Here is a system that I've read about, but
can't say I've made any bets using it. It's quite simple - rank the
teams with regard to schedule strength from 1st (most difficult) to 32nd
(easiest) and bet on the team in the wildcard round that played the
more difficult schedule. This system has produced a SUP and ATS mark of
32-12 since 2002. Let's look at this years wildcard teams and their
scheduling strength based on sagarin's ratings.
SFR [06]
NOR [08]
IND [11]
SDG [19]
KCY [26]
CIN [27]
PHI [28]
GBY [30]
The ratings call for plays on SFR, NOR, IND, and SDG. Now let's add one
more level of sophistication to this system - only bet on teams that are
ranked 10 or more spot higher than their wc opponent. Voila - now we
have an ATS and SUP 20-3 record. You can take a quick glance at the
teams in this year's wc round and it calls for strong plays on SFR, who
are slotted 24 positions higher than GBY; and NOR, who are slotted 20
positions higher than PHI; and IND, who is slotted 16 positions higher
than KCY.
Okay for you dog bettors let's take a look at some numbers for betting
on dogs in the wc round. If you played any dog with a higher S.O.S. in
this round you would be SUP 11-8 and ATS 14-5 and even better if you can
find dogs that have S.O.S. of 10 or more better than their opponent
(NOR) they are SUP 7-3 and ATS 8-2.
Here is a system that I've read about, but
can't say I've made any bets using it. It's quite simple - rank the
teams with regard to schedule strength from 1st (most difficult) to 32nd
(easiest) and bet on the team in the wildcard round that played the
more difficult schedule. This system has produced a SUP and ATS mark of
32-12 since 2002. Let's look at this years wildcard teams and their
scheduling strength based on sagarin's ratings.
SFR [06]
NOR [08]
IND [11]
SDG [19]
KCY [26]
CIN [27]
PHI [28]
GBY [30]
The ratings call for plays on SFR, NOR, IND, and SDG. Now let's add one
more level of sophistication to this system - only bet on teams that are
ranked 10 or more spot higher than their wc opponent. Voila - now we
have an ATS and SUP 20-3 record. You can take a quick glance at the
teams in this year's wc round and it calls for strong plays on SFR, who
are slotted 24 positions higher than GBY; and NOR, who are slotted 20
positions higher than PHI; and IND, who is slotted 16 positions higher
than KCY.
Okay for you dog bettors let's take a look at some numbers for betting
on dogs in the wc round. If you played any dog with a higher S.O.S. in
this round you would be SUP 11-8 and ATS 14-5 and even better if you can
find dogs that have S.O.S. of 10 or more better than their opponent
(NOR) they are SUP 7-3 and ATS 8-2.
Now that's the stuff I wish this forum was all about all the time!!!!! Thays so much more moneyarily beneficial than...."I like the Colts cuz the chiefs sucked the last xouple games."
Thanks keith.....by far the best post\thread in rhe forum today
Now that's the stuff I wish this forum was all about all the time!!!!! Thays so much more moneyarily beneficial than...."I like the Colts cuz the chiefs sucked the last xouple games."
Thanks keith.....by far the best post\thread in rhe forum today
Where did u get this from? I know its a simple concept. Hell I use it n bowls for about 80% of the capping and went 22-9 almost solely based on that....conference strength...best quarterback. ..and most fans at game. It works in bowls like crazy.
...but...id love to dind the site that had these stats.
Where did u get this from? I know its a simple concept. Hell I use it n bowls for about 80% of the capping and went 22-9 almost solely based on that....conference strength...best quarterback. ..and most fans at game. It works in bowls like crazy.
...but...id love to dind the site that had these stats.
Rleith - thanks for the post. I've been using sagarin for a longtime - rank and schedule strength. What I find during the playoffs - is the team that has the bet total def. often gets the cover. It occurred lastnight in both games. With Cincy and sd - as you indicated according to sagarin - sd has the better schedule strength, however, cincy has the better total def. Thus I believe cincy can get the cover. Here are the numbers:
Rleith - thanks for the post. I've been using sagarin for a longtime - rank and schedule strength. What I find during the playoffs - is the team that has the bet total def. often gets the cover. It occurred lastnight in both games. With Cincy and sd - as you indicated according to sagarin - sd has the better schedule strength, however, cincy has the better total def. Thus I believe cincy can get the cover. Here are the numbers:
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