Messages

Forum Index : Covers NFL Betting : Messages Page 1 of 2  1 2  
Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: Week 6 NFL Plays
JFen31
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
JFen31
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 7363
Location: United States
#1
Posted: 10/8/2012 3:00:11 PM
Overall: 22-20 (+2.10 units)
Week 5: 4-6 (-3.05 units)

Couple close losses with the Steelers and 'Skins. A few of the other plays were flat-out awful. Onto a rather unappealing Week 6 card...


Oakland @ Atlanta Over 48.5 (1 unit)

Leans:
NYG +6, Seattle +3.5, Dallas +4
quote
t6rider send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: WilliamHill.com |
t6rider
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 3128
Location: Nevada
#2
Posted: 10/8/2012 3:10:19 PM
I wish I was the type of bettor I was 15 years ago. Heavy public favorites and over. I'd be killing it. The last two years have been so frustrating for me. Won't be able to find better situations than Jacksonville and Tennessee yesterday. I never had a chance. Throw the Chargers in last night for the complete disaster. Good luck this week. Always a great read from you. Thanks. 
quote
JFen31
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
JFen31
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 7363
Location: United States
#3
Posted: 10/8/2012 11:09:28 PM
darn it, I'm tired of studying.

Live: NY Jets ML +500 (0.5 units)

23:17, 11:51 remaining.
quote
austintx11 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
austintx11
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Sep 2011
Posts: 1728
Location: Texas
#4
Posted: 10/8/2012 11:10:37 PM
If rg3 is healthy, hammer wash. 
quote
JFen31
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
JFen31
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 7363
Location: United States
#5
Posted: 10/8/2012 11:11:20 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by t6rider:

I wish I was the type of bettor I was 15 years ago. Heavy public favorites and over. I'd be killing it. The last two years have been so frustrating for me. Won't be able to find better situations than Jacksonville and Tennessee yesterday. I never had a chance. Throw the Chargers in last night for the complete disaster. Good luck this week. Always a great read from you. Thanks. 


Very true. The simpletons absolutely killed it last year. There has been some regression to the mean this season but the books are still reluctant to let the deep-pocketed sharp guys beat them.
quote
JFen31
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
JFen31
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 7363
Location: United States
#6
Posted: 10/8/2012 11:17:54 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by austintx11:

If rg3 is healthy, hammer wash. 


Agreed.


quote
mariner24
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
mariner24
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2010
Posts: 2225
Location: New York
#7
Posted: 10/9/2012 9:38:40 AM

jfen, whatcha thinking for survivor pool pick this week? i dont like any thing this week.  i cant use  det ,cincy, dal, arizona , houston

quote
Magic_Steam send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
Magic_Steam
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Feb 2012
Posts: 468
Location: Pennsylvania
#8
Posted: 10/9/2012 10:58:05 AM

Really like your three leans! I might try to play NYG, and DAL early; I can potentially see those lines moving down to +4, and +3  by weeks end.

GL this week pal

quote
Neurofit send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BetOnline.ag |
Neurofit
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Aug 2012
Posts: 1803
Location: United States
#9
Posted: 10/9/2012 11:03:51 AM
Mariner... Falcons bro
Posted using a mobile device.
quote
coitus_maximus send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
coitus_maximus
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Feb 2009
Posts: 494
Location: United States
#10
Posted: 10/9/2012 12:41:59 PM
Maybe for now, Squares are winning, will see what happens around week 8 or 9
quote
rr207
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
rr207
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 2367
Location:
#11
Posted: 10/9/2012 12:46:46 PM
JFen31, what do you see in your total play?  I am liking the under.
quote
JFen31
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
JFen31
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 7363
Location: United States
#12
Posted: 10/9/2012 12:59:49 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by rr207:

JFen31, what do you see in your total play?  I am liking the under.


a) Oakland offense predicated on speed and quickness going indoors to play on one of the fastest tracks in the NFL
b) An Atlanta defense that simply cannot stop the run going up against one of the league's most efficient and explosive running backs.
c) Oakland pass defense devoid of the requisite skill and scheme to slow down an elite aerial attack.
d) A total short by 2-3 points due to the Falcons' (predictable) struggles on offense last week in the mud against the Redskins.
quote
rr207
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
rr207
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 2367
Location:
#13
Posted: 10/9/2012 4:23:52 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by JFen31:



a) Oakland offense predicated on speed and quickness going indoors to play on one of the fastest tracks in the NFL
b) An Atlanta defense that simply cannot stop the run going up against one of the league's most efficient and explosive running backs.
c) Oakland pass defense devoid of the requisite skill and scheme to slow down an elite aerial attack.
d) A total short by 2-3 points due to the Falcons' (predictable) struggles on offense last week in the mud against the Redskins.



