Hope it's okay for me to open this thread, given that I'm the most (I think anyway) passionate about it. Will disclose I'm guessing that I have the most in play, at mid 5 figures.
I know that some here don't think any "analysis" is req'd in this game (haha Aussie...), but I see some fundamental advantages for NE. In essence for me, this comes down to 2 very good D's (SEA obviously better) and a huge advantage in O to NE. Totally get the "Beast-mode/read-option" statement from SEA-backers, to which two realities can be cited: 1. SEA doesn't generate much offense, in an offensive league and 2. Strong run-game doesn't offset mediocre pass game in playoffs (Dallas' better run game didn't win against GB because GB had A-Ron).
Key bullets (for me):
Game Money Line and 1H Under are strongest plays, followed
by NE Game line to -6.0
Head Coach: Slight adv NE (due to more experienced players)
QB: Strong adv NE
O-Line: Slight adv NE
D-Line: No adv
Offense: Strong Adv NE
Defense: Slight Adv SEA
SEA can’t score enough.
NE will.
My plays:
1Q-ML NE x 2.5
1H-ML NE x 4.0
1H-U 24 x 4.0
1H-TTO NE x 1.0
ML NE x 22.0
L NE x 7 (-5.5 to -7.0)
L NE x 0.5 (-13)
As always fellas, wish you the best in your plays even when they are not the same as mine. We are never playing against each other (especially in this forum), but rather against against the super-casual bettor, aka "Joe Public". We're here to win AND learn from each other. :)
Hope it's okay for me to open this thread, given that I'm the most (I think anyway) passionate about it. Will disclose I'm guessing that I have the most in play, at mid 5 figures.
I know that some here don't think any "analysis" is req'd in this game (haha Aussie...), but I see some fundamental advantages for NE. In essence for me, this comes down to 2 very good D's (SEA obviously better) and a huge advantage in O to NE. Totally get the "Beast-mode/read-option" statement from SEA-backers, to which two realities can be cited: 1. SEA doesn't generate much offense, in an offensive league and 2. Strong run-game doesn't offset mediocre pass game in playoffs (Dallas' better run game didn't win against GB because GB had A-Ron).
Key bullets (for me):
Game Money Line and 1H Under are strongest plays, followed
by NE Game line to -6.0
Head Coach: Slight adv NE (due to more experienced players)
QB: Strong adv NE
O-Line: Slight adv NE
D-Line: No adv
Offense: Strong Adv NE
Defense: Slight Adv SEA
SEA can’t score enough.
NE will.
My plays:
1Q-ML NE x 2.5
1H-ML NE x 4.0
1H-U 24 x 4.0
1H-TTO NE x 1.0
ML NE x 22.0
L NE x 7 (-5.5 to -7.0)
L NE x 0.5 (-13)
As always fellas, wish you the best in your plays even when they are not the same as mine. We are never playing against each other (especially in this forum), but rather against against the super-casual bettor, aka "Joe Public". We're here to win AND learn from each other. :)
after a long time, I am writing to our beloved secluded place
I hope superbowl brings extreme luck to all gamblers today
I dont want to mess joy of watching it with the excitement of my bet, so i wont place any bet
but for nba, my picks are
mia +3.5, although boston made an impressive comeback against houston, miami got humiliated by dallas at home, and i expect boston to win this game, but it will be one possession game at end
knicks -3, lakers got a big win over careless bulls, and knicks are hungry for a win right now, i hope lakers will not care for this game
each 33 max units as in old school style :) (hope my man Wagers reads this, he knows what I am talking :)
after a long time, I am writing to our beloved secluded place
I hope superbowl brings extreme luck to all gamblers today
I dont want to mess joy of watching it with the excitement of my bet, so i wont place any bet
but for nba, my picks are
mia +3.5, although boston made an impressive comeback against houston, miami got humiliated by dallas at home, and i expect boston to win this game, but it will be one possession game at end
knicks -3, lakers got a big win over careless bulls, and knicks are hungry for a win right now, i hope lakers will not care for this game
each 33 max units as in old school style :) (hope my man Wagers reads this, he knows what I am talking :)
Guy, what are you doing mate betting 33 units on the Heat (no Wade/Deng) and the Knicks? All 4 teams today are bogus teams.. I wouldn't trust any of them mate.
Guy, what are you doing mate betting 33 units on the Heat (no Wade/Deng) and the Knicks? All 4 teams today are bogus teams.. I wouldn't trust any of them mate.
