EASY MONEY ALERT!!! An underdog that will win SU.

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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: EASY MONEY ALERT!!! An underdog that will win SU.
HappyKane PM HappyKane
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Posted: 9/5/2007 4:43:38 PM
Take Miami plus the points and the Miami Moneyline this weekend, folks. Fins will win this one SU.

Reason:

#1) Take the better QB. Trent Green is still a very serviceable QB. He's better than Jason Campbell and Brunnel combined.

#2) Miami's defense is better, for this particular matchup. The only 3 noticeably decent defenders for Washington are London Fletcher, DE Daniels and CB Springs. Redskins backfield is very suspect, im talking about the corners and safeties.

#3) With all that in mind, Miami's passing attack will be superior to what the Redskins have on defense. Trent Green will pick that inexperienced backfield apart with Marty Booker, Chris Chambers, Ted Ginn Jr., and Az-Zahir Akim. I've ran biorhythm charts and other charts for Miami's receivers versus Washington's defenders. It's a total mismatch.

Caveats:

#1) Redskins do have the better rushing attack. Clinton Portis behind Mike Sellers should have a decent day. Although i think they'll still have a rough time running against 5 Pro-Bowlers in Keith Traylor, Vonnie Holliday, Zach Thomas, and Jason Taylor.

#2) Dolphins 2ndary isn't that great either. Best players for both teams are Will Allen and Shawn Springs.

#3) Trends:

  • Dolphins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.
  • Redskins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
That's all for now. BBL.


accventures PM accventures
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Posted: 9/5/2007 4:47:46 PM
Skins will win by 7+.
gjl02 PM gjl02
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Posted: 9/5/2007 5:01:11 PM
cant agree more i dont see how the skins are going to score on the phins defense..
MDAAKD PM MDAAKD
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Posted: 9/5/2007 5:04:01 PM
Like the fins too, but not betting on them.
TWINSRUS PM TWINSRUS
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Posted: 9/5/2007 5:06:43 PM
There's better games out there.  I believe this one is won by a field goal....by either side.  Good luck.
FEIHONG PM FEIHONG
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Posted: 9/5/2007 5:38:06 PM
I'm with you bud
mia=17
wash=9
sayonara
sincityisheaven PM sincityisheaven
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Posted: 9/5/2007 5:43:10 PM
i'm also with you on the fins...their "d" is nasty...
SteelCash PM SteelCash
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Posted: 9/5/2007 6:02:00 PM
I like the call and may get on that myself.  Green is actually a very good QB that doesn't get nearly enough respect. 
 
Good points!
Good luck!
 
zappanut PM zappanut
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Posted: 9/5/2007 6:34:51 PM
MIAMI
oddsmaster31 PM oddsmaster31
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Posted: 9/5/2007 7:38:35 PM
go finshow baby
lbcake PM lbcake
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Posted: 9/5/2007 7:44:18 PM
MIA - win or lose by 1- will cover though.
 
GL
 
losuds63 PM losuds63
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Posted: 9/5/2007 7:49:04 PM
Dolphins last year in Pitt was in that game all day on the road against the super bowl champs and Culpepper throws 2 INTs and that was it the defence went tit for tat with them till those bad throws
 
Take the Finns                  BIG  
Slingzz PM Slingzz
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Posted: 9/5/2007 9:58:34 PM
Miami has no O-line...and its a new offense for Trent...i dunno about this...scary game
broadwayjoe PM broadwayjoe
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Posted: 9/5/2007 10:01:15 PM
gl...got the under.  just hopin they limit the turnovers for tds
Bigballer PM Bigballer
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Posted: 9/5/2007 11:47:20 PM
Under looks like the way to go in this one, I could see a score like 17-13 here with a few defensive scores
ravenzone PM ravenzone
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Posted: 9/5/2007 11:53:18 PM
Mia here as well........Defense wins games........bottom line


tsw PM tsw
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Posted: 9/6/2007 12:01:41 AM
I've ran biorhythm charts and other charts for Miami's receivers versus Washington's defenders. It's a total mismatch.
What about horoscopes ?
cptnmorgan PM cptnmorgan
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Posted: 9/6/2007 12:29:07 AM
Love the fins as well..dont have a money line on it yet, but will be hitting it.
ZonaCats PM ZonaCats
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Posted: 9/6/2007 12:30:57 AM
liking the Skins in this one. Thier going to be a great bet all season.
dnguyen59 PM dnguyen59
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Posted: 9/6/2007 12:42:00 AM
skins sux 
Rush51 PM Rush51
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Posted: 9/6/2007 1:32:19 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TWINSRUS:

There's better games out there.  I believe this one is won by a field goal....by either side.  Good luck.


You've just made the case for holding a ML ticket on the 'fins.  Isn't the ML close to a +150 payout?  .. In a coin-flip of a game ?
DatBoyAbel PM DatBoyAbel
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Posted: 9/6/2007 1:37:02 AM
it's going to be a FG frenzy if that.... take the under, 2 struggling offenses with good defenses, just seems like a better play if i had to pick something to play for this game
lajohn PM lajohn
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Posted: 9/6/2007 1:42:01 AM
   DOLPHINS..........AND, BROWNS !!!!!!!
Profit01 PM Profit01
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Posted: 9/6/2007 1:43:09 AM
 
gl
KBMANIA PM KBMANIA
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Posted: 9/6/2007 2:26:11 AM
i'm a big dolphin fan. my heart says the fish but my money is on the under.
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