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Author:	[MLB Betting] Topic: SEMPER/McSHADY UNDERDOGS OF MAY
bikemcr	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Rookie Joined: Jun 2011 Posts: 763 Location:	#626 Posted: 5/14/2012 5:59:05 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by McShady: Hey bike... The only play on my radar is Mets ov3.5, still gotta ck some weather. Whatcha got going? Playing a couple of single game favorites Braves and Dodgers and also Mets . For Mets game puting some of it for 5 INN . due to the bullpen blowing saves in their last 2 losses . GL .
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steedastang24	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Oct 2011 Posts: 48 Location:	#627 Posted: 5/14/2012 6:03:06 PM im liking the Brewers. i have a feeling Bautista gets lit up tonight. Gallardo will get it done. over looks good aswell
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paster21	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: BookMaker \|
Rookie Joined: Jan 2011 Posts: 755 Location: Massachusetts	#628 Posted: 5/14/2012 6:09:39 PM I'm think Rays, Astros, Mets, Cubs, and Braves. Will not play them all
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bikemcr	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Rookie Joined: Jun 2011 Posts: 763 Location:	#629 Posted: 5/14/2012 6:12:35 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by PTOTOUR: I AM THINKING ABOUT STARTING A ST. LOUIS CHASE. WHATCHA THINK FELLAS? looks good to me . Tonight Cards was almost a play for me but Dempster has been really good lately .
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ColdHotCold19	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Mar 2011 Posts: 56 Location: California	#630 Posted: 5/14/2012 6:39:49 PM Hey Semper/McShady. I really want to start doing this chase series system you are doing. Can you you explain how it works and how I can start following it? Thanks Guys, ColdHotCold19
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McShady	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: May 2011 Posts: 2768 Location:	#631 Posted: 5/14/2012 7:06:20 PM I'm working on a write up that describes how we bet and how our strategy works....
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ColdHotCold19	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Mar 2011 Posts: 56 Location: California	#632 Posted: 5/14/2012 7:10:28 PM Thank You! I really appreciate it!!!
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ChipsNVouchers	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: Mandalay Bay \|
Rookie Joined: Jan 2012 Posts: 826 Location: Wyoming	#633 Posted: 5/14/2012 7:16:16 PM Nothing from Semper today?
	Posted using a mobile device.quote
MONEY_MAKER_702	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Veteran Joined: Apr 2009 Posts: 2006 Location: Nevada	#634 Posted: 5/15/2012 2:01:19 AM
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Angle4U999	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Apr 2012 Posts: 3058 Location:	#635 Posted: 5/15/2012 1:43:18 PM Nice job with the updated sheet McShady! That should really help the newbies. The only thing I might add is to put the link to your spreadsheet out at least once a day. In your betting example I noticed you put betting 167 to win 200 in game 2 after losing 100 on game 1 (instead of betting 200 to win plus money). That does lower the risk in games 2 and 3 by betting that way if every game is a dog. I always thought you and Semper bet to win the dog money if available on every game. Is this simply a matter of personal choice, size of bankroll, etc?
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McShady	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: May 2011 Posts: 2768 Location:	#636 Posted: 5/15/2012 2:01:46 PM Thx. It's a rough draft til Semper gets to look it over. I posted the $ that way for 2 reasons. First so they can see the advantage to playing plus $. And second it's the most conservative approach. I don't need to show anyone how more $ equals more reward. You should never blindly tail anyone, but if you do...play conservative.
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ColdHotCold19	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Mar 2011 Posts: 56 Location: California	#637 Posted: 5/15/2012 2:10:18 PM Where is it posted?
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semperfi19	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Aug 2009 Posts: 2120 Location:	#638 Posted: 5/15/2012 2:16:07 PM NOTHING TODAY FROM SEMPER...AND I WILL NOT BE PLAYING INTERLEAGUE.....SHOULD HAVE JUST STAYED WITH ROYALS. YTD>>>>31-3.....+1795
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McShady	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: May 2011 Posts: 2768 Location:	#639 Posted: 5/15/2012 2:20:53 PM Chase The Dog
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3DTV	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Jan 2012 Posts: 136 Location:	#640 Posted: 5/15/2012 2:47:31 PM If Team X wins G1, Series is done with profit. If X loses G1, a bet is placed on Team X in G2 (DOG +120...$167 to win $200) If X wins G2, overall profit is 140. Isnt our porfit 100? We lost 100 in 1st game and won 200 in 2nd. Am I missing something? Also thank you for the breakdown but i think one thing which is missing is how this system is profitable? My assumption is you are saying you will win roughly 19 of 20 chases? Therefore profiting 19units - ~7units for a net gain of 12units?
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ruxpin810	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: betED.com \|
Rookie Joined: Nov 2010 Posts: 671 Location:	#641 Posted: 5/15/2012 2:50:17 PM mcshady, not sure if i'm calculating it wrong but if you bet $167 for game 2 to hit $200, the profit would be $100, not $140, correct? $200 (win from game 2) - $100 (loss from game 1) = $100
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ruxpin810	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: betED.com \|
Rookie Joined: Nov 2010 Posts: 671 Location:	#642 Posted: 5/15/2012 2:51:49 PM you beat me to it 3DTV
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McShady	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: May 2011 Posts: 2768 Location:	#643 Posted: 5/15/2012 3:10:06 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by ruxpin810: mcshady, not sure if i'm calculating it wrong but if you bet $167 for game 2 to hit $200, the profit would be $100, not $140, correct? $200 (win from game 2) - $100 (loss from game 1) = $100 Yes. You are correct. It was a typo
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Angle4U999	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Apr 2012 Posts: 3058 Location:	#644 Posted: 5/15/2012 3:29:24 PM Sorry to be off-topic, but isn't it a little fishy that the Dodgers are only -109 vs Arizona with the Dodgers 16-3 at home? Could the dog bark tonite?
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bikemcr	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Rookie Joined: Jun 2011 Posts: 763 Location:	#645 Posted: 5/15/2012 4:42:35 PM Hey PTOTOUR did you chase the Cards ?
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McShady	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: May 2011 Posts: 2768 Location:	#646 Posted: 5/15/2012 4:50:58 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Angle4U999: Sorry to be off-topic, but isn't it a little fishy that the Dodgers are only -109 vs Arizona with the Dodgers 16-3 at home? Could the dog bark tonite? What is the Dodgers ON Base % w/o Kemp? I would need +125 or better to go against them here. The public ate the value out of it
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ColdHotCold19	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Mar 2011 Posts: 56 Location: California	#647 Posted: 5/15/2012 6:48:29 PM Hey Guys, Any Idea when the next Chase Series will begin?
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McShady	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: May 2011 Posts: 2768 Location:	#648 Posted: 5/15/2012 6:52:25 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by ColdHotCold19: Hey Guys, Any Idea when the next Chase Series will begin? Looks like Monday.
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PTOTOUR	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Jan 2011 Posts: 1091 Location: New York	#649 Posted: 5/15/2012 7:01:16 PM [Quote: Originally Posted by bikemcr] Hey PTOTOUR did you chase the Cards ? yes, lost last night but hit today. i am on texas tonight too.
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ColdHotCold19	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Mar 2011 Posts: 56 Location: California	#650 Posted: 5/15/2012 7:19:47 PM Thanks McShady!!!
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