I never understood this spread (opened at 9) in the first place and the Ravens still look like the play to me. Broncs are hurting at the Center position and what with all the jumping around and changing plays at the line of scrimmage by Manning, this would seem to be a big deal as the Center calls the blocking assignments in most systems. Yeah, I know Manning is well aware of this and I also know he is "out for revenge." I'll take the Ravens anyhow.
I never understood this spread (opened at 9) in the first place and the Ravens still look like the play to me. Broncs are hurting at the Center position and what with all the jumping around and changing plays at the line of scrimmage by Manning, this would seem to be a big deal as the Center calls the blocking assignments in most systems. Yeah, I know Manning is well aware of this and I also know he is "out for revenge." I'll take the Ravens anyhow.
Both teams terrible last year. Chiefs will doubtless be improved by the addition of Alex Smith, but he needs a good TE receiver and Moeaki is out. On the Jags side, Henne to Shorts is probably nothing to get excited about, but I'll take them here anyhow.
Jax+4 vs. KC one star
SF-4.5 vs. GB
Tough to fade Rodgers but I just don't see the Pack matching up with SF. The GB run game looks much the same as last year and even Rodgers needs something better than that. Niners would appear to be the most complete team in the NFL. I'll take'em.
SF-4.5 vs. GB two stars
SD+4 vs. Hst O/U 44
Haven't decided to go with SD or the over, but it will be one or the other.
Both teams terrible last year. Chiefs will doubtless be improved by the addition of Alex Smith, but he needs a good TE receiver and Moeaki is out. On the Jags side, Henne to Shorts is probably nothing to get excited about, but I'll take them here anyhow.
Jax+4 vs. KC one star
SF-4.5 vs. GB
Tough to fade Rodgers but I just don't see the Pack matching up with SF. The GB run game looks much the same as last year and even Rodgers needs something better than that. Niners would appear to be the most complete team in the NFL. I'll take'em.
SF-4.5 vs. GB two stars
SD+4 vs. Hst O/U 44
Haven't decided to go with SD or the over, but it will be one or the other.
GB
came into SF LW determined to stop Kap and the "read option." (I
thought all options were "read." That's why they call them "options.")
Anyhow, Matthews and the boys were very successful at not allowing Kaepernick
and SF their rushing yards, (34/90) but he torched the Packer D through
the air for 3 TDs, over 400 yds. and a 9.5 ypa. There
is danger here as SF is off a big emotional win vs. the Pack and the
Hawks barely got by Carolina LW on the road, but I'm betting the Niners
will remember the 42-13 beating Sea gave them last year week 16. Sea Hawks barely got by the Panthers LW, but are going two be a load in their home opener. I'll take SF in this one anyhow.
SF+3 at Sea one star
NYG+4.5 vs. Den
When
the Giants weren't turning the ball over LW (six times) they were
moving it at will vs. Dallas. Eli threw for over 400 yds., 4 TDs and
almost 10 ypa. That, in a little less than 23 minutes. Dallas put up 36
pts., but that included a pick six and a fumble return for a TD. Romo
managed to throw for 2 TDs, but was held to a 4.8 ypa. avg. Dallas
rushed for only 87 yds.NY had
terrible RB problems LW, going 14/50 with 3 lost fumbles and have since
resigned Brandon Jacobs. I can't imagine him carrying the load at this
point, but I can't imagine
Wilson having another game like LW's either.
Peyton
Manning was devastating LW in avenging last year's playoff loss to the
Ravens and it is difficult to go against him here. However,that
performance and the public's propensity to bet on him has moved the
point spread more than a little. I'm betting it's a little too much.
Also betting on a little Giant pride here.
GB
came into SF LW determined to stop Kap and the "read option." (I
thought all options were "read." That's why they call them "options.")
Anyhow, Matthews and the boys were very successful at not allowing Kaepernick
and SF their rushing yards, (34/90) but he torched the Packer D through
the air for 3 TDs, over 400 yds. and a 9.5 ypa. There
is danger here as SF is off a big emotional win vs. the Pack and the
Hawks barely got by Carolina LW on the road, but I'm betting the Niners
will remember the 42-13 beating Sea gave them last year week 16. Sea Hawks barely got by the Panthers LW, but are going two be a load in their home opener. I'll take SF in this one anyhow.
SF+3 at Sea one star
NYG+4.5 vs. Den
When
the Giants weren't turning the ball over LW (six times) they were
moving it at will vs. Dallas. Eli threw for over 400 yds., 4 TDs and
almost 10 ypa. That, in a little less than 23 minutes. Dallas put up 36
pts., but that included a pick six and a fumble return for a TD. Romo
managed to throw for 2 TDs, but was held to a 4.8 ypa. avg. Dallas
rushed for only 87 yds.NY had
terrible RB problems LW, going 14/50 with 3 lost fumbles and have since
resigned Brandon Jacobs. I can't imagine him carrying the load at this
point, but I can't imagine
Wilson having another game like LW's either.
