If everyone is betting on NE (looks like 90% people are) then why does this line keep moving..

Forum: NFL Betting
Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: If everyone is betting on NE (looks like 90% people are) then why does this line keep moving..
MoneyShot PM MoneyShot
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Posted: 10/9/2009 1:50:24 AM
 It was -3.5 Pats when it opened, then it was -3 (-122 juice) then was -3(-115) juice yesterday and now, its -3(-110)..
 
Im getting scared that even though the public is loving the -3, the sharps are moving the line down by betting broncos. 
 
 
This is one of my biggest bets of the year too. 
dsanch8 PM dsanch8
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Posted: 10/9/2009 2:15:24 AM
Then don't bet the spread and bet the under (41.5).
JTmonayyy PM JTmonayyy
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Posted: 10/9/2009 3:31:10 AM
Broncos or no play for me
browndog PM browndog
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Posted: 10/9/2009 8:26:25 AM
i bet 4k on the pats -3 easiest bet this month, brady goes for 3tds in this one
IraiseAllin PM IraiseAllin
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Posted: 10/9/2009 8:38:41 AM
I like the Broncos this week
HIIT PM HIIT
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Posted: 10/9/2009 9:21:07 AM
because when 1000 people bet 20 bucks a game on the pats and then 5 people come in and each bet 20,000 on the broncos...............what do you think will happen to the line?
 
 
 
gambling-devil PM gambling-devil
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Posted: 10/9/2009 9:32:18 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MoneyShot:

 It was -3.5 Pats when it opened, then it was -3 (-122 juice) then was -3(-115) juice yesterday and now, its -3(-110)..
 
Im getting scared that even though the public is loving the -3, the sharps are moving the line down by betting broncos. 
 
 
This is one of my biggest bets of the year too. 


MoneyShot, this can't be anyone biggest play of the year.

Putting aside public or sharp play, NE is not as dangerous nor complete as everyone think. I think the line should be at (-3) and the odds at this line is 50/50, so tread lightly.

Good luck this week-end


ballgame1881 PM ballgame1881
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Posted: 10/9/2009 9:32:36 AM
Take them points!!!!!!

BOL
Shiek1995 PM Shiek1995
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Posted: 10/9/2009 9:43:26 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by JTmonayyy:

Broncos or no play for me

luckyly PM luckyly
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Posted: 10/9/2009 10:56:36 AM
THE BOOKS KNOW THAT DENVER HAS COVER ALL THEIR GAMES...THE PUB LOVES THE Pats..WHICH ONE HAS THE BETTER DEF.
YES DENVER WILL COVER GAME NUMBER 5..THATS 5 W'S,
IT HAPPENS THAT WAY.A LOT OF YRS, ONE OR TWO TEAMS GET ON THE W ROLL..
BOL THIS WK
2sad2say PM 2sad2say
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Posted: 10/9/2009 11:51:41 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by luckyly:

THE BOOKS KNOW THAT DENVER HAS COVER ALL THEIR GAMES...THE PUB LOVES THE Pats..WHICH ONE HAS THE BETTER DEF.
YES DENVER WILL COVER GAME NUMBER 5..THATS 5 W'S,
IT HAPPENS THAT WAY.A LOT OF YRS, ONE OR TWO TEAMS GET ON THE W ROLL..
BOL THIS WK

-careful.... Denver is 3-15 before playing the Chargers !!!!

NONEED4LUCK PM NONEED4LUCK
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Posted: 10/9/2009 11:57:41 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MoneyShot:

 It was -3.5 Pats when it opened, then it was -3 (-122 juice) then was -3(-115) juice yesterday and now, its -3(-110)..
 
Im getting scared that even though the public is loving the -3, the sharps are moving the line down by betting broncos. 
 
 
This is one of my biggest bets of the year too. 

i guess your not a 'sharp'

MoneyShot PM MoneyShot
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Posted: 10/9/2009 2:49:37 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by NONEED4LUCK:

i guess your not a 'sharp'

Obviously you are not a sharp if you are guessing that im not a sharp.  'Sharps' bet min 15-25k on games. u think any sharps give up their plays on here? as if.   And it is you're, not your, i guess you are not that sharp yourself haha.

-FLORIDIAN- PM -FLORIDIAN-
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Posted: 10/9/2009 3:07:03 PM
If you get "scared" when you bet then you shouldn't bet at all..nut up or shut up.
aNTsKiLLz PM aNTsKiLLz
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Posted: 10/9/2009 4:11:53 PM
agreed broncos and/or under or no play...Gonna be really frigid there on sunday. Denver Defense matches up pretty well with Pats Offense. Gonna be a close game i believe
Jay4Prez PM Jay4Prez
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Posted: 10/9/2009 7:03:59 PM
When a team is worse on the ATS number as NE is here to Denver, the fav hits 57%, NE is 3rd in TOP at around 35.4 per game will be the diff here, oh and my fav part, Denver is a TRIPLE DUE DOWN on there power number, yes they have climbed way to high,maybe even a "Mile High" Dont forget, what comes up, must come down, you cant argue that.
I think the Broncos are a good team, but this play is NE - for me.
GunShard PM GunShard
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Posted: 10/10/2009 12:16:25 AM
Brady, Moss and Welker
 
vs.
 
Orton, Marshall and Bailey
 
Patriots offense vs Denver defense. I say Patriots.
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