Week 6 NFL Plays

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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: Week 6 NFL Plays
JFen31 PM JFen31
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Posted: 10/8/2012 3:00:11 PM
Overall: 22-20 (+2.10 units)
Week 5: 4-6 (-3.05 units)

Couple close losses with the Steelers and 'Skins. A few of the other plays were flat-out awful. Onto a rather unappealing Week 6 card...


Oakland @ Atlanta Over 48.5 (1 unit)

Leans:
NYG +6, Seattle +3.5, Dallas +4
t6rider PM t6rider
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Posted: 10/8/2012 3:10:19 PM
I wish I was the type of bettor I was 15 years ago. Heavy public favorites and over. I'd be killing it. The last two years have been so frustrating for me. Won't be able to find better situations than Jacksonville and Tennessee yesterday. I never had a chance. Throw the Chargers in last night for the complete disaster. Good luck this week. Always a great read from you. Thanks. 
JFen31 PM JFen31
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Posted: 10/8/2012 11:09:28 PM
darn it, I'm tired of studying.

Live: NY Jets ML +500 (0.5 units)

23:17, 11:51 remaining.
austintx11 PM austintx11
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Posted: 10/8/2012 11:10:37 PM
If rg3 is healthy, hammer wash. 
JFen31 PM JFen31
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Posted: 10/8/2012 11:11:20 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by t6rider:

I wish I was the type of bettor I was 15 years ago. Heavy public favorites and over. I'd be killing it. The last two years have been so frustrating for me. Won't be able to find better situations than Jacksonville and Tennessee yesterday. I never had a chance. Throw the Chargers in last night for the complete disaster. Good luck this week. Always a great read from you. Thanks. 


Very true. The simpletons absolutely killed it last year. There has been some regression to the mean this season but the books are still reluctant to let the deep-pocketed sharp guys beat them.
JFen31 PM JFen31
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Posted: 10/8/2012 11:17:54 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by austintx11:

If rg3 is healthy, hammer wash. 


Agreed.


mariner24 PM mariner24
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Posted: 10/9/2012 9:38:40 AM

jfen, whatcha thinking for survivor pool pick this week? i dont like any thing this week.  i cant use  det ,cincy, dal, arizona , houston

Magic_Steam PM Magic_Steam
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Posted: 10/9/2012 10:58:05 AM

Really like your three leans! I might try to play NYG, and DAL early; I can potentially see those lines moving down to +4, and +3  by weeks end.

GL this week pal

Neurofit PM Neurofit
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Posted: 10/9/2012 11:03:51 AM
Mariner... Falcons bro
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coitus_maximus PM coitus_maximus
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Posted: 10/9/2012 12:41:59 PM
Maybe for now, Squares are winning, will see what happens around week 8 or 9
rr207 PM rr207
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Posted: 10/9/2012 12:46:46 PM
JFen31, what do you see in your total play?  I am liking the under.
JFen31 PM JFen31
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Posted: 10/9/2012 12:59:49 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by rr207:

JFen31, what do you see in your total play?  I am liking the under.


a) Oakland offense predicated on speed and quickness going indoors to play on one of the fastest tracks in the NFL
b) An Atlanta defense that simply cannot stop the run going up against one of the league's most efficient and explosive running backs.
c) Oakland pass defense devoid of the requisite skill and scheme to slow down an elite aerial attack.
d) A total short by 2-3 points due to the Falcons' (predictable) struggles on offense last week in the mud against the Redskins.
rr207 PM rr207
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Posted: 10/9/2012 4:23:52 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by JFen31:



a) Oakland offense predicated on speed and quickness going indoors to play on one of the fastest tracks in the NFL
b) An Atlanta defense that simply cannot stop the run going up against one of the league's most efficient and explosive running backs.
c) Oakland pass defense devoid of the requisite skill and scheme to slow down an elite aerial attack.
d) A total short by 2-3 points due to the Falcons' (predictable) struggles on offense last week in the mud against the Redskins.



Sounds like the perfect recipe for Over pie
MIKECOUU78 PM MIKECOUU78
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Posted: 10/9/2012 5:21:44 PM
Rambler882 PM Rambler882
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Posted: 10/9/2012 5:25:06 PM
Thanks for all the insights.

Curious if you have a site that shows how much the public is betting on sides and totals.

Thanks
naesiy PM naesiy
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Posted: 10/10/2012 6:07:25 AM

http://pregame.com/sportsbook_spy/default.aspx

JFen31 PM JFen31
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Posted: 10/10/2012 11:31:22 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Rambler882:

Thanks for all the insights.

Curious if you have a site that shows how much the public is betting on sides and totals.

Thanks


As Naesiy said, Pregame lists the percentage of bets from a bunch of different books but there is no way to know the actual percentage of money on each side.

A better way is to follow Teddy Covers, Vegas Runner, and Todd Furham on Twitter.
Rambler882 PM Rambler882
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Posted: 10/11/2012 12:12:24 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by JFen31:



As Naesiy said, Pregame lists the percentage of bets from a bunch of different books but there is no way to know the actual percentage of money on each side.

A better way is to follow Teddy Covers, Vegas Runner, and Todd Furham on Twitter.


Thank you!  I've always had trouble finding even ballpark percentages on the totals.
jayheezy PM jayheezy
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Posted: 10/11/2012 12:47:21 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by JFen31:



Agreed.



Not sure why all the love for Washington. They aren't very good and with or without RG3 they will lose to the Vikes. 
naesiy PM naesiy
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Posted: 10/11/2012 1:57:31 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by JFen31:



As Naesiy said, Pregame lists the percentage of bets from a bunch of different books but there is no way to know the actual percentage of money on each side.

A better way is to follow Teddy Covers, Vegas Runner, and Todd Furham on Twitter.

JFen,  Thanks for the twitter feeds.  Pregame is helpful but I've always been looking for alittle more info.  GLTU

JFen31 PM JFen31
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Posted: 10/11/2012 10:14:20 PM
tenn 2h plus 4
mariner24 PM mariner24
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Posted: 10/11/2012 10:21:04 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by JFen31:

tenn 2h plus 4
  like it. pitt looks awful on rd and their o-line is dropping like flies
JFen31 PM JFen31
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Posted: 10/12/2012 11:34:46 AM
Miami -3 -130 (1 unit)
NYG +13/GB +10 -120 (1 unit)

Leans:
Washington -1.5, CIN-CLE Over 43.5
TreyInventor PM TreyInventor
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Posted: 10/12/2012 11:52:14 AM
JFen, LOVE your NYG GB tease. Any. oncerns about their injuries at all tho? They are riddled up and down with them. That being said I think these are two FG games
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TurnstoneMoney PM TurnstoneMoney
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Posted: 10/12/2012 1:23:19 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by JFen31:


NYG +13/GB +10 -120 (1 unit)

Especially like this one.

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