Peyton
Manning was devastating LW in avenging last year's playoff loss to the
Ravens and it is difficult to go against him here. However,that
performance and the public's propensity to bet on him has moved the
point spread more than a little. I'm betting it's a little too much.
Also betting on a little Giant pride here.
Yeah,
Steelers sucked bad vs. Tenn. last week and Cincy has a pretty good
defense. It is just difficult for me to envision a Steeler team not
responding to this kind of challenge with a great effort. I'll take the
Steel in the big divisional game here.
Yeah,
Steelers sucked bad vs. Tenn. last week and Cincy has a pretty good
defense. It is just difficult for me to envision a Steeler team not
responding to this kind of challenge with a great effort. I'll take the
Steel in the big divisional game here.
The last pick was the hardest
for me as I liked several of the remaining dogs..but none of them very
much. Cowboys had a big win vs. the NYG LW, but were anything but
impressive in the process. They had real problems moving the ball vs.
the Giant defense and couldn't really stop Eli. Fortunately for them,
Eli and the Giants stopped themselves, turning the ball over six times. KC went down to Jacksonville and took a 28-2 victory from a totally impotent Jax team,
but the score belies a relatively tame performance from the Chiefs
offense which amounted to 291 yds. One TD was also a pick six. This is a standard spread and I believe the Dallas team has more fundamental talent than the KC squad. I'll take'em.
The last pick was the hardest
for me as I liked several of the remaining dogs..but none of them very
much. Cowboys had a big win vs. the NYG LW, but were anything but
impressive in the process. They had real problems moving the ball vs.
the Giant defense and couldn't really stop Eli. Fortunately for them,
Eli and the Giants stopped themselves, turning the ball over six times. KC went down to Jacksonville and took a 28-2 victory from a totally impotent Jax team,
but the score belies a relatively tame performance from the Chiefs
offense which amounted to 291 yds. One TD was also a pick six. This is a standard spread and I believe the Dallas team has more fundamental talent than the KC squad. I'll take'em.
Minny off two high scoring road defeats opens vs. the Brownies who are without their starting QB (injured)
and their best RB (traded). Should be a walk, right? Right.
Min-6 vs. Cle one star
Jax+19 at Sea
The
2-0 Sea Hawks, who demolished the defending NFC champ LW,
29-3, take on the 0-2 Jags whose offense has scored one TD and one FG
to date. How in the world this game could possibly interest Seattle is
beyond me. I'll take the Jags.
Jax+19 at Sea
Pbg+3 vs. Chi
Steelers could have had an easy cover or possibly a win LW vs. Cin. if Lamarr Woodley had displayed even a tiny semblance of professionalism LW. A stupid off sides
penalty and an even stupider
roughness call on his part doomed the Pbg effort. Steelers played
some D LW. Still countin' on a little pride here. We'll go with them
again.
Pbg+3 (bth) vs. Chi one star
Oak+15 at Den
What!! The Kings of Monday Night Football (Well, maybe not lately) over two TD dogs. Gimme some'a'dat.
Minny off two high scoring road defeats opens vs. the Brownies who are without their starting QB (injured)
and their best RB (traded). Should be a walk, right? Right.
Min-6 vs. Cle one star
Jax+19 at Sea
The
2-0 Sea Hawks, who demolished the defending NFC champ LW,
29-3, take on the 0-2 Jags whose offense has scored one TD and one FG
to date. How in the world this game could possibly interest Seattle is
beyond me. I'll take the Jags.
Jax+19 at Sea
Pbg+3 vs. Chi
Steelers could have had an easy cover or possibly a win LW vs. Cin. if Lamarr Woodley had displayed even a tiny semblance of professionalism LW. A stupid off sides
penalty and an even stupider
roughness call on his part doomed the Pbg effort. Steelers played
some D LW. Still countin' on a little pride here. We'll go with them
again.
Pbg+3 (bth) vs. Chi one star
Oak+15 at Den
What!! The Kings of Monday Night Football (Well, maybe not lately) over two TD dogs. Gimme some'a'dat.
Chiefs
have 14 sacks in the first three games and have not allowed more than
16 pts. while Eli's off.
line is devastated
by injuries and never could produce a run game to start with. Giants
are giving up an avg. 38 ppg., but it's a little difficult to play
defense with a 13/3 t/o deficit. KC's offense is improved, but very
conservative. I think they will be able to pursue that approach here
and grind one out. I'll take the under.
KC/NYG under 44 one star.
Hst+2.5 vs. Sea
Just
can't help but believe that the Houston defense will be up big time for
this one. Sea. off three big wins and look unstoppable, but (At least I
used to think) that is the best time to fade a team. I'll take the
good home team and bth to +3.
Hst+3 (bth) vs. Sea one star
Atl-1.5 vs. NE
The
1-2
Falcons dominated, statistically, in Mia. LW including 37 min of p.t.
but lost 27-23. Their other loss was at NO week one, 17-23. They are
without Stephen Jackson again this week, but were 30/146 rushing LW with backups Rodgers and Snelling. Undefeated NE comes in
minus Amendola and Gronk, but with some guys nobody ever heard of who
got it done LW at home vs TB. I don't think things will go quite as
well in the dome this week.