Sorry Erich but i have to disagree with a few of your points. What makes you think that Seahawks can't put 31 on the Pats like the ravens did a couple weeks ago, they have a very similar dual offence and have awesome scheming rb's? no way i agree Pats have a strong advantage on offence because your offence is only as good as the defence it is up against and the Pats have played some pretty average defences, although Pats will have more success in the air they are up against the best secondary in the league and that is going to styful that to an extent and as previously mentioned Hawks have the advantage at RB. Also i believe looking at stats is skewed in this match up as New England have played so many terrible defences compared to the Seahawks who have played a lot of good defences, Patriots have had plenty of trouble moving the ball against the better defences they have played. This is not going to be a blow out, it will be a FG game and it will be played on seattle terms.
Sorry Erich but i have to disagree with a few of your points. What makes you think that Seahawks can't put 31 on the Pats like the ravens did a couple weeks ago, they have a very similar dual offence and have awesome scheming rb's? no way i agree Pats have a strong advantage on offence because your offence is only as good as the defence it is up against and the Pats have played some pretty average defences, although Pats will have more success in the air they are up against the best secondary in the league and that is going to styful that to an extent and as previously mentioned Hawks have the advantage at RB. Also i believe looking at stats is skewed in this match up as New England have played so many terrible defences compared to the Seahawks who have played a lot of good defences, Patriots have had plenty of trouble moving the ball against the better defences they have played. This is not going to be a blow out, it will be a FG game and it will be played on seattle terms.
Hmm, lotsa love for Sea. Reminds of all the love Murray last night at the tennis forum on the dark side. I might just throw a couple of darts at BOS HT/SEA FT @+800 and first score BOS FG @+330. Just based on a vague notion that SEA tends to start slow, and b/c I feel like it. GL dudes.
Hmm, lotsa love for Sea. Reminds of all the love Murray last night at the tennis forum on the dark side. I might just throw a couple of darts at BOS HT/SEA FT @+800 and first score BOS FG @+330. Just based on a vague notion that SEA tends to start slow, and b/c I feel like it. GL dudes.
You know the usual joke about SB: almost invariably only one team shows up. Hmm. Will it be the case here ? Also stock market is expected to rally tomorrow with a -145 price tag.
You know the usual joke about SB: almost invariably only one team shows up. Hmm. Will it be the case here ? Also stock market is expected to rally tomorrow with a -145 price tag.
I agree with you that it won't be a blowout. I won't relax until time expires even if Pats are up 2 TDs late.
Agree with you too on running game adv to Hawks.
Passing game is the issue for Hawks, and his could allow Pats to load the box and choke the run.
Don't underestimate the importance of and level of QB: Flacco and Ravens can score at will, with the best of them. Brady can't make those throws, and Ravens o line was vetter. Wilson is an awesome decision maker and can make "structural improvs" like no one else... but it isn't consistently successful.
Hopefully will be a great game and i think it will be very close. Sharps agree with you and Aussie, and i may get laughed out of Morrison's in my Brady jersey... but for 3.5 hours, we gonna be on a fun ride!
I agree with you that it won't be a blowout. I won't relax until time expires even if Pats are up 2 TDs late.
Agree with you too on running game adv to Hawks.
Passing game is the issue for Hawks, and his could allow Pats to load the box and choke the run.
Don't underestimate the importance of and level of QB: Flacco and Ravens can score at will, with the best of them. Brady can't make those throws, and Ravens o line was vetter. Wilson is an awesome decision maker and can make "structural improvs" like no one else... but it isn't consistently successful.
Hopefully will be a great game and i think it will be very close. Sharps agree with you and Aussie, and i may get laughed out of Morrison's in my Brady jersey... but for 3.5 hours, we gonna be on a fun ride!
That injury on the SEA defensive line sure is a bit bothersome. Brady has looked good, but somehow the game is tied. I had a real go with both my +800 and +400 darts but missed out. Go Hawks, FU Brady.
That injury on the SEA defensive line sure is a bit bothersome. Brady has looked good, but somehow the game is tied. I had a real go with both my +800 and +400 darts but missed out. Go Hawks, FU Brady.
Yeah good for some banter and mucking around Erich. Great game. Not sure how Seattle are tied at the half, Pats were the better team 1H. Great 2H coming up.
Yeah good for some banter and mucking around Erich. Great game. Not sure how Seattle are tied at the half, Pats were the better team 1H. Great 2H coming up.
This has to be the longest HT in history. And why do they get Katy Perry for the show? So annoying.. But I guess our AFL and NRL get some pretty bad half time performances as well, none worse than Meatloaf doing the AFL a few years back.
This has to be the longest HT in history. And why do they get Katy Perry for the show? So annoying.. But I guess our AFL and NRL get some pretty bad half time performances as well, none worse than Meatloaf doing the AFL a few years back.
You gotta appeal to the general population and sell all those commercials, Aussie. I thought the visuals were nice, Perry was blah but at least she was not grating.
You gotta appeal to the general population and sell all those commercials, Aussie. I thought the visuals were nice, Perry was blah but at least she was not grating.
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