Just putting down my thoughts for now. Will post up the plays once I put them in.
Chicago Bears -10
Those oddsmakers are at it again. Fresh off their wildcard presentation of NO -10/11 on the road @ Seattle, they now have come back with effectively the same number for Chicago at home. Last week sure proved that the Saints were a shell of their World Champion self and I suppose that the 7-9 Seahawks were a tougher out than most thought and had something to prove. But we basically have 4-5 points in limbo right now... If this was a Chicago road game, we'd likely see Bears -5, but are they that much worse than the Saints? Or have the Seahawks improved that much over the last two weeks that the -10 is warranted despite oddsmakers telling us just last week that is NO was at home, they'd be -15 vs the Seahawks.
The road to the NFC Championship couldn't have been on a more silver platter than it is for the Bears. In my opinion, it's as simple as show up and you advance. And not just slip by, show up and you win going away. I'm not entirely sold on the Bears as the 2nd best team in the NFC (those two teams are playing on Saturday night), but they are playing a home game where it will be cold and facing what still is a sub-.500 team who arguably played the game of their season last week.
First stat to take note of .. and don't take it lightly.
Since 2006, Matt Hasselback has played in 12 games where his QB rating was over 100 as it was last week. Here is how he has fared in the following games:
1-11 Won-Loss Record
57.18% Completion Percentage
218 Yards per game
10 Touchdowns
12 Interceptions
28 Sacks (2 1/3 per game)
13 Points per game
All of these numbers should raise concern for Seahawks backers, but the last one might be most telling. Even more alarming is the 29 points against that the Seahawks are giving up in these games. Sure, that's not on Hasselback, but certainly the turnovers, sacks and 3 and outs have lead to some good field position for the opposition.
Just putting down my thoughts for now. Will post up the plays once I put them in.
Chicago Bears -10
Those oddsmakers are at it again. Fresh off their wildcard presentation of NO -10/11 on the road @ Seattle, they now have come back with effectively the same number for Chicago at home. Last week sure proved that the Saints were a shell of their World Champion self and I suppose that the 7-9 Seahawks were a tougher out than most thought and had something to prove. But we basically have 4-5 points in limbo right now... If this was a Chicago road game, we'd likely see Bears -5, but are they that much worse than the Saints? Or have the Seahawks improved that much over the last two weeks that the -10 is warranted despite oddsmakers telling us just last week that is NO was at home, they'd be -15 vs the Seahawks.
The road to the NFC Championship couldn't have been on a more silver platter than it is for the Bears. In my opinion, it's as simple as show up and you advance. And not just slip by, show up and you win going away. I'm not entirely sold on the Bears as the 2nd best team in the NFC (those two teams are playing on Saturday night), but they are playing a home game where it will be cold and facing what still is a sub-.500 team who arguably played the game of their season last week.
First stat to take note of .. and don't take it lightly.
Since 2006, Matt Hasselback has played in 12 games where his QB rating was over 100 as it was last week. Here is how he has fared in the following games:
1-11 Won-Loss Record
57.18% Completion Percentage
218 Yards per game
10 Touchdowns
12 Interceptions
28 Sacks (2 1/3 per game)
13 Points per game
All of these numbers should raise concern for Seahawks backers, but the last one might be most telling. Even more alarming is the 29 points against that the Seahawks are giving up in these games. Sure, that's not on Hasselback, but certainly the turnovers, sacks and 3 and outs have lead to some good field position for the opposition.
Tough to side with an over the way Green Bay's defense has been playing, but I think the offenses are too efficient to note hit the high 40's. Last game ended 20-17, but the teams were a combined 4-6 in the redzone and both had no issues moving the ball up and down the field. One more TD from last game and there is your over and I love that we are getting a diluted number from the lined total during the regular season. Rodgers is running the Packer offense as well as anyone has (yes, that includes you Mr Favre) and I have to imagine Matt Ryan continues to shine at home. I am fully expecting a back and forth battle and I only wish that this was the NFC championship game because I see these as the two best teams in the NFC.