Atl-1.5 vs. NE one star
NO-6.5 vs. Mia The
3-0 Fins somehow pulled out a win vs. Atl LW at home despite being
dominated statistically. Brees and the Saints looked comfortable LW at
home in a 31-7 win over Arz. to also go 3-0. This is
the Mon. nite game and no place for over achievers.
Chiefs
have 14 sacks in the first three games and have not allowed more than
16 pts. while Eli's off.
line is devastated
by injuries and never could produce a run game to start with. Giants
are giving up an avg. 38 ppg., but it's a little difficult to play
defense with a 13/3 t/o deficit. KC's offense is improved, but very
conservative. I think they will be able to pursue that approach here
and grind one out. I'll take the under.
KC/NYG under 44 one star.
Hst+2.5 vs. Sea
Just
can't help but believe that the Houston defense will be up big time for
this one. Sea. off three big wins and look unstoppable, but (At least I
used to think) that is the best time to fade a team. I'll take the
good home team and bth to +3.
Hst+3 (bth) vs. Sea one star
Atl-1.5 vs. NE
The
1-2
Falcons dominated, statistically, in Mia. LW including 37 min of p.t.
but lost 27-23. Their other loss was at NO week one, 17-23. They are
without Stephen Jackson again this week, but were 30/146 rushing LW with backups Rodgers and Snelling. Undefeated NE comes in
minus Amendola and Gronk, but with some guys nobody ever heard of who
got it done LW at home vs TB. I don't think things will go quite as
well in the dome this week.
Atl-1.5 vs. NE one star
NO-6.5 vs. Mia The
3-0 Fins somehow pulled out a win vs. Atl LW at home despite being
dominated statistically. Brees and the Saints looked comfortable LW at
home in a 31-7 win over Arz. to also go 3-0. This is
the Mon. nite game and no place for over achievers.
LW 2-1-1 + 0.9 stars Season 5-10-1 minus 6.3 stars
Ten+3 (bth) vs. KC
Jake
Locker
is out but should that make this big a difference in what, as i see it,
should be close to a standard spread? I don't think so. Chiefs
opponents have compiled a 3-13 record, Titans foes are 6-10. I'm
thinking the odds makers are showing Andy Reid a little too much respect
here. I'll take Ten. and buy the hook to +3.
Ten+3 vs. KC one star
Ind+3 vs. Sea
Hawks
were down 20-6 halfway through the 4th LW vs. Hst before a TD and pick
six got them into the OT where they won. Second road trip in a row for
them. Indy should be up big time for this one.
Ind+3 vs. Sea One star
Hst+6.5 at SF
Texans
let one get away from them LW at home vs. Sea. Now the odds makers
apparently feel they will be totally demoralized this week vs. the formerly invincible Niners. Too many cracks in the SF armor to give a good team like Hst. this many pts.
Hst+6.5 at SF
one star
Jts+10.5 at Atl one star
Falcons just have too many character flaws to be giving the Jets, bad as they are, 10.5 pts.
LW 2-1-1 + 0.9 stars Season 5-10-1 minus 6.3 stars
Ten+3 (bth) vs. KC
Jake
Locker
is out but should that make this big a difference in what, as i see it,
should be close to a standard spread? I don't think so. Chiefs
opponents have compiled a 3-13 record, Titans foes are 6-10. I'm
thinking the odds makers are showing Andy Reid a little too much respect
here. I'll take Ten. and buy the hook to +3.
Ten+3 vs. KC one star
Ind+3 vs. Sea
Hawks
were down 20-6 halfway through the 4th LW vs. Hst before a TD and pick
six got them into the OT where they won. Second road trip in a row for
them. Indy should be up big time for this one.
Ind+3 vs. Sea One star
Hst+6.5 at SF
Texans
let one get away from them LW at home vs. Sea. Now the odds makers
apparently feel they will be totally demoralized this week vs. the formerly invincible Niners. Too many cracks in the SF armor to give a good team like Hst. this many pts.
Hst+6.5 at SF
one star
Jts+10.5 at Atl one star
Falcons just have too many character flaws to be giving the Jets, bad as they are, 10.5 pts.
LW 2-2 mnus 0.3 stars Season 7-10-1 minus 6.6 stars
Oak+9 at KC
Maybe the Chiefs are good enough to be 5-0 and tied (temporarily) with Denver for divisional lead. Maybe Andy Reid is actually the genius I have been told he is for all these years. Maybe KC did not catch Philly and the NYGs at just the right time. Maybe they are good enough to give Oak 9. I'm betting against it.
