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[NFL Betting] Topic: Johnson's NFL Picks - Week 1 |
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CMJohnson1 |
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#1 Posted: 9/5/2012 3:21:30 PM
New York Giants ML (3.8 to win 2)
Great opening matchup to start the season off. Divisional rivals who are expected to be at the top of the NFC for the entire season. Neither team really went crazy in the offseason with moves, and return essentially the same starting lineups. Dallas picked up Morris Claiborne to stiffen up their defensive secondary, and the Giants added some running back depth to possibly help the 32nd ranked rush offense in the league last year.
4 points is just a bit too much to give in this tight of a matchup, especially in the NFC East. There hasn't been many sure bets as solid as taking the defending Super Bowl champion on the opening night of the NFL Season. The home team is 5-1 ATS and 6-0 SU. I think the Cowboys improved the most during the offseason among these two teams, but there just isn't that many reasons to go against the home team in this type of emotional game. Giants start the year off with a win.
Prediction: Giants 20 Cowboys 17
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TDzone |
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#2 Posted: 9/5/2012 3:23:27 PM  |
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jamescrain1 |
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#3 Posted: 9/5/2012 3:24:03 PM |
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CMJohnson1 |
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#4 Posted: 9/5/2012 10:50:39 PM
I went with the trend of the home teams winning the Kickoff game
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CMJohnson1 |
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#5 Posted: 9/5/2012 11:38:31 PM
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CMJohnson1 |
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#6 Posted: 9/8/2012 1:14:30 AM
My predicted lines for Week 1: (no I did not look at any lines beforehand)
Chicago -7.5 40
Philly -9 44.5
New England -6.5 47
Atlanta -5.5 42.5
Minnesota -4 39
New Orleans -6.5 46.5
Jets -6.5 36.5
Detroit -9.5 48.5
Houston -7 44.5
Green Bay -3 42
Seattle -2.5 44
Carolina -1.5 39
Pittsburgh -3.5 40
Baltimore -5 38
San Diego -4.5 45 |
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CMJohnson1 |
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#7 Posted: 9/8/2012 1:22:50 AM
*Play of the week
The Atlanta Falcons are very good in the passing game. Matt Ryan is one of the better regular season quarterbacks in the league, and the duo of Roddy White and Julio Jones is exceptional. 154 catches, 2255 yards, and 16 touchdowns between the two of them last season, and that's not counting a legitimate tight end threat with Tony Gonzalez and a solid running back with Michael Turner.
For the Chiefs, I looked at one thing that will kill them in this game...an injured Brandon Flowers (heel) that will slow his backpedal down and force him to play farther off than he probably wants to against either Jones or White. The suspension of Tamba Hali will also seriously hurt their pass rushing game...Glenn Dorsey (4 sacks in 4 years) and Tyson Jackson (3 sacks in 3 years) aren't exactly living up to draft expectations. Derrick Johnson will be their only decent pass rusher in this game, and I just don't think it's enough. If they get behind early, I also don't see the Chiefs having the offensive firepower to catch up quick.
Prediction: Falcons 27 Chiefs 16
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#8 Posted: 9/8/2012 1:28:23 AM
The 49ers defense will do enough in this game to limit Aaron Rodgers to field goals and keep him out of the end zone. Had this one capped out at a 23-20 game, possibly an overtime battle as well. 49ers beefed up their offense, which is nice, but their defense is the obvious rock of their organization. Not sure about the status of Brandon Jacobs in this game, but whether he goes or not I don't think it has enough of an impact on the total. Not completely sold on Alex Smith, even though he had a very nice year last year. New weapons can mean a temptation to throw the ball more, and Smith isn't exactly the world's most accurate passer.
Prediction: Packers 23 49ers 20
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CMJohnson1 |
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#9 Posted: 9/8/2012 1:31:42 AM
I would like to thank the collective shitty-ness of Mark Dirty Sanchez and Timothy TeBlow for combining for 0 touchdowns in the preseason. Because of that pathetic effort, they have earned a less than field goal line in their home opener against a Bills team that has very little offensive capability. The Bills thrive against mistakes and like to force turnovers, while the Jets will probably be more than content to ground and pound the ball all day. They have to be able to cover a field goal right?
