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[NFL Betting] Topic: How and WHY? Would VEGAS set the line at 3? NE Favorites. |
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ActionMagnet |
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#1 Posted: 1/23/2012 11:14:48 PM Immediately following the NFC title game, Vegas set the line at the Pats - 3 1/2. The line has since dropped to 3. Is this the mind darn of all mind people? There is no doubt in not only my mind but the respected NFL insiders of the world, that the Giants should be favored here. I expected to see the Giants favored by atleast 3 points possibly more. Hypothetically speaking, let's say the line was set at NY - 3, don't you think that would bring in tons of action on Brady? As the classic underdog in revenge mode? NY + 3.5 to 3 will bring in big time action on New York. This is the strangest line I've ever seen. Eli's confidence cannot and will not be any higher than it is right now. Beating the Packers was just the start of his apex. Eli is like friggin Andy Dufresne In the Shawshank redemption. The scene where he crawled through a 100 yards of garbage in a tight tunnel was Eli going through the Niners and that near hospital job beating he took. Andy/Eli made it through the tough part. The Pats defense will be a joke for Eli after what he went through with the Niners. He's almost made it now, to that island called, Zihuataneo. It took some incredible luck and fight and courage but he's almost there. This game could actually get very ugly.
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UnderDogs1979 |
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#2 Posted: 1/23/2012 11:19:30 PM Funny post. How many $millions$ does Eli make to crawl through 100 yards of garbage?  |
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veronica27 |
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#3 Posted: 1/23/2012 11:50:58 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by ActionMagnet: Is this the mind darn of all mind people? There is no doubt in not only my mind but the respected NFL insiders of the world, that the Giants should be favored here.
is no mind darn , favs - 3 are nothing special ..
why would you release the team -3 you really thought would win ... why not make the wrong team the fav out the gate to get the majority confused .. and get a lot of $ on the biggest name in sports , brady and coach b .. people that take the giants early will think they are sharp .. and they just might be . the game is obviosulely from a tracker standpoint ? a tossup , it coul go either way .. sooo ? just think of how much more $ would be bet on (the winning team the giants ) if they made the line giants -3 .. it would be an affirmation and mak epeople that already like the giants really feel a lot better about taking the giants .. glad i could help .
any real players goal (veagas is a player) is to confuse you . to get you to doubt what you think you already hav a great feeling about .. if this was not a part of the war .. what fun would it be . lol
gl |
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CIRE5150 |
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#4 Posted: 1/23/2012 11:58:45 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by ActionMagnet:
Immediately following the NFC title game, Vegas set the line at the Pats - 3 1/2. The line has since dropped to 3. Is this the mind darn of all mind people? There is no doubt in not only my mind but the respected NFL insiders of the world, that the Giants should be favored here. I expected to see the Giants favored by atleast 3 points possibly more. Hypothetically speaking, let's say the line was set at NY - 3, don't you think that would bring in tons of action on Brady? As the classic underdog in revenge mode? NY + 3.5 to 3 will bring in big time action on New York. This is the strangest line I've ever seen. Eli's confidence cannot and will not be any higher than it is right now. Beating the Packers was just the start of his apex. Eli is like friggin Andy Dufresne In the Shawshank redemption. The scene where he crawled through a 100 yards of garbage in a tight tunnel was Eli going through the Niners and that near hospital job beating he took. Andy/Eli made it through the tough part. The Pats defense will be a joke for Eli after what he went through with the Niners. He's almost made it now, to that island called, Zihuataneo. It took some incredible luck and fight and courage but he's almost there. This game could actually get very ugly.
LMAO; i really love ur post. just the way vegas does things. im my own opinion talking to my galfrend. vegas will never make Giants da favorite. its because u know this allready. NE will always be a public team. i really love ur comparison to Eli & Andy. anyways, who do u like NY vs NE?
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CIRE5150 |
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#5 Posted: 1/24/2012 12:00:03 AM one more question Action Magnet, who will the game get ugly for?
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FrozenTundra |
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#6 Posted: 1/24/2012 12:01:19 AM talk about over thinking things.