Oak+9 at KC one star
Hst-7.5 vs. StL
Three weeks ago the Texans were scorched in Baltimore by two 82 yd.
punt returns and an int return for TDs. The next week they lost to Sea in a game they should have won; again, the int. return for the Sea TD. Last week SF manhandled them in a 34-3 loss. But, at times, Hst actually won the war in the line of scrimmage. Matt Schaub is simply not this bad and I think the Texans get well vs. a StL team that has not run
the football at all vs. anybody except Jax.
Hst-7.5 vs. Stl one star
GB-2.5 at Bal
Packers
lost a tough one to open the season in SF, 28-34. Their only other
loss was at Cin. week 3, 30-34, where they were down 14 pts before the
offense ever got on the field. Rodgers is good as ever and GB has found
a run game as well, ranking 5th in the league. Bal. got it together
down in Mia LW, winning a close one, 26-23 but really pushing the Fins
around, allowing 22yds rushing and forcing 19 incomplete. Flacco and the
offense had a nice game but have been inconsistent all year. GB
totally stifled a good Det. offense LW, allowing only 3 FGs. Takin' the
Pack here.
GB-2.5 at Bal one star
Dal -5.5 vs. Wsh over 52
OK, gonna pop me some popcorn and watch the show. Now watch this SOB be 13-3.
LW 2-2 mnus 0.3 stars Season 7-10-1 minus 6.6 stars
Oak+9 at KC
Maybe the Chiefs are good enough to be 5-0 and tied (temporarily) with Denver for divisional lead. Maybe Andy Reid is actually the genius I have been told he is for all these years. Maybe KC did not catch Philly and the NYGs at just the right time. Maybe they are good enough to give Oak 9. I'm betting against it.
Oak+9 at KC one star
Hst-7.5 vs. StL
Three weeks ago the Texans were scorched in Baltimore by two 82 yd.
punt returns and an int return for TDs. The next week they lost to Sea in a game they should have won; again, the int. return for the Sea TD. Last week SF manhandled them in a 34-3 loss. But, at times, Hst actually won the war in the line of scrimmage. Matt Schaub is simply not this bad and I think the Texans get well vs. a StL team that has not run
the football at all vs. anybody except Jax.
Hst-7.5 vs. Stl one star
GB-2.5 at Bal
Packers
lost a tough one to open the season in SF, 28-34. Their only other
loss was at Cin. week 3, 30-34, where they were down 14 pts before the
offense ever got on the field. Rodgers is good as ever and GB has found
a run game as well, ranking 5th in the league. Bal. got it together
down in Mia LW, winning a close one, 26-23 but really pushing the Fins
around, allowing 22yds rushing and forcing 19 incomplete. Flacco and the
offense had a nice game but have been inconsistent all year. GB
totally stifled a good Det. offense LW, allowing only 3 FGs. Takin' the
Pack here.
GB-2.5 at Bal one star
Dal -5.5 vs. Wsh over 52
OK, gonna pop me some popcorn and watch the show. Now watch this SOB be 13-3.
LW 0-4 minus 4.4 stars Season 7-16-1 minus 11.0 stars
Buf+8 at Mia O/U 43
Neither
team has had a total under 43 since week one. Thad Lewis looks like a
guy that can make some plays for Buffalo, but inexperience should
provide many mistakes as well. I'll go with the over.
Mia/Buf over 43 one star
KC/Hst O/U 40
Hoping to avoid pick sixes and kick returns. This should be an ugly defensive contest. I'll take the under.
KC/Hst under 40 one star
Ind+6 vs. Den
Manning
and the Broncs appear unstoppable and probably are, but the Denver D is
giving up over 26 ppg. Indy turned a thoroughly lackluster performance
Mon. nite in SD, but should have no problem getting it up for their
iconic former QB in a Nat. TV game. May even pull out the win.
Ind+6 vs. Den One star
NYG-3 (bth) vs. Min
Both
teams struggling mightily with one win between them. Giants finally
covered LW vs. Chi. and Brandon Jacobs showed me some stuff in that one
and I'm hoping the hamstring is not that bad. Hard to imagine Josh Freeman not making some mistakes in this one. I'll take the G-men and buy the hook.
LW 0-4 minus 4.4 stars Season 7-16-1 minus 11.0 stars
Buf+8 at Mia O/U 43
Neither
team has had a total under 43 since week one. Thad Lewis looks like a
guy that can make some plays for Buffalo, but inexperience should
provide many mistakes as well. I'll go with the over.
Mia/Buf over 43 one star
KC/Hst O/U 40
Hoping to avoid pick sixes and kick returns. This should be an ugly defensive contest. I'll take the under.
KC/Hst under 40 one star
Ind+6 vs. Den
Manning
and the Broncs appear unstoppable and probably are, but the Denver D is
giving up over 26 ppg. Indy turned a thoroughly lackluster performance
Mon. nite in SD, but should have no problem getting it up for their
iconic former QB in a Nat. TV game. May even pull out the win.