Sounds like the perfect recipe for Over pie
quote
MIKECOUU78 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
MIKECOUU78
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Aug 2011
Posts: 7836
Location: France
#14
Posted: 10/9/2012 5:21:44 PM
quote
Rambler882 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
Rambler882
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Sep 2012
Posts: 213
Location: Illinois
#15
Posted: 10/9/2012 5:25:06 PM
Thanks for all the insights.

Curious if you have a site that shows how much the public is betting on sides and totals.

Thanks
quote
naesiy send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
naesiy
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 506
Location:
#16
Posted: 10/10/2012 6:07:25 AM

http://pregame.com/sportsbook_spy/default.aspx

quote
JFen31
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
JFen31
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 7363
Location: United States
#17
Posted: 10/10/2012 11:31:22 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Rambler882:

Thanks for all the insights.

Curious if you have a site that shows how much the public is betting on sides and totals.

Thanks


As Naesiy said, Pregame lists the percentage of bets from a bunch of different books but there is no way to know the actual percentage of money on each side.

A better way is to follow Teddy Covers, Vegas Runner, and Todd Furham on Twitter.
quote
Rambler882 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
Rambler882
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Sep 2012
Posts: 213
Location: Illinois
#18
Posted: 10/11/2012 12:12:24 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by JFen31:



As Naesiy said, Pregame lists the percentage of bets from a bunch of different books but there is no way to know the actual percentage of money on each side.

A better way is to follow Teddy Covers, Vegas Runner, and Todd Furham on Twitter.


Thank you!  I've always had trouble finding even ballpark percentages on the totals.
quote
jayheezy send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BookMaker |
jayheezy
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 483
Location: Texas
#19
Posted: 10/11/2012 12:47:21 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by JFen31:



Agreed.



Not sure why all the love for Washington. They aren't very good and with or without RG3 they will lose to the Vikes. 
quote
naesiy send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
naesiy
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 506
Location:
#20
Posted: 10/11/2012 1:57:31 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by JFen31:



As Naesiy said, Pregame lists the percentage of bets from a bunch of different books but there is no way to know the actual percentage of money on each side.

A better way is to follow Teddy Covers, Vegas Runner, and Todd Furham on Twitter.

JFen,  Thanks for the twitter feeds.  Pregame is helpful but I've always been looking for alittle more info.  GLTU

quote
JFen31
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
JFen31
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 7363
Location: United States
#21
Posted: 10/11/2012 10:14:20 PM
tenn 2h plus 4
quote
mariner24
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
mariner24
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2010
Posts: 2225
Location: New York
#22
Posted: 10/11/2012 10:21:04 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by JFen31:

tenn 2h plus 4
  like it. pitt looks awful on rd and their o-line is dropping like flies
quote
JFen31
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
JFen31
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 7363
Location: United States
#23
Posted: 10/12/2012 11:34:46 AM
Miami -3 -130 (1 unit)
NYG +13/GB +10 -120 (1 unit)

Leans:
Washington -1.5, CIN-CLE Over 43.5
quote
TreyInventor send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
TreyInventor
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 4156
Location: California
#24
Posted: 10/12/2012 11:52:14 AM
JFen, LOVE your NYG GB tease. Any. oncerns about their injuries at all tho? They are riddled up and down with them. That being said I think these are two FG games
Posted using a mobile device.
quote
TurnstoneMoney send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
TurnstoneMoney
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Jul 2011
Posts: 2096
Location: New York
#25
Posted: 10/12/2012 1:23:19 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by JFen31:


NYG +13/GB +10 -120 (1 unit)

Especially like this one.

quote
Forum Index : Covers NFL Betting : Messages Page 1 of 2  1 2  
You have entered the forum as a GUEST. 
You must login/register to post or reply.