Line imo is right: 1. tough to beat the same team twice in one season 2. revenge factor for ne for last sb 3. ne has the better record
I love the Giants chances, but NE is not a bad team and I actually thought the line would have come out as NE -4, but -3.5 makes sense, in between two key numbers 3 & 4 for the right team. If the books came out Giants -3, money would be flooding in on NE. Books want 50/50 action.
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Tonga |
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#7 Posted: 1/24/2012 12:06:55 AM Line opened at NE - 4. Immediately bet down to - 3 1/2 on. By Sunday night started to see NE - 3. This is where the line is now Monday night. I don't see this number moving. The Books do not want to get middled. NE won the game without Brady throwing a TD. NYG needed the help of a dumb Niner special team plays. NYG beat NE 11/6/11 24-20 as a 9 1/2 pt dog. Neutral site is worth 5 1/2 points? Everything points to NYG being the favorite. So why did the Books make NE. We have 2 weeks to figure this out. BOL |
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bigslickk |
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#8 Posted: 1/24/2012 12:07:55 AM Game should be a pick'em |
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#9 Posted: 1/24/2012 12:17:35 AM Never has a team with less than 10 wins won the Super Bowl. Never.
I hate NE more than the next guy but they'll win this by a touch. This is a perfect line especially at 3.5. Vegas knew the public would hit New York. Hell I did too at +3 (+100). Just wait for NE to hopefully hit -130 on the ML then pounce on it.
NY is the new darling of the NFL for the past 6 weeks. They've covered 5 straight and everybody and I mean everybody is talking about NY right now.
Vegas is messing with your mind. NE 31 NYG 19
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ActionMagnet |
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#10 Posted: 1/24/2012 12:37:57 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by CIRE5150:
one more question Action Magnet, who will the game get ugly for?
Giants are last years Packers. They also had no business being in the playoffs and just caught fire. I honestly believe that it's Eli's time to add another ring just as when it was Brady's time to add the 2nd ring. Even the great Tom Brady gets rattled when he faces a pash rush. You saw it yesterday with Tom, rushing his passes and having a bad day. Brady and Rodgers fizzle under a PASSRUSH, they just do. Eli? He's prb too stupid to know whats going on, what ever it is, the guy has amnesia,just makes plays while taking a beating. Do any of you even remember the last time Brady had a big time game in the playoffs vs a quality team? Not Tebow and the Broncos. Do you? Im not being a person here but it was when the Pats were cheating/spy gate. If I'm wrong name me the game ? He's been awful in the playoffs lately. Last years SB line opened Pitt -3 I believe. Big time action came in on Pitt but it was Rodgers and his scorching hot team who won it. I feel the same way about these Giants. Julian Edelman will be covering Cruz in the slot. It can really get ugly for the Pats. Havnt made a play yet but big lean on the GMEN and Eli Dufresne. |
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billsneedhelp |
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#11 Posted: 1/24/2012 12:41:10 AM Because NE was #1 seed and Giants were #4
simple as that
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veronica27 |
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#12 Posted: 1/24/2012 12:41:46 AM last time pats lost in the playoffs i wrote 1 simple word by their name >> overrated and it really is true .. i like your take .  |
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veronica27 |
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#13 Posted: 1/24/2012 12:42:24 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by ActionMagnet:
Giants are last years Packers. They also had no business being in the playoffs and just caught fire. I honestly believe that it's Eli's time to add another ring just as when it was Brady's time to add the 2nd ring. Even the great Tom Brady gets rattled when he faces a pash rush. You saw it yesterday with Tom, rushing his passes and having a bad day. Brady and Rodgers fizzle under a PASSRUSH, they just do. Eli? He's prb too stupid to know whats going on, what ever it is, the guy has amnesia,just makes plays while taking a beating. Do any of you even remember the last time Brady had a big time game in the playoffs vs a quality team? Not Tebow and the Broncos. Do you? Im not being a person here but it was when the Pats were cheating/spy gate. If I'm wrong name me the game ? He's been awful in the playoffs lately. Last years SB line opened Pitt -3 I believe. Big time action came in on Pitt but it was Rodgers and his scorching hot team who won it. I feel the same way about these Giants. Julian Edelman will be covering Cruz in the slot. It can really get ugly for the Pats. Havnt made a play yet but big lean on the GMEN and Eli Dufresne.