Ind+6 vs. Den One star
NYG-3 (bth) vs. Min
Both
teams struggling mightily with one win between them. Giants finally
covered LW vs. Chi. and Brandon Jacobs showed me some stuff in that one
and I'm hoping the hamstring is not that bad. Hard to imagine Josh Freeman not making some mistakes in this one. I'll take the G-men and buy the hook.
LW 4-0 plus 5.0 stars Season 11-16-1 minus
6.0
stars
Mia+7 at NE
Pats
3-6
ATS vs. divisional rivals their last nine. Pats haven't been able to
run up big margins since Brady lost his best receivers and Wilfork being
gone is a great boon to opposing offenses. Public still loves NE and
I'm hoping this spread is just a couple too many for them to cover.
Mia+7 at NE one star.
Oak+3 (bth) vs. Pbg
Tell me again why the Steelers are favored in this one.
Oak+3 (bth) vs. Pbg one star
GB-9 at Min Sea-11 at StL
I have resisted making picks based soley on disparity with respect to
the QB position for a long time and my record reflects that I feel that
the NFL has placed far too much emphasis on the passing game and that
the product has suffered because of this policy. But, those are the
rules and these two bets are both based on the fact that the chalk has
the QB and the dog doesn't. (And, to be totally honest, both GB and Sea
have been playing pretty good
defense.) So here goes.
LW 4-0 plus 5.0 stars Season 11-16-1 minus
6.0
stars
Mia+7 at NE
Pats
3-6
ATS vs. divisional rivals their last nine. Pats haven't been able to
run up big margins since Brady lost his best receivers and Wilfork being
gone is a great boon to opposing offenses. Public still loves NE and
I'm hoping this spread is just a couple too many for them to cover.
Mia+7 at NE one star.
Oak+3 (bth) vs. Pbg
Tell me again why the Steelers are favored in this one.
Oak+3 (bth) vs. Pbg one star
GB-9 at Min Sea-11 at StL
I have resisted making picks based soley on disparity with respect to
the QB position for a long time and my record reflects that I feel that
the NFL has placed far too much emphasis on the passing game and that
the product has suffered because of this policy. But, those are the
rules and these two bets are both based on the fact that the chalk has
the QB and the dog doesn't. (And, to be totally honest, both GB and Sea
have been playing pretty good
defense.) So here goes.
Week 9 LW 2-2 minus 0.2 stars Season 13-18-1 minus 6.2 stars
Buf+3 vs. KC
Does anybody really believe the Chiefs should be 8-0? I didn't think so.
Buf+3.5 vs. KC
one star
Ind at Hst O/U 44.5
Both teams have injuries at key positions on offense. Only 5 of their combined 17 games have exceeded 44.5 I'll take the under
Ind/Hst under 44.5 one star
Bal-2.5 at Cle
Ravens
off consecutive close losses to GB and Pbg and then a bye last week,
standing 3-4 SU and really needing to win this week and next week vs.
Cin. Jason Campbell had a decent start vs. KC LW for the Brownies, but
his entire career has been a study in inconsistency. Cle has had
little in the way of a rushing attack this year but Ray Rice is only
avg. 2.8 ypc for the Ravens. I'll take the Bal Club and hope for a game
by Flacco and for Rice to turn a good effort.
Bal-2.5 at Cle one star
Atl+7.5 at Car
Cam
and the Panthers on a 3-0 SU, ATS run here, winning each by at least
15. Stephen Jackson hurt all year for the Falcons and a lot of miles on
him
to boot. Hope he shows up today. Atl is pretty much out of the
playoff hunt and they have never been a team with a lot of character.
Nevertheless, this is a divisional game with some history behind it.
Hope the Falcons remember they are still an NFL team.
Week 9 LW 2-2 minus 0.2 stars Season 13-18-1 minus 6.2 stars
Buf+3 vs. KC
Does anybody really believe the Chiefs should be 8-0? I didn't think so.
Buf+3.5 vs. KC
one star
Ind at Hst O/U 44.5
Both teams have injuries at key positions on offense. Only 5 of their combined 17 games have exceeded 44.5 I'll take the under
Ind/Hst under 44.5 one star
Bal-2.5 at Cle
Ravens
off consecutive close losses to GB and Pbg and then a bye last week,
standing 3-4 SU and really needing to win this week and next week vs.
Cin. Jason Campbell had a decent start vs. KC LW for the Brownies, but
his entire career has been a study in inconsistency. Cle has had
little in the way of a rushing attack this year but Ray Rice is only
avg. 2.8 ypc for the Ravens. I'll take the Bal Club and hope for a game
by Flacco and for Rice to turn a good effort.
Bal-2.5 at Cle one star
Atl+7.5 at Car
Cam
and the Panthers on a 3-0 SU, ATS run here, winning each by at least
15. Stephen Jackson hurt all year for the Falcons and a lot of miles on
him
to boot. Hope he shows up today. Atl is pretty much out of the
playoff hunt and they have never been a team with a lot of character.
Nevertheless, this is a divisional game with some history behind it.
Hope the Falcons remember they are still an NFL team.