Tough to side with an over the way Green Bay's defense has been playing, but I think the offenses are too efficient to note hit the high 40's. Last game ended 20-17, but the teams were a combined 4-6 in the redzone and both had no issues moving the ball up and down the field. One more TD from last game and there is your over and I love that we are getting a diluted number from the lined total during the regular season. Rodgers is running the Packer offense as well as anyone has (yes, that includes you Mr Favre) and I have to imagine Matt Ryan continues to shine at home. I am fully expecting a back and forth battle and I only wish that this was the NFC championship game because I see these as the two best teams in the NFC.
Hey Spaz, couldn't agree more on the Bears. When I saw the line released at -10 I knew the oddsmakers had this one right. The Seahawks played their Super Bowl last week and will most certainly come back to earth this weekend. I also think a lot of the public will jump on the Seahawks based solely on last weeks performance but I think that will come back to bite them this weekend. I personally hate Cutler and am not a fan of the Bears in general, but I have to bet with my head and my money will be on a bears blowout for sure.
GL this weekend man, looking forward to what else you got on tap.
Hey Spaz, couldn't agree more on the Bears. When I saw the line released at -10 I knew the oddsmakers had this one right. The Seahawks played their Super Bowl last week and will most certainly come back to earth this weekend. I also think a lot of the public will jump on the Seahawks based solely on last weeks performance but I think that will come back to bite them this weekend. I personally hate Cutler and am not a fan of the Bears in general, but I have to bet with my head and my money will be on a bears blowout for sure.
GL this weekend man, looking forward to what else you got on tap.
tooez - thanks buddy, glad you're on the Bears. I agree Cutler is a tough one to back, but I like how this game sets up for him.
andarmac - thanks, great to see you on it
Cutler by the numbers in his Chicao Bears career ...
Wins (17 games):
63.52% completion percentage
228 yards per game
38 touchdowns
10 interceptions
29.24 points for
18.12 points against
Losses (14 games):
57.52% completion percentage
218 yards per game
12 touchdowns
32 interceptions
11.71 points for
25.21 points against
Clearly the Bears performance is significantly linked to their QB's performance and these stats are glaringly different. For me, it comes down to whether Cutler will have a good game, which historical leads to a Bears win or whether he will struggle.
tooez - thanks buddy, glad you're on the Bears. I agree Cutler is a tough one to back, but I like how this game sets up for him.
andarmac - thanks, great to see you on it
Cutler by the numbers in his Chicao Bears career ...
Wins (17 games):
63.52% completion percentage
228 yards per game
38 touchdowns
10 interceptions
29.24 points for
18.12 points against
Losses (14 games):
57.52% completion percentage
218 yards per game
12 touchdowns
32 interceptions
11.71 points for
25.21 points against
Clearly the Bears performance is significantly linked to their QB's performance and these stats are glaringly different. For me, it comes down to whether Cutler will have a good game, which historical leads to a Bears win or whether he will struggle.
I think Cutler will have a good game vs Hawks, or at least a decent one. But the Bears, at this point, are simply a better team than the Hawks, and they don't need stellar QB play to beat them handily.
Cutler missed the game when Bears played @ Panthers earlier this season.. Bears QB Todd Collins stat line.......
6-16 for 32 yds 0 TD 4 INT QB rating of 6.2
Bears still won the game 23-6
Of course Seahawks are better than the Panthers, but Cutler will play better than Collins did that day, too. The point is, Bears D and ST are good enough to allow them to win by double digits w/o great QB play.
I also agree, Bears aren't the most impressive #2 seed in NFL history, but they're going against one of the worst playoff teams in history, so they should cover.
I think Cutler will have a good game vs Hawks, or at least a decent one. But the Bears, at this point, are simply a better team than the Hawks, and they don't need stellar QB play to beat them handily.
Cutler missed the game when Bears played @ Panthers earlier this season.. Bears QB Todd Collins stat line.......
6-16 for 32 yds 0 TD 4 INT QB rating of 6.2
Bears still won the game 23-6
Of course Seahawks are better than the Panthers, but Cutler will play better than Collins did that day, too. The point is, Bears D and ST are good enough to allow them to win by double digits w/o great QB play.
