Well what a good day it was for Wagers yesterday with his "under" plays. Great job buddy. I think you might be right with the unders starting to come through towards the end of the season as the start of the season saw a tonne of overs hit.
Well as I did yesterday, looking at the match-ups again to see what I like. Once again this is stats from January 1.
Rockets @ Bulls: Rockets -2.5
*** Bulls are 12-6 S/U at home. They have lost by 3 points or more 6 times in their 6 losses at home.
*** Rockets are 10-5 S/U in their last 15 road games. They have won by 3 or more 9 times in their 10 wins.
No play for me though because I don't bet on/against my own team. Like the unders though in this game.
Bucks @ Hawks: Hawks -9.5 *** Hawks are 5-7 S/U in their last 12 home games. They have won by 10 or more just 1 time in those 5 wins.
*** Bucks are 2-13 S/U in their last 15 road games. They have lost by 10 or more 8 times in their 13 losses.
No Lean at all here. Hawks off a long road trip and IMO they don't deserve to be -9.5 against any team. Maybe just the 76ers.
Lakers @ Thunder: Thunder -16.5
*** Thunder are 13-5 in their last 18 at home. They have won by 17 or more points 3 times in the 13 wins.
***Lakers are 5-12 S/U on the road in their last 17. They have lost by 17 or more on the road 2 times in their 12 losses
Lean Thunder -16.5 because the Lakers are winless in their last 7 games in OKC. They lost by 25, 17, 6. 16, 2, 29 and 15 in those 7 losses.
Not sure yet of any plays, will post back a little bit later. Might play a total instead.
Well what a good day it was for Wagers yesterday with his "under" plays. Great job buddy. I think you might be right with the unders starting to come through towards the end of the season as the start of the season saw a tonne of overs hit.
Well as I did yesterday, looking at the match-ups again to see what I like. Once again this is stats from January 1.
Rockets @ Bulls: Rockets -2.5
*** Bulls are 12-6 S/U at home. They have lost by 3 points or more 6 times in their 6 losses at home.
*** Rockets are 10-5 S/U in their last 15 road games. They have won by 3 or more 9 times in their 10 wins.
No play for me though because I don't bet on/against my own team. Like the unders though in this game.
Bucks @ Hawks: Hawks -9.5 *** Hawks are 5-7 S/U in their last 12 home games. They have won by 10 or more just 1 time in those 5 wins.
*** Bucks are 2-13 S/U in their last 15 road games. They have lost by 10 or more 8 times in their 13 losses.
No Lean at all here. Hawks off a long road trip and IMO they don't deserve to be -9.5 against any team. Maybe just the 76ers.
Lakers @ Thunder: Thunder -16.5
*** Thunder are 13-5 in their last 18 at home. They have won by 17 or more points 3 times in the 13 wins.
***Lakers are 5-12 S/U on the road in their last 17. They have lost by 17 or more on the road 2 times in their 12 losses
Lean Thunder -16.5 because the Lakers are winless in their last 7 games in OKC. They lost by 25, 17, 6. 16, 2, 29 and 15 in those 7 losses.
Not sure yet of any plays, will post back a little bit later. Might play a total instead.
Hou TT under 97.5 3.3% last time these teams met Bulls were awful, losing 8 of 10 to teams like Orl and barely beating Milw, they had given up games over 100pts in 3 of 5, they were playing awful defense and were on front end of a b2b at Hou then at OKC, disheartening to say the least if you are playing terrible basketball. Now they are locked in on defense having given up over 100pts in only 3 of last 22 games and one of those being last game where they no showed against Spurs. Having seen Hou once already, this being a big game, and having given up a ton of points to Spurs last game I think Bulls lock down at some point tonight. Memphis has faced Hou 3 times this year and held them to 93, 100, 87 and 81 and I'd say Bulls D is on par or even better than that right now.
Hou TT under 97.5 3.3% last time these teams met Bulls were awful, losing 8 of 10 to teams like Orl and barely beating Milw, they had given up games over 100pts in 3 of 5, they were playing awful defense and were on front end of a b2b at Hou then at OKC, disheartening to say the least if you are playing terrible basketball. Now they are locked in on defense having given up over 100pts in only 3 of last 22 games and one of those being last game where they no showed against Spurs. Having seen Hou once already, this being a big game, and having given up a ton of points to Spurs last game I think Bulls lock down at some point tonight. Memphis has faced Hou 3 times this year and held them to 93, 100, 87 and 81 and I'd say Bulls D is on par or even better than that right now.
Sorry Wagers, I'm leaning overs in Lakers @ OKC. Lakers allow 110 on the road which is beyond ridiculous, without Sefolosha and Ibaka the Thunder aren't playing much defense. I'm smelling a typical 240+ game in this game to finish off the night. Some games this season for the Lakers have been ridiculous.
Sorry Wagers, I'm leaning overs in Lakers @ OKC. Lakers allow 110 on the road which is beyond ridiculous, without Sefolosha and Ibaka the Thunder aren't playing much defense. I'm smelling a typical 240+ game in this game to finish off the night. Some games this season for the Lakers have been ridiculous.
Wagers, im nervous now with the Lakers @ Thunder over 227.5
Your on fire. Great call with the Rockets TT under 97. My boys have been completely shut down by the Bulls. Bulls are such a great team especially with the roster they have. Great coach.
Wagers, im nervous now with the Lakers @ Thunder over 227.5
Your on fire. Great call with the Rockets TT under 97. My boys have been completely shut down by the Bulls. Bulls are such a great team especially with the roster they have. Great coach.
all good Oz, I just think that trend is strong coming off a loss (TNT high total 8-2 to the under) and I've got to believe OKC realize that they have to start a long winning streak to set a tone going into the playoffs and that starts with defense for sure, great teams play defense this time of year, so I'd be shocked if they let Lakers get loose and involved in a running game, tempted to play LA TT under 105
all good Oz, I just think that trend is strong coming off a loss (TNT high total 8-2 to the under) and I've got to believe OKC realize that they have to start a long winning streak to set a tone going into the playoffs and that starts with defense for sure, great teams play defense this time of year, so I'd be shocked if they let Lakers get loose and involved in a running game, tempted to play LA TT under 105
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