LW 0-4 minus 4.4 stars. Season 13-22-1 minus 10.6 stars
Buf+3 at Pbg
Steelers looking old and tired on defense, allowing almost 400 yds rushing their
last two while
amassing
a grand total of 142 on the ground themselves. Bills gave one to the
Chiefs LW with a pick six and a fumble run in, but totally dominated the
line of scrimmage. I'll take Buf and the fg.
Buf+3 at Pbg one star
Arz vs. Hst O/U 41
Cards avg. 24 ppg. at home this year. Texans look like they may have found a solution to their QB problem. I'll take the over.
Arz/Hst over 41 one star
NO/Dal O/U 53
This oughta be a lotta fun. Just can't resist the over in this one.
NO/Dal over 53 one
star
TB+3 vs. Mia
The Richie Incognito saga aside, an O
line problem of this magnitude is never an easy thing to overcome. TB
found a run game LW as they almost beat the Sea Hawks in Seattle.
Hoping for a carryover into the MNF contest at home.
LW 0-4 minus 4.4 stars. Season 13-22-1 minus 10.6 stars
Buf+3 at Pbg
Steelers looking old and tired on defense, allowing almost 400 yds rushing their
last two while
amassing
a grand total of 142 on the ground themselves. Bills gave one to the
Chiefs LW with a pick six and a fumble run in, but totally dominated the
line of scrimmage. I'll take Buf and the fg.
Buf+3 at Pbg one star
Arz vs. Hst O/U 41
Cards avg. 24 ppg. at home this year. Texans look like they may have found a solution to their QB problem. I'll take the over.
Arz/Hst over 41 one star
NO/Dal O/U 53
This oughta be a lotta fun. Just can't resist the over in this one.
NO/Dal over 53 one
star
TB+3 vs. Mia
The Richie Incognito saga aside, an O
line problem of this magnitude is never an easy thing to overcome. TB
found a run game LW as they almost beat the Sea Hawks in Seattle.
Hoping for a carryover into the MNF contest at home.
Given
their respective records this pick would appear imprudent at best, but
McFadden
and Pryor are both operating on bad wheels, although Rashad Jennings
has emerged as a capable replacement for McFadden. The Raiders are also
getting thin at the OT
position with two listed as questionable. They are on a second
consecutive road trip Eastward, having lost but covered LW at the
NYGs.
The
Texans are 2-7 SU, winning only their first two, and 1-7-1 ATS,
covering in a loss at KC. This is simply a better team than that. Matt
Schaub self destructed to be eventually replaced by Casey Keenum who
has found Andre Johnson 18 times for 375 yds.
in three games. Oak has had some bad days vs. good passing
combinations. Altogether it seems 7 is a few too many, but I'm sensing
blowout here. Which is worth nothing.
Hst-7 vs. Oak One star
SD-1 at Mia
After
winning their first three the Fins have gone 1-5 SU and ATS, their
victory in that stretch was vs. Cin. who self destructed on 4
t/os. The Incognito thing was a sickness, but losing two first string
OL is worse. (Mia was 2 yds rushing in 14 carries vs. TB.) This is not
an ideal match up for the Chargers who had a tough loss vs. Den. LW at
home and face a Mia squad humiliated by formerly winless TB Mon. nite,
but I'm thinking the Fins just have too much
negative stuff going on right now. Of course, that is when a lot of
teams would pull together and win one. I'll take Rivers vs. Tannehill.
SD-1 at Mia One star
Det-1 at Pbg
Steeler
organization
grumbling. Roethlisberger grumbling. Steel has not won a game in two
years when opps passed for over 200 yds. Their run game is hit and
miss. Det has been lights out vs. rushing attacks lately. Looks like a
lot of rain in Pbg, but I don't think the Steelers can handle Stafford,
Megatron and Reggie. I'll take the Lions.
Det-1 at Pbg one star
NE+3 at Car (bth)
Betting
on a team that you actually hope loses is not much fun to watch, and a
real aggravation when you lose, but I just can't give Brady and the
Pats, who really seem to be getting it together, a FG in this
situation. Carolina is the new kid on the block in terms of NFL powers
and I just can't help but feel that NE will rise to the challenge.
Given
their respective records this pick would appear imprudent at best, but
McFadden
and Pryor are both operating on bad wheels, although Rashad Jennings
has emerged as a capable replacement for McFadden. The Raiders are also
getting thin at the OT
position with two listed as questionable. They are on a second
consecutive road trip Eastward, having lost but covered LW at the
NYGs.
The
Texans are 2-7 SU, winning only their first two, and 1-7-1 ATS,
covering in a loss at KC. This is simply a better team than that. Matt
Schaub self destructed to be eventually replaced by Casey Keenum who
has found Andre Johnson 18 times for 375 yds.
in three games. Oak has had some bad days vs. good passing
combinations. Altogether it seems 7 is a few too many, but I'm sensing
blowout here. Which is worth nothing.
