.5  (WON SU)
Bradley +5 (WON SU) 

Washington Wizards +9.5
Vandy +4.5

SYSTEM WENT 7-0!

WILL UPDATE STATS TONIGHT!!
BET_TO_WIN PM BET_TO_WIN
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Posted: 2/2/2011 11:39:31 AM
RECORD AS OF 2/1/11:

OVERALL 10-4 (71%)

NBA 5-2 (+8 UNITS)

NCAA 5-2 (+6 UNITS)

__________________________

Once again, the way I determine units is at 6:45 PM EST I look at vegasinsider.com and the Top 5 Bets are worthy of a 2 Unit play and the next 5 are worthy of a 1 unit play.

Obviously as the night gets older, some plays jump other spots, but obviously we cant change units once bets are already placed.

I will not be at my computer until late tonight, so at 6:45 I will jot down the Top 10 Plays and keep a record like I did last night.

I am not making any wagers until I feel comfortable wagering with my system. 

I really feel like this system has potential to make us some nice change. Everynight its not even 10 plays as some teams are in the Top 10 twice, so I just go with the team that has more money on it.

BOL to all my supporters and followers. 
Riceboi PM Riceboi
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Posted: 2/2/2011 12:38:39 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BET_TO_WIN:

RECORD AS OF 2/1/11:

OVERALL 10-4 (71%)

NBA 5-2 (+8 UNITS)

NCAA 5-2 (+6 UNITS)

__________________________

Once again, the way I determine units is at 6:45 PM EST I look at vegasinsider.com and the Top 5 Bets are worthy of a 2 Unit play and the next 5 are worthy of a 1 unit play.

Obviously as the night gets older, some plays jump other spots, but obviously we cant change units once bets are already placed.

I will not be at my computer until late tonight, so at 6:45 I will jot down the Top 10 Plays and keep a record like I did last night.

I am not making any wagers until I feel comfortable wagering with my system. 

I really feel like this system has potential to make us some nice change. Everynight its not even 10 plays as some teams are in the Top 10 twice, so I just go with the team that has more money on it.

BOL to all my supporters and followers. 


so whatever the top 5 plays are you bet opposite of those? basically fading the public?
tjohnsont PM tjohnsont
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Posted: 2/2/2011 12:44:58 PM
Expect to go 50-50 in long run and lose juice or worse.  Any concrete system will lose in long run just like in any gambling game.  Linesmakers are not idiots- bettors have tried to follow that system for as long as stats were probably available.  Systems overall don't work since their system is made to beat all systems. 
tjohnsont PM tjohnsont
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Posted: 2/2/2011 12:46:13 PM
But fading the public has been profitable the past few days.  But it all changes back and forth. 
scsiegel89 PM scsiegel89
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Posted: 2/2/2011 1:09:59 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by tjohnsont:

Expect to go 50-50 in long run and lose juice or worse.  Any concrete system will lose in long run just like in any gambling game.  Linesmakers are not idiots- bettors have tried to follow that system for as long as stats were probably available.  Systems overall don't work since their system is made to beat all systems. 



BET_TO_WIN PM BET_TO_WIN
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Posted: 2/2/2011 10:18:39 PM
I will post plays tomorrow everyone at 6:30.

Here were the plays as of 6:45 PM EST on 2/2/11

The Knicks/Mavs game I wouldnt have played with real money but because this is a test run I used it with the system.

___________________

Syracuse +3.5  (WON SU)

Indiana (CBB) +3  (WON SU)

LA Clippers +2.5 *PENDING*

Maryland +4 *PENDING*

Knicks -2 

Cleveland Cavaliers +6.5 

I will post the final results once the Clippers game goes final. Thanks for following.
BET_TO_WIN PM BET_TO_WIN
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Posted: 2/3/2011 12:27:29 AM
RECORD AS OF 2/2/11:

OVERALL 13-7 (65%)

NBA 6-4 

NCAA 7-3 

__________________________

Probably going to do away with the units for now, as it becomes tricky tracking a top 5 when sometimes only 7 plays fit into the top trends. Went 3-3 on the day, seeing that the Clippers are down 11 in the 4th and probably won't cover. Happy so far with the results, lets keep it up for Thursday. We had some SU underdog winners which is always nice to see.

I will be posting the plays on Thursday between 6 EST and 645 EST. You can also go to vegasinsider.com and fade the Top 10 trends. 

BOL to all on your Thursday wagers!
BET_TO_WIN PM BET_TO_WIN
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Posted: 2/3/2011 5:50:58 PM
PLAYS FOR 2/3/2011

Not many plays for today. Considering the Heat/Magic and Spurs/Lakers are both neck & neck it doesnt really warrant a play. (I would lean Magic & Spurs considering they both have less money played on them)

 If you noticed, Toledo was on top of the board around NOON, and they did lose, so if you played the system at NOON you would have been 1-0 already (Buffalo -19.5)... Anyway, going to try these plays:

OHIO STATE -15.5

DEPAUL +11

STANFORD +3

GOLDEN ST -6.5

BOL on your plays!
ozzwald PM ozzwald
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Posted: 2/3/2011 5:54:42 PM
I think you'd probably hit 60% if you followed this consistently.
UglyKidJoe PM UglyKidJoe
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Posted: 2/3/2011 6:03:29 PM
Good luck today, lets see what happens.

           <-----------------------------     BET_TO_WIN
BET_TO_WIN PM BET_TO_WIN
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Posted: 2/4/2011 4:40:41 PM
RECORD AS OF 2/3/11:

OVERALL 13-11 (54%)

NBA 6-5 

NCAA 7-6 

__________________________

Todays Plays

Bobcats +5.5
Kings +4
Wizards +5.5
Hawks -7.5
76ers -3.5
Suns +2

BOL all
smartbets PM smartbets
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Posted: 2/4/2011 4:45:21 PM
can you clear up why you are not tracking units anymore?
dugout211 PM dugout211
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Posted: 2/14/2011 12:13:15 PM
do you not know that ALL those stats come out 50 -50 if played long enough . your gut feeling is the best chance you have !
K4ngur13 PM K4ngur13
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Posted: 2/14/2011 12:48:49 PM
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