Well that was a long week. Glad to have it back and especially now as we are hitting the desperation time of the season. Two very good games for Thursday, still undecided. I do like the Spurs but also don't know about that line because the game is in LA and Clippers are rested like everyone else. Also like OKC to pound the Mavs but still yet to decide and won't do anything until the teams are announced and injuries are known.
Well that was a long week. Glad to have it back and especially now as we are hitting the desperation time of the season. Two very good games for Thursday, still undecided. I do like the Spurs but also don't know about that line because the game is in LA and Clippers are rested like everyone else. Also like OKC to pound the Mavs but still yet to decide and won't do anything until the teams are announced and injuries are known.
As far as I know, except for Adams and Griffin, the four squads should be at full strength. The main problem is that this is the first year with such a long layoff so I have no idea how the teams will react to this rest. Last year the break was about 5-6 days; and it was even shorter in previous years. Last year the over was 6-3 on day 1 after the break and 1Q over was 7-2; so that would indicate overs as the logic would suggest. Still I am not so sure, and I might think a bit more about that. I might dig a little deeper on this tomorrow. Btw, last year SAS visited Clips on the first day as well and beat them 113-103 as 3-point dogs.
Still, OKC and SAS seem to be no-brainers: OKC is on a roll and highly motivated, while DAL struggles lately; and a revenge game for SAS against Griffin-less Clips. But then again, Clips love rest and enjoy playing at home, while SAS has been struggling against good teams. And OKC has not been that dependable. I kinda like OKC 1Q/1H more than FG and I am on the fence for the Clips game. GL fellas. Meanwhile, I found a red-hot tennis capper, if that is your thing (search for girlscoutcookies tennis gambling). I do not know how long this will last, but I gotta say I have never seen anybody to be so good on a daily basis (maybe Wagers during his hot streaks comes close). But tail lightly, if at all. This will likely change soon.
As far as I know, except for Adams and Griffin, the four squads should be at full strength. The main problem is that this is the first year with such a long layoff so I have no idea how the teams will react to this rest. Last year the break was about 5-6 days; and it was even shorter in previous years. Last year the over was 6-3 on day 1 after the break and 1Q over was 7-2; so that would indicate overs as the logic would suggest. Still I am not so sure, and I might think a bit more about that. I might dig a little deeper on this tomorrow. Btw, last year SAS visited Clips on the first day as well and beat them 113-103 as 3-point dogs.
Still, OKC and SAS seem to be no-brainers: OKC is on a roll and highly motivated, while DAL struggles lately; and a revenge game for SAS against Griffin-less Clips. But then again, Clips love rest and enjoy playing at home, while SAS has been struggling against good teams. And OKC has not been that dependable. I kinda like OKC 1Q/1H more than FG and I am on the fence for the Clips game. GL fellas. Meanwhile, I found a red-hot tennis capper, if that is your thing (search for girlscoutcookies tennis gambling). I do not know how long this will last, but I gotta say I have never seen anybody to be so good on a daily basis (maybe Wagers during his hot streaks comes close). But tail lightly, if at all. This will likely change soon.
Spurs have had their way with Clippers for a while now, 15-3 run on them at Staples and without griffin i cant see it changing, Clippers are also 1-5 in their last 6 on 3 or more days rest so i think the rest should favour the older spurs squad.
I see a lot of people are liking okc tomorrow but im not so sure, Dallas are a great road team, i would nearly go as far to say they are the best road team ATS wise, 67-32 ATS on the road and 43-21 ATS on the road vs +.500 teams and have covered the spread 10 of the last 12 times in OKC.
Spurs have had their way with Clippers for a while now, 15-3 run on them at Staples and without griffin i cant see it changing, Clippers are also 1-5 in their last 6 on 3 or more days rest so i think the rest should favour the older spurs squad.
I see a lot of people are liking okc tomorrow but im not so sure, Dallas are a great road team, i would nearly go as far to say they are the best road team ATS wise, 67-32 ATS on the road and 43-21 ATS on the road vs +.500 teams and have covered the spread 10 of the last 12 times in OKC.
Interesting micalf. Thanks for the stats. But it seems like this year Dallas is bombing a lot; and I think this is the year when the wheels will come off the SAS express (as much I love them).
Interesting micalf. Thanks for the stats. But it seems like this year Dallas is bombing a lot; and I think this is the year when the wheels will come off the SAS express (as much I love them).
Just google that phrase. I do not want to post a link to another site. Or PM me. He is not doing that great today anyways. As I expected, his hot streak might be coming to an end.