Hst-7 vs. Oak One star
SD-1 at Mia
After
winning their first three the Fins have gone 1-5 SU and ATS, their
victory in that stretch was vs. Cin. who self destructed on 4
t/os. The Incognito thing was a sickness, but losing two first string
OL is worse. (Mia was 2 yds rushing in 14 carries vs. TB.) This is not
an ideal match up for the Chargers who had a tough loss vs. Den. LW at
home and face a Mia squad humiliated by formerly winless TB Mon. nite,
but I'm thinking the Fins just have too much
negative stuff going on right now. Of course, that is when a lot of
teams would pull together and win one. I'll take Rivers vs. Tannehill.
SD-1 at Mia One star
Det-1 at Pbg
Steeler
organization
grumbling. Roethlisberger grumbling. Steel has not won a game in two
years when opps passed for over 200 yds. Their run game is hit and
miss. Det has been lights out vs. rushing attacks lately. Looks like a
lot of rain in Pbg, but I don't think the Steelers can handle Stafford,
Megatron and Reggie. I'll take the Lions.
Det-1 at Pbg one star
NE+3 at Car (bth)
Betting
on a team that you actually hope loses is not much fun to watch, and a
real aggravation when you lose, but I just can't give Brady and the
Pats, who really seem to be getting it together, a FG in this
situation. Carolina is the new kid on the block in terms of NFL powers
and I just can't help but feel that NE will rise to the challenge.
Last week 0-4 minus 4.6 stars Season 16-27-1 minus 12.3 stars
StL E vs. Chi
Bears
have given up avg. 35/182 ypg on the ground their last four, while
rushing avg. 25/113 themselves. They have avg. 16 incompletions vs. 13
per game for
those four as well. That used to be certain death in this league, but
they are 2-2 SU and ATS for that stretch. Rams are 1-3 SU 2-2 ATS their
last four, avg. 32/141 on the ground, their incomp. ratio is about even
at 12 per game. I'll take the home team.
StL E vs. Chi two stars
Bal-3 (bth) vs. Jts
Ravens should be getting just a little desperate and I look for them to pull it together this week. Ray Rice showed some signs
of life LW in the OT loss to the Bears, but the Bal offense hasn't
performed well all year. Jets actually have what it takes to give Bal.
a tough game, but are just too prone to turn the ball over, esp.on the
road. Buying the spread down to 3 and takin' the home team.
Bal-3 vs. Jets one star
Oak/Ten O/U 41
Four of 5 Raider home games have gone under, but Oak offense has picked up lately and Tenn and Fitzpatrick should be good
for a few scores/ pick sixes.
Oak/Ten over 41 one star
Ind+3 (bth) at Arz
This should be a close one. I'll take the better team and the FG on the road.
Last week 0-4 minus 4.6 stars Season 16-27-1 minus 12.3 stars
StL E vs. Chi
Bears
have given up avg. 35/182 ypg on the ground their last four, while
rushing avg. 25/113 themselves. They have avg. 16 incompletions vs. 13
per game for
those four as well. That used to be certain death in this league, but
they are 2-2 SU and ATS for that stretch. Rams are 1-3 SU 2-2 ATS their
last four, avg. 32/141 on the ground, their incomp. ratio is about even
at 12 per game. I'll take the home team.
StL E vs. Chi two stars
Bal-3 (bth) vs. Jts
Ravens should be getting just a little desperate and I look for them to pull it together this week. Ray Rice showed some signs
of life LW in the OT loss to the Bears, but the Bal offense hasn't
performed well all year. Jets actually have what it takes to give Bal.
a tough game, but are just too prone to turn the ball over, esp.on the
road. Buying the spread down to 3 and takin' the home team.
Bal-3 vs. Jets one star
Oak/Ten O/U 41
Four of 5 Raider home games have gone under, but Oak offense has picked up lately and Tenn and Fitzpatrick should be good
for a few scores/ pick sixes.
Oak/Ten over 41 one star
Ind+3 (bth) at Arz
This should be a close one. I'll take the better team and the FG on the road.
The
over has hit in 17 of 22 games played for these two this year, the avg.
of all games/pts =55.6. Chicago missing 3 starters on
defense. I'll take the over.
Chi/Min over 49 one star
SD E vs. Cin
It
is always difficult to win on the road and I don't think Cincy is quite
to the top echelon level of NFL teams yet. Andy Dalton's last three
games have produced 5 TDs, 8 ints. and a 1-2 record. Meantime, Rivers
has played pretty well lately, throwing for 5 TDs vs. one int his last
three for the same 1-2 record, however, one loss was to Denver in a
competitive game, while the other was in Mia in a game that SD really
should have won. The Bengals won this same game a year ago on a pick
six. I don't think they can do it again.
SD E vs. Cin one star
NYG-1 at Wsh
I
dont't know about anybody else, but I saw a lot of quit in the Redskins
last week. Also, when a person can sit on their living room sofa and
know what the Skins next play will be, it can't be too hard for the
opposing defense. This
father/son coaching arrangement is nonsense to begin with, but Kyle
Shanahan needs to go. Now watch Washington pull it together and run the Giants out of town. I'm betting aganst it.