spot on <> |
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veronica27 |
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#14 Posted: 1/24/2012 12:46:32 AM i think pack were -2.5 / -3 though .. in last years sb |
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veronica27 |
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#15 Posted: 1/24/2012 12:47:44 AM result was fav and over 55 pts were scored |
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veronica27 |
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#16 Posted: 1/24/2012 12:50:33 AM 56 pts
boxscore
pitt 0 10 7 8
gb 14 7 0 10
fav was finally good in a sb , along with indy when they won over chi |
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#17 Posted: 1/24/2012 12:53:55 AM just my opinion but vegas knows what they are doing they have so much riding on early giant super bowl futures when the gmen were 100-1 than 50-1 during the season that they will get killed in the gmen win the superbowl. They open pats -3 hoping everyone thinks its to easy and pond the giants thinking themselves the pats will win. i like the gmen myself but very leery on this what seems an easy play
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veronica27 |
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#18 Posted: 1/24/2012 1:02:08 AM yes , it seems too good to be true to get the ferocious defense and well accomplished qb playing in indy the home of his big bro to take down the can be known as overrated havent broke through in a while pats .. it will actually get worse for any giant believer the deeper we go into the week .. because you will see things that impress you about ne chances .. if the game is a tossup then really is no edge on paper .. so you just have to go with what you like and try and maintain that confidence . if giants lose ooh well ..
NYG for the title  |
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breakem |
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#19 Posted: 1/24/2012 1:12:39 AM Packers were laying 3.5 last year |
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budwiser |
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#20 Posted: 1/24/2012 1:15:49 AM Fellas, in the regular season New England is 13-3. Giants are 9-7.
I know you think highly of Eli, but there's somebody named Tom Brady who plays for the Patriots, who has a mind to revenge the Super Bowl they lost to the Giants.
Now why in hell would the Giants be favored by 3? I mean they could, but then I would think the onslaught of Patriots money would make Giants money seem like peanuts. Word would get out that the Giants are favored to the Patriots team.
Seriously guys, get a grip here.
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ActionMagnet |
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#21 Posted: 1/24/2012 1:16:29 AM My bad I thought Pitt was favored. The situation was where a lot of ppl were shocked and felt Pitt + 3.5 was the greatest gift of all. Didn't turn out that way |
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ActionMagnet |
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#22 Posted: 1/24/2012 1:20:26 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by budwiser:
Fellas, in the regular season New England is 13-3. Giants are 9-7.
I know you think highly of Eli, but there's somebody named Tom Brady who plays for the Patriots, who has a mind to revenge the Super Bowl they lost to the Giants.
Now why in hell would the Giants be favored by 3? I mean they could, but then I would think the onslaught of Patriots money would make Giants money seem like peanuts. Word would get out that the Giants are favored to the Patriots team.
Seriously guys, get a grip here.
Yes GMEN 9-7. You realize that they had a barrage of injuries all season long right? Recievers and Dline men out for extensive time. You say , why would the Giants be favored? Um because they beat Brady in foxboro already this year with an injured team and umm maybe because the giants are better on both sides of the ball and Eli has played better than any qb during the last 5 weeks with his team fully healthy. That includes Brady. |
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#23 Posted: 1/24/2012 1:22:55 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by ActionMagnet:
Yes GMEN 9-7. You realize that they had a barrage of injuries all season long right? Recievers and Dline men out for extensive time. You say , why would the Giants be favored? Um because they beat Brady in foxboro already this year with an injured team and umm maybe because the giants are better on both sides of the ball and Eli has played better than any qb during the last 5 weeks with his team fully healthy. That includes Brady.
I think most everyone would take the Patriots offense over the Giants defense.
Do you really think the Giants offense is better?
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#24 Posted: 1/24/2012 1:24:55 AM According to the NFL stats, the Patriots offense was the 2nd best offense in the league, behind the New Orleans Saints.
Link
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budwiser |
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#25 Posted: 1/24/2012 1:27:38 AM I'm not making a call either way.
I'm just saying get a grip. Nobody's going to make the Giants 3 point favorites.
Whether it makes sense to bet on the Giants is another story. Like I said, I have no call yet.
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