Ive created a football program that ive tested and want to share

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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: Ive created a football program that ive tested and want to share
DAWGPRINT PM DAWGPRINT
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Posted: 11/18/2012 10:01:42 AM


good luck!


WISCOKID PM WISCOKID
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Posted: 11/18/2012 10:01:50 AM
how in the hell is detroit the 2nd most consistent team in the nfl with a losing record every game i have watched they play like garbage for 3 qrts then play good in the 4th
NiceDaze_In_LV PM NiceDaze_In_LV
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Posted: 11/18/2012 10:14:05 AM
Where do you pull the data in from?  There's way too much there to key it in by hand.  I'm tailing your program on TB today.
DAWGPRINT PM DAWGPRINT
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Posted: 11/18/2012 10:21:00 AM
the only thing I think you're missing is the LOGIC factor...


Why is a superior team like TB only giving up 1 point??



HIGH ROLLER PM HIGH ROLLER
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Posted: 11/18/2012 11:32:47 AM
GOOD STUFF!!!! GL! WOULD LIKE TO SEE MORE...
AFNfootballnerd PM AFNfootballnerd
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Posted: 11/18/2012 4:47:10 PM
Well not exactly how I wanted the Detroit game to end but congrats to the Tampa backers
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AFNfootballnerd PM AFNfootballnerd
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Posted: 11/18/2012 5:49:41 PM
Ran the numbers on Baltimore @ Pitt
what's interesting is these teams are close on offense and defense

Offense...

Baltimore 8% Pitt 4.5%

Defense...

Baltimore 4% Pitt 2.5%

These numbers are way to close on both sides of the ball... Glad this line is not at a pickem...

The major stat that stands out is Baltimore ranked 28 at 19.5% for consistency....

So we have similar numbers on both sides of the ball and an inconsistent Baltimore team on the road...taking Pitt+3 tonight
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AFNfootballnerd PM AFNfootballnerd
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Posted: 11/18/2012 11:57:15 PM
similar stats = push lol oh well been interesting day...gonna run numbers for MNF
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JDubs800 PM JDubs800
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Posted: 11/19/2012 1:17:54 AM
Like these numbers and %'s system, pretty good stuff. Look fwd to hearing more.
AFNfootballnerd PM AFNfootballnerd
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Posted: 11/19/2012 2:47:33 AM
Ran the numbers and this is insane!

Against the avg baseline

Chicago 34% @ SF 31% both ranked next to each other as far as performance overall...

The offensive percentage matched up against each other....

Chicago -16%! San Fran 19.5

Ill take these numbers in a blowout with the calculations basically saying Chicago won't move the ball on SF...

SF-7 in a route
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AFNfootballnerd PM AFNfootballnerd
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Posted: 11/19/2012 2:49:57 AM
correction my line is at -6.5 now...even better
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Waddupson1990 PM Waddupson1990
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Posted: 11/19/2012 3:08:11 AM
Your calculations have been accurate as the dolphins had no offense against the bills, lions did hang with Packers but got moosed and I watched and tailed your Tampa pick in which Tampa got robbed at the goaline but ended up winning anyway. Jason Campbell vs SF at home I wonder if Chicago will even move the ball down the field? tailing u with this pick too let's get this SON!
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AFNfootballnerd PM AFNfootballnerd
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Posted: 11/19/2012 5:26:18 AM
Yea was a crazy day watching both Detroit and Tampa...noticing the program is fairly accurate with these small spreads..curious to see how MNF plays out
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DAWGPRINT PM DAWGPRINT
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Posted: 11/19/2012 8:24:13 AM
  well my friend - you may indeed be on to something...


chy PM chy
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Posted: 11/19/2012 12:52:27 PM
49ers line -3.5 now!!

BOLE 
pcz PM pcz
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Posted: 11/19/2012 2:34:29 PM
Hopping on SF -3.5 and Over 34.
NFL_Sharp PM NFL_Sharp
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Posted: 11/19/2012 2:47:58 PM
My numbers pointed to SF all the way up to a touchdown too.  I have Chicago's projected yards per pass at a lowly 4.98, and that's with Cutler.  But with Smith out, I'm staying away - Chicago has the advantage in the trenches, and I don't trust a rookie QB under those conditions.

As a man who makes plays based on a statistical program, I always watch other programs closely.  Best of luck with yours and best of luck tonight.
daveniner PM daveniner
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Posted: 11/19/2012 3:19:13 PM
Does your program account for home field advantage?
AFNfootballnerd PM AFNfootballnerd
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Posted: 11/19/2012 9:18:01 PM
No purely statiscal of the teams THIS season...no trends and history stats since 1992 stuff...
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pcz PM pcz
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Posted: 11/19/2012 10:27:18 PM
Sent you an add AFN.

Looks like SF -3.5 and over 34 is looking good so far :)
AFNfootballnerd PM AFNfootballnerd
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Posted: 11/19/2012 10:55:56 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by NFL_Sharp:

My numbers pointed to SF all the way up to a touchdown too.  I have Chicago's projected yards per pass at a lowly 4.98, and that's with Cutler.  But with Smith out, I'm staying away - Chicago has the advantage in the trenches, and I don't trust a rookie QB under those conditions.

As a man who makes plays based on a statistical program, I always watch other programs closely.  Best of luck with yours and best of luck tonight.


Nice....would be even better if we could compare our numbers like tonight on future games of interest

AFNfootballnerd PM AFNfootballnerd
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Posted: 11/19/2012 10:58:12 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by pcz:

Sent you an add AFN.

Looks like SF -3.5 and over 34 is looking good so far :)


I should wait for better lines in the future lol cheers bud
bobelle34 PM bobelle34
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Posted: 11/19/2012 10:59:45 PM

Asking a favor!  Can the Covers crew please not bash this guy when he loses a game. Don't want to run off another guy who is trying to contribute!

This is very good info! He's not touting anything yet.  Let's roll with this as long as it's hitting.

Younger (Entitlement Generation is killing this site!)

Fenway4 PM Fenway4
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Posted: 11/19/2012 11:06:36 PM
Well you hit the nail on the head for tonight's game.  Good work.  Friend request sent.
chy PM chy
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Posted: 11/19/2012 11:11:18 PM
AFN 

Cheers to you mate 
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