Prediction: Jets 20 Bills 10
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potvin |
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#10 Posted: 9/8/2012 8:29:17 AM  |
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TDzone |
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#11 Posted: 9/8/2012 8:34:24 AM
You're in for a long first week. |
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CMJohnson1 |
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#12 Posted: 9/8/2012 9:54:51 AM
I'm pretty sure the games haven't been played yet though.
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#13 Posted: 9/8/2012 10:36:33 AM  |
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#14 Posted: 9/8/2012 11:27:17 AM |
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CMJohnson1 |
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#15 Posted: 9/9/2012 12:56:12 AM
Just can't see it getting up that high. I am not a huge fan of the Bucs offense, especially with a rookie running back in Doug Martin, and generally young players throughout the field. New coach will also take some time to get used to.
Prediction: Panthers 23 Bucs 20
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#16 Posted: 9/9/2012 12:58:32 AM  |
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#17 Posted: 9/9/2012 2:04:20 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:
We shall see TDzone.
I'm pretty sure the games haven't been played yet though.
LOL. Good Answer.
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MoneySRH |
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#18 Posted: 9/9/2012 3:51:42 AM
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#19 Posted: 9/9/2012 4:52:29 AM |
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CMJohnson1 |
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#20 Posted: 9/9/2012 10:11:51 AM |
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CMJohnson1 |
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#21 Posted: 9/9/2012 10:16:04 AM
Too much talent on the offensive side of the field, and without Finnegan on the outside for the Titans, I just can't see them getting enough stops against the Pats offense. Add in the fact that Jake Locker is getting his first true chance to run this team, and with the addition of pass rushers Chandler Jones and Donte Hightower, the Pats defense should be much improved. This line went down, but I don't see it being a close game.
Prediction: Patriots 31 Titans 17
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CMJohnson1 |
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#22 Posted: 9/9/2012 12:52:08 PM
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CMJohnson1 |
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#23 Posted: 9/9/2012 4:54:12 PM
*Play of the week
The
Atlanta Falcons are very good in the passing game. Matt Ryan is one of
the better regular season quarterbacks in the league, and the duo of
Roddy White and Julio Jones is exceptional. 154 catches, 2255 yards,
and 16 touchdowns between the two of them last season, and that's not
counting a legitimate tight end threat with Tony Gonzalez and a solid
running back with Michael Turner.
For the Chiefs, I looked at one
thing that will kill them in this game...an injured Brandon Flowers
(heel) that will slow his backpedal down and force him to play farther
off than he probably wants to against either Jones or White. The
suspension of Tamba Hali will also seriously hurt their pass rushing
game...Glenn Dorsey (4 sacks in 4 years) and Tyson Jackson (3 sacks in 3
years) aren't exactly living up to draft expectations. Derrick Johnson
will be their only decent pass rusher in this game, and I just don't
think it's enough. If they get behind early, I also don't see the
Chiefs having the offensive firepower to catch up quick.
Prediction: Falcons 27 Chiefs 16
New England Patriots -5 (2.2 to win 2)
Too
much talent on the offensive side of the field, and without Finnegan on
the outside for the Titans, I just can't see them getting enough stops
against the Pats offense. Add in the fact that Jake Locker is getting
his first true chance to run this team, and with the addition of pass
rushers Chandler Jones and Donte Hightower, the Pats defense should be
much improved. This line went down, but I don't see it being a close
game.
Prediction: Patriots 31 Titans 17
New York Jets -2.5 (2.2 to win 2)
I
would like to thank the collective shitty-ness of Mark Dirty Sanchez
and Timothy TeBlow for combining for 0 touchdowns in the preseason.
Because of that pathetic effort, they have earned a less than field goal
line in their home opener against a Bills team that has very little
offensive capability. The Bills thrive against mistakes and like to
force turnovers, while the Jets will probably be more than content to
ground and pound the ball all day. They have to be able to cover a
field goal right?
Prediction: Jets 20 Bills 10
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brent0887 |
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#24 Posted: 9/9/2012 4:56:01 PM  |
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kaponofor3 |
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#25 Posted: 9/9/2012 5:05:17 PM
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