NYG-1 at Wsh One star.
NO+5.5 at Sea
Drew
Brees is not the QB on the
road that he is at
home, but he still ain't too bad. ( 9 TDs vs. 5 ints, 91.5 rating.)
Sea is missing two CBs and that should help as well. Sea Hawks have not
lost at home in almost two years, but NO has improved on defense and
can actually run the football this year. I'm thinking back door cover
at least here for the Saints.
The
over has hit in 17 of 22 games played for these two this year, the avg.
of all games/pts =55.6. Chicago missing 3 starters on
defense. I'll take the over.
Chi/Min over 49 one star
SD E vs. Cin
It
is always difficult to win on the road and I don't think Cincy is quite
to the top echelon level of NFL teams yet. Andy Dalton's last three
games have produced 5 TDs, 8 ints. and a 1-2 record. Meantime, Rivers
has played pretty well lately, throwing for 5 TDs vs. one int his last
three for the same 1-2 record, however, one loss was to Denver in a
competitive game, while the other was in Mia in a game that SD really
should have won. The Bengals won this same game a year ago on a pick
six. I don't think they can do it again.
SD E vs. Cin one star
NYG-1 at Wsh
I
dont't know about anybody else, but I saw a lot of quit in the Redskins
last week. Also, when a person can sit on their living room sofa and
know what the Skins next play will be, it can't be too hard for the
opposing defense. This
father/son coaching arrangement is nonsense to begin with, but Kyle
Shanahan needs to go. Now watch Washington pull it together and run the Giants out of town. I'm betting aganst it.
NYG-1 at Wsh One star.
NO+5.5 at Sea
Drew
Brees is not the QB on the
road that he is at
home, but he still ain't too bad. ( 9 TDs vs. 5 ints, 91.5 rating.)
Sea is missing two CBs and that should help as well. Sea Hawks have not
lost at home in almost two years, but NO has improved on defense and
can actually run the football this year. I'm thinking back door cover
at least here for the Saints.
LW 1-3 minus 2.3 stars. Season 20-31-1 minus 11.8
stars
GB-3 (bth) vs. Atl
Just can't pass up the Pack in
this weather. I don't care who their QB is. Actually, I'm betting GB
can run the football and Atl can't. I remember the day when a person
could win on that mismatch, but it ain't so anymore,. Here goes anyhow.
GB-3 (bth) vs. AtL one star
S.F. -2.5 vs. Sea
This
is a classic turnaround game by any standard. Seattle has pounded the
Niners their past two meetings and is coming off a huge stomping of the
Saints Mon.nite. You would think SF would be as up for this game as any
they have had in the past two years. Plenty of leadership here with
the likes of Gore and Justin Smith, Vernon Davis, et.al. The NIners
lose this one and they are finished. I'm betting against that.
SF-2.5 vs. Sea One star
Dal+1 at Chi
Neither team has a great defense, but the Bears have gone totally soft against
the run, allowing 500 yds on 69 carries their last two, losing both to the Rams and the Vikes. Sean Lee is
back for the Dallas D and DeMarco Murray is set to go. I like Romo over McCown, thouigh I'm not sure why.
Dal+1 at Chi One star
NO-3 vs. Car
Panthers
on a really nice run here, but I'm thinking N.O. will be up for this
one big time, especially knowing they gotta go to Carolina in two weeks. You don't get the Saints at home for a standard spread very often so I'm in.
LW 1-3 minus 2.3 stars. Season 20-31-1 minus 11.8
stars
GB-3 (bth) vs. Atl
Just can't pass up the Pack in
this weather. I don't care who their QB is. Actually, I'm betting GB
can run the football and Atl can't. I remember the day when a person
could win on that mismatch, but it ain't so anymore,. Here goes anyhow.
GB-3 (bth) vs. AtL one star
S.F. -2.5 vs. Sea
This
is a classic turnaround game by any standard. Seattle has pounded the
Niners their past two meetings and is coming off a huge stomping of the
Saints Mon.nite. You would think SF would be as up for this game as any
they have had in the past two years. Plenty of leadership here with
the likes of Gore and Justin Smith, Vernon Davis, et.al. The NIners
lose this one and they are finished. I'm betting against that.
SF-2.5 vs. Sea One star
Dal+1 at Chi
Neither team has a great defense, but the Bears have gone totally soft against
the run, allowing 500 yds on 69 carries their last two, losing both to the Rams and the Vikes. Sean Lee is
back for the Dallas D and DeMarco Murray is set to go. I like Romo over McCown, thouigh I'm not sure why.
Dal+1 at Chi One star
NO-3 vs. Car
Panthers
on a really nice run here, but I'm thinking N.O. will be up for this
one big time, especially knowing they gotta go to Carolina in two weeks. You don't get the Saints at home for a standard spread very often so I'm in.
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