Just google that phrase. I do not want to post a link to another site. Or PM me. He is not doing that great today anyways. As I expected, his hot streak might be coming to an end.
I gotta say that over looking at the stats over the last three years, the case for the over is not really that open and shut. The overs for FG/1Q over the past three years were:
Hmm, I would tread lightly on the overs. What is funny is that SAS-LAC has been the first game after the break for the past two years and SAS won both times by 10+ pts as dogs, with the games going way over. Let's see if the third time will be the charm for the Clips. Constanza ?
I gotta say that over looking at the stats over the last three years, the case for the over is not really that open and shut. The overs for FG/1Q over the past three years were:
Hmm, I would tread lightly on the overs. What is funny is that SAS-LAC has been the first game after the break for the past two years and SAS won both times by 10+ pts as dogs, with the games going way over. Let's see if the third time will be the charm for the Clips. Constanza ?
A huge trade for OKC; might help them a lot in playoffs. Augustine for Jackson is probably about an even-steven trade and they get rid of the angry, slow, old dude and get Kantor in return with a couple of other decent pieces. The question is of course: will they be able to mesh together. And I do not think this will hurt them that much today: RW will probably have to play 40+ mins and he can surely do that.
A huge trade for OKC; might help them a lot in playoffs. Augustine for Jackson is probably about an even-steven trade and they get rid of the angry, slow, old dude and get Kantor in return with a couple of other decent pieces. The question is of course: will they be able to mesh together. And I do not think this will hurt them that much today: RW will probably have to play 40+ mins and he can surely do that.
I have a good feeling about U 213 tonight in the Dallas/OKC game. I think the long layoff will show and the offenses can come out a bit rusty and both teams expending their energy on defense.
Also generally prefer playing unders in the Thurs TNT games, esp with RWB winning MVP, dropping 40, and both of these teams having the public perception of high scoring, easy over type of teams.
bottom line: public fade, long layoff from ASG, relatively high number...Under 213 BOL
I have a good feeling about U 213 tonight in the Dallas/OKC game. I think the long layoff will show and the offenses can come out a bit rusty and both teams expending their energy on defense.
Also generally prefer playing unders in the Thurs TNT games, esp with RWB winning MVP, dropping 40, and both of these teams having the public perception of high scoring, easy over type of teams.
bottom line: public fade, long layoff from ASG, relatively high number...Under 213 BOL
Wow, what a fugly game. Rondo is a f.cking assassin, that is overs assassin, right up there with Andre Miller and Kirk Hinrich. Dallas is playing with all the energy of a dying sloth.
Wow, what a fugly game. Rondo is a f.cking assassin, that is overs assassin, right up there with Andre Miller and Kirk Hinrich. Dallas is playing with all the energy of a dying sloth.
say Boys nice to be back after a break, hope everyone's well, I'm going to join in on Spurs -2.5 and also take Clips TT under 100, GL let's make an NBA push if possible and then slay the WNBA and buy some nice toys
say Boys nice to be back after a break, hope everyone's well, I'm going to join in on Spurs -2.5 and also take Clips TT under 100, GL let's make an NBA push if possible and then slay the WNBA and buy some nice toys
Dallas is playing so much better with Barea instead of Rondo. Now, Dirk should be benched too; he looks he is playing on crutches. Let's go, 80 pts 4Q, LOL.
Dallas is playing so much better with Barea instead of Rondo. Now, Dirk should be benched too; he looks he is playing on crutches. Let's go, 80 pts 4Q, LOL.
Love how the TNT announcers are calling the sky blue; namely they are saying that OKC did a good job getting rid of Reggie Jackson. That dude was totally useless @OKC and he was locker room poison to boot. Now some idiot GM will give him a near-max and he can stink it up there. My guess, Denver is the number one destination for him, I think their GM is the dumbest one.
Love how the TNT announcers are calling the sky blue; namely they are saying that OKC did a good job getting rid of Reggie Jackson. That dude was totally useless @OKC and he was locker room poison to boot. Now some idiot GM will give him a near-max and he can stink it up there. My guess, Denver is the number one destination for him, I think their GM is the dumbest one.
I really do not see how can anybody consider the Mavs to be a contender: their "big-three" in Rondo/Ellis/Dirk has looked very iffy all season long. I actually have no idea how they are making the playoffs at all. They look better with Harris/Barea in the backcourt.
I really do not see how can anybody consider the Mavs to be a contender: their "big-three" in Rondo/Ellis/Dirk has looked very iffy all season long. I actually have no idea how they are making the playoffs at all. They look better with Harris/Barea in the backcourt.
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