Posted: 2/2/2012 2:37:38 PM
Heres what i have learned when it comes to the superbowl.
1. The most important thing to remember. Either the favorite covers the spread...or the underdog wins outright. VERY rarely does the favorite win the superbowl but fail to cover. Most recent example of this is Steelers over Arizona. Therefore...if you like the Giants..take the moneyline on them. If you like the patriots...avoid the money line.
2. The public..which generally will be about 50/50 throughout the regular season...does a fantastic job of picking winners for the superbowl. For the most part...the public makes money on the superbowl...giving bookies quite the headache...until they invented.....
3. PROP bets. The worst bets you can possibly make. Why would any sane person bet on a coin toss with Juice on it? Why would you bet that so and so player catches the first TD pass. Or, (my favorite), why on earth would you bet on ANYTHING that has to do with Madonna and her halftime show???!!!
Prop bets were designed for suckers to help cushion the blow that the bookies will probably receive from the betting public crushing them on normal bets.
However...the betting Public is not exactly widely backing anyone this year. Currently..the betting public is 55% in favor of Giants. To me, that is NOT a highly favored team by the betting public. What really seems to be everyones favorite bet on the superbowl this year is the UNDER. Most places opened at 56..and now the line is at 54 (or even lower at some places)
Therefore, it is my humble opinion, (applying the rules stated above) that the best bet to make is the UNDER. And i personally feel that the Patriots is the team to bet on...but that is just a hunch.
i hope that helps you guys out. Personally i have done quite well on the superbowl following the above rules with few exception. ( F U steelers LOL) <---had arizona ML in that one.