whats up guys...
terrible, terrible end to yesterdays action
i knew to size down, but i shoulda sized down even more
wasted alot of wins from earlier in the day
ok so we move and get that cake back
as i look at this SUNDAYS CARD
i notice that this week is not as strong as the past few
but i do see some game that we can cash in on
I do want to warn every1 that bettors everywhere seem to be jumping on the DOG bandwagon, (and oddsmakers know and realize this and probably have adjusted for it)
and i feel that the favs are do for a little covering
so as a usual dog-player, im going to be giving some fav plays
1st up see TB +9.5
The line opened up at 10 and have been watching this line drop across the board, w/o any indication why. I believe line-setters were hoping for indy action and when it didnt reach expectations they have dropped it, hoping for more. Also i see some sharp action taking TB +9.5 I follow the line drop w/o and indication why.
2. DEN +1
I went over this type of play yesterday, <TENNESSEE>,
the oddsmakers set this as a 1 pt FAV yet the public believed otherwise and pushed it to a 1 DOG. I see 65% on SD. BUT the sharps have started to even out the public and now the game is a PICK. Jump on b4 it goes backwards to DEN -1 or DEN -2
3. STL +3.5
I see big value here. Every1 is trashing the RAMS, especially after every1 was big on Jackson and Bulger. I see AZ having a bad follow-up week after winning outright. I also believe that this a trap, bc if it were a true spread the line would have opened at AZ - 4.5
I def see STL covering the 3.5, but it should go to 4 by game time.
4. CLE +16.5
I see NE playing with a BIG look-ahead. Dont think Bill Belichik running it up on Romeo either. Also the line is 16.5, why not put some pressure on NE bettors and make it 17.5
every1 already thinks they r gonna be up 14 off the bat, now u only need a FG to cover the 16.5. Take Cle here, i see 35-24, something like that.
I will have more in a bit