I also agree, Bears aren't the most impressive #2 seed in NFL history, but they're going against one of the worst playoff teams in history, so they should cover.
Just putting down my thoughts for now. Will post up the plays once I put them in.
Chicago Bears -10
Those oddsmakers are at it again. Fresh off their wildcard presentation of NO -10/11 on the road @ Seattle, they now have come back with effectively the same number for Chicago at home. Last week sure proved that the Saints were a shell of their World Champion self and I suppose that the 7-9 Seahawks were a tougher out than most thought and had something to prove. But we basically have 4-5 points in limbo right now... If this was a Chicago road game, we'd likely see Bears -5, but are they that much worse than the Saints? Or have the Seahawks improved that much over the last two weeks that the -10 is warranted despite oddsmakers telling us just last week that is NO was at home, they'd be -15 vs the Seahawks.
The road to the NFC Championship couldn't have been on a more silver platter than it is for the Bears. In my opinion, it's as simple as show up and you advance. And not just slip by, show up and you win going away. I'm not entirely sold on the Bears as the 2nd best team in the NFC (those two teams are playing on Saturday night), but they are playing a home game where it will be cold and facing what still is a sub-.500 team who arguably played the game of their season last week.
First stat to take note of .. and don't take it lightly.
Since 2006, Matt Hasselback has played in 12 games where his QB rating was over 100 as it was last week. Here is how he has fared in the following games:
1-11 Won-Loss Record
57.18% Completion Percentage
218 Yards per game
10 Touchdowns
12 Interceptions
28 Sacks (2 1/3 per game)
13 Points per game
All of these numbers should raise concern for Seahawks backers, but the last one might be most telling. Even more alarming is the 29 points against that the Seahawks are giving up in these games. Sure, that's not on Hasselback, but certainly the turnovers, sacks and 3 and outs have lead to some good field position for the opposition.
Just putting down my thoughts for now. Will post up the plays once I put them in.
Chicago Bears -10
Those oddsmakers are at it again. Fresh off their wildcard presentation of NO -10/11 on the road @ Seattle, they now have come back with effectively the same number for Chicago at home. Last week sure proved that the Saints were a shell of their World Champion self and I suppose that the 7-9 Seahawks were a tougher out than most thought and had something to prove. But we basically have 4-5 points in limbo right now... If this was a Chicago road game, we'd likely see Bears -5, but are they that much worse than the Saints? Or have the Seahawks improved that much over the last two weeks that the -10 is warranted despite oddsmakers telling us just last week that is NO was at home, they'd be -15 vs the Seahawks.
The road to the NFC Championship couldn't have been on a more silver platter than it is for the Bears. In my opinion, it's as simple as show up and you advance. And not just slip by, show up and you win going away. I'm not entirely sold on the Bears as the 2nd best team in the NFC (those two teams are playing on Saturday night), but they are playing a home game where it will be cold and facing what still is a sub-.500 team who arguably played the game of their season last week.
First stat to take note of .. and don't take it lightly.
Since 2006, Matt Hasselback has played in 12 games where his QB rating was over 100 as it was last week. Here is how he has fared in the following games:
1-11 Won-Loss Record
57.18% Completion Percentage
218 Yards per game
10 Touchdowns
12 Interceptions
28 Sacks (2 1/3 per game)
13 Points per game
All of these numbers should raise concern for Seahawks backers, but the last one might be most telling. Even more alarming is the 29 points against that the Seahawks are giving up in these games. Sure, that's not on Hasselback, but certainly the turnovers, sacks and 3 and outs have lead to some good field position for the opposition.
Spaz, you always come up with great information thanks for sharing and for all the work you put into this.
I watched a lot of that last Atlanta / GB regular season game and could not believe the missed scoring chaces. Do not think it will not happen again come Saturday night. I was on that over then and will be again.
Spaz, you always come up with great information thanks for sharing and for all the work you put into this.
I watched a lot of that last Atlanta / GB regular season game and could not believe the missed scoring chaces. Do not think it will not happen again come Saturday night. I was on that over then and will be again.
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