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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: 2012 NFL Top Teasers
gbpackman send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#26
Posted: 10/7/2012 4:20:35 PM

Touchdown Browns!!!

I could only get +14 but I'll take a push!

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#27
Posted: 10/7/2012 4:49:25 PM
At least you didn't tease to +13.5 

Here's my list of important keys ('important' because of frequency of occurrence):

Keys (By Occurrence)....
KeNFL Margins of Victory3, 7, 10, 6, 414, 1, 2, 17, 13, 8, 5
Key totals: 41, 37, 44, 51, 43, 33, 4047, 30, 48, 27, 45, 55, 23, 34, 38, 31
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#28
Posted: 10/7/2012 7:34:39 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by herbshack:

6 Pt. Teaser: ($54 to win $54) WINNER!
#417 Cleveland Browns +15.5
#430 New England Patriots -0.5


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#29
Posted: 10/7/2012 11:42:22 PM
New Bankroll: +$4,108.54 (+2.71 Units)
(from $4000)
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#30
Posted: 10/8/2012 1:33:02 PM
Have so many things to do I was late with the teaser. I only bet $10 because of the +14
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#31
Posted: 10/8/2012 1:35:18 PM

Wish I had teased the SD/NO game. Would have won 1U instead of losing 2 on the un/SD +4

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#32
Posted: 10/8/2012 4:31:48 PM
I'll try to work some magic again for next week. 
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#33
Posted: 10/10/2012 7:05:44 AM
There's no such thing as magic; other than Johnson and/or Orlando.
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#34
Posted: 10/11/2012 4:22:20 PM
For 10.11.2012:

6 point Teaser: ($55 to win $55)
#101 Pittsburgh Steelers -0.5
#229 New York Giants +12.5


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#35
Posted: 10/11/2012 4:24:45 PM
BOL
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#36
Posted: 10/11/2012 4:26:43 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by herbshack:

For 10.11.2012:

6 point Teaser: ($55 to win $55)
#101 Pittsburgh Steelers -0.5
#229 New York Giants +12.5




This teaser will win...............................
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#37
Posted: 10/11/2012 4:34:29 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by herbshack:

For 10.11.2012:

6 point Teaser: ($55 to win $55)
#101 Pittsburgh Steelers -0.5
#229 New York Giants +12.5
Bol with this teaser Herb. Just curious however as to why you started with a bankroll of 4 dimes when you're betting $50 a two-tm teaser? I mean did you have to start with such a big roll when you appear to be betting so small? 
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#38
Posted: 10/11/2012 4:57:15 PM
Thanks fellas. 
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#39
Posted: 10/11/2012 5:05:59 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by pinballwizard:

Bol with this teaser Herb. Just curious however as to why you started with a bankroll of 4 dimes when you're betting $50 a two-tm teaser? I mean did you have to start with such a big roll when you appear to be betting so small? 

Hey Pinballwiz,

I actually bet a ton of sports and personally put $4k into each season (with some exception). 1% of $4k is $40 so $50 is a bit more than one percent. So that's not really small.

I'm a high volume player. I like to set up machines for all of the sports to expand my betting propositions year round. 

Honestly, people take NFL too seriously. I usually come through about 30% up each NFL season. For me that may not seem like a lot, but consider that I'll do about the same simultaneously in MLB, Canadian Football, WNBA and NCAAF. It adds up more than (or at least the same) as folks who are going large in just one sport.

This week, my models seem to like MIA -3.5 and PHI -4 the best. Maybe you guys can concoct something better, but in my gut; those two plays aren't really worth a ton. I'll likely lay 1% on each and more likely not even watch the games.


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#40
Posted: 10/11/2012 5:12:02 PM
Also, Pinball:

Betting a favorite on Marquee Thursday just doesn't get you real far. I feel that Tennessee on the spread is really the sharp play, but my maths give this game a 27-17 projection.

The Steelers are awesome on third down and the Titans rank in the bottom 5 in nearly every aspect of defense. It is just hard to see them winning. I don't like the spread though against a "bad" team with points at home. The public doubts them just like me so they might play like a wounded animal backed into a corner and keep it close, but they'll need to show us some things they haven't thusfar to pull the win here.

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#41
Posted: 10/12/2012 2:24:19 PM
Two Team Parlay:
#220 Philadelphia Eagles ML
#222 Miami Dolphins ML
($110 to win $146.15)

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#42
Posted: 10/12/2012 2:26:44 PM
That was rough losing the Pitt bet to a botched field goal. I still feel I called that one right. Steelers were dropping like flies and they came back from a deficit caused by a red zone turnover freebie. If any of you saw the look on Big Ben's face, that's sorta how I was.
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#43
Posted: 10/13/2012 9:24:59 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by herbshack:

For 10.11.2012:

6 point Teaser: ($55 to win $55)
#101 Pittsburgh Steelers -0.5
#229 New York Giants +12.5


Have to win twice to get paid once?  Ah, no.  Not your best option.

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#44
Posted: 10/13/2012 12:29:37 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Bubba_Says:

Have to win twice to get paid once?  Ah, no.  Not your best option.


Read the original post. 

To sum it up for you: SHOVE IT.
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#45
Posted: 10/17/2012 7:21:55 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by herbshack:


Read the original post. 

To sum it up for you: SHOVE IT.

Nope, having to win TWICE to get paid once is just dumb!  Vegas casinos are built tall for a reason -too many losers and trying to do what you're doing will not work in the long run.  And as you said, "SHOVE IT."

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#46
Posted: 10/18/2012 1:36:16 AM
Got any more?
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Pendo
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#47
Posted: 10/18/2012 9:40:37 PM
Try ABC: Ariz Balt Cin +pts (& SU)
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#48
Posted: 10/21/2012 1:02:43 PM
Two Team Parlay:
#429 New Orleans -1 -108
#423 Green Bay Packers ML
($110 to win $202.73)
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#49
Posted: 10/21/2012 4:26:41 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by herbshack:

Two Team Parlay:
#429 New Orleans -1 -108 Final: NO 35-28
#423 Green Bay Packers ML Final: GB 30-20
($110 to win $202.73) WINNER!
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#50
Posted: 10/21/2012 4:29:05 PM
New Bankroll: +$4,146.27 (+3.66 Units)
(from $4000)
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