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[NBA Betting] Topic: THE $HARK $Y$TEM |
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schmeto |
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#26 Posted: 3/19/2012 6:28:25 PM
system1 : 91/100.5 , 85.5/94.5 ----> 88/97.5
system 2: 99/98 , 93/92 ---> 96/95
system 2bis: 92/101 , 90/99 ---> 91/100
total system 2: 93.5 / 97.5
system3 : 90/99 , 92/94 ---> 91 / 96.5
system 4 : 91.5 / 100 , 86/94 ---> 89 / 97
total average systems: 90 /97
other trends:
system 1 bis: 91/ 101.5
system 0 : 92.5 /98
My analysis:
when we analyse all systems, it has a small chance that Charlotte will win (look system 2)and the maximum marging if they lost is 11 points if my logical is respected . After take the bet you feel regarding these informations. GL
My bet:
Charlotte + 16@ 1.30
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Frank the Bank |
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#27 Posted: 3/19/2012 6:48:42 PM |
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schmeto |
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#28 Posted: 3/20/2012 2:50:01 PM
Portland vs Bucks
S0form : 99/95
S0h2h: 110/90
-----------------
S0) ---> 104.5/92.5
s1) 98/102.5 , 91/94 ---> 94.5 /98.25
s2) 115/100.5 , 108/92 ---> 111.5/ 96.2
S2bis) 93/97 , 90/94 ----->91.5/95.5
-----------------------------------------------------------
S2total:) ----> 101.5/96
s3) 102/88.6, 99/99.6- --------> 100.5/94
s4) 96.5 /97, 93/92.5 ----> 95/95
SE) ------> 100/96
SM20)
------> P+3.5/ P -3.5
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1)totalS1,2,3,4 : 101/97 , 96/94.5 ---> 98.5/ 95.7
2)total 1 +SE -----> 99.3 /95.3
3) total 2 + SM20 102.8/95.3, 99.3/ 91.8---> 101 /93.5
PORTLAND 101 / 93.5 BUCKS is the average score of all my systems.
For more" security" i bet under 213@ 1.44 but under206 could be play as well but 1 trend into 1 system go up 206 so i don't wanna take a "risk". GL
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schmeto |
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#29 Posted: 3/21/2012 6:47:32 PM
S0forme) 100.5 / 97.5
S0H2h) 106.3 / 100
---------------------------------
S0) -------------------------------------------------------------------> 103.2 / 99
+ -
S1) 104.6 / 96.5 , 99.6 / 91.5 ---------------------------------------------> 102/ 94
S2) 111/98 , 106 / 93 --> 108.5 /95.5
S2bis) 104 /85 , 102/83 ------> 103/84
--------------------------------------------------------------
S2tot) -----------------> 105.75 / 89.75
S4) 102.4 / 94 , 99.6 / 94 ----------------------------- ----------------------> 101 / 94
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TS124)
105.5/ 93 (total system+) , 101.8 / 90.4 (total system -)
------------------> 103.6 / 92 ( totalsystem +/-)
S3) 98.5 / 97 , 104 /96 -----------------------------------------------------------> 101.5 / 96.5
SE
)
----------------------------------------->
..105/98...................
SM20) --------------------------------------------->......................
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AVERAGE TOTAL --------------------------------------------------> ..SPURS.102 / 96 MIN...
my bet:
SYSTEM : UNDER 215@ 1.44 + SPURS ML @ 1.18 odds total = @ 1.7
it is possible to play UNDER 208@ 1.86 as well
GL
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schmeto |
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#30 Posted: 3/22/2012 11:39:24 AM
bucks- boston
S0form) 88 /97.7 ,
Soh2h) 81/93.3
s0tot) ---------------> 84.5/96.5
s1) 105/94 , 91.5 / 83 ------> 98/88.5
s2) 104/ 99 , 90/87 -------> 97/93
s2bis) 96/85, 89/78 ------> 92.5 / 81.5
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
s2tot) -----> 95/87
s4) 98/84 , 91.5 / 88 ----> 95/91
------------------------------------------------------
total basket 101/93 , 90.5/84 ----------> 96/88.5
s3) 101.5 /98.5 , 95/90 -------> 98.5/94
SE) ------------> 98/96
SM20) not considering
-------------------------------------------------------------------
AVERAGE TOTAL : -----------> 95bucks/91.5 boston
my bet under207.5@1.44
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schmeto |
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#31 Posted: 3/29/2012 10:19:58 AM
SOF ) 99.5 / 92.5
SOH2h) 108.5 / 99
------------------------
SOtot) -------------------------------> 104/96
+ - +/-
S1) 107/92.5 , 102/86.5 ----> 104.5/ 89.5
S1bis) 108.5/ 96 , 107.5/95 -----> 108 /95.5
S2) 104/92 , 99/86 ----------> 101.5 / 89
S3) 100/91 , 98/88 --------> 99/89
------------------------------------------------------------
105 / 93 , 101.5 /89 ---> 103/91
S4) 97/96 , 103/ 88.5 -----> 100/92
SE) --------------------------------> 100/92
-------------------------------------------------------------
TOTAL AVERAGE : ----> INDIANA 101/91.5 WASH
my bet (parlay @ 1.64 ) :
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IND Pacers |
WAS Wizards @ IND Pacers
(Money Line)
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30/03/2012 |
None |
1.15 |
To Run |
| 2 |
Over 186.0 |
WAS Wizards @ IND Pacers
(Game Totals) |
30/03/2012 |
None |
1.43 |
To Run |
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howzuck |
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#32 Posted: 3/29/2012 10:45:58 AM |
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schmeto |
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#33 Posted: 3/29/2012 1:20:41 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by howzuck:
What am I missing here? Line that I see is Pacers by 10.5 and total is 193? What bets are you suggesting as your lines seem very close to actual odds...
well, it is simple to understand ...
My bet is a parlay ( accumulator) of 2 bets on the same game...
INDIANA ML@ 1.15
+ OVER 186 points on this game( it is adjustable line on a book)@ 1.43
total odds : 1.15 X 1.43 = @ 1.64
I hope it is ok now?
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schmeto |
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#34 Posted: 3/29/2012 1:29:11 PM
S0F) 98/93
SOh2h) 100/95
------------------
SOtot ) -----> 99/94
+ , - ----> + -
S1) 100.5/ 97 , 100/ 96.5 ---> 100.25 / 96.75
S1bis) 97 / 91.5 , 95/89.5 -------> 96/90.5
S2) 98/92 , 97/92 ----> 97.5 /92
S3) 96/ 90.4 , 96/90.5 -------> 96/90.5
------------------------------------------------------------------------
98/93 , 97/92 --------> 97.5 /92.5
S4) 90/ 101.5 , 105 /87.5 ------------> 97.5 / 94.5
SE) ----------> 96 /98
------------------------------------------------------------------------
total average -----------> LAKERS 98 /95.5 THUNDER
checking by other ways
S2' : 97/101 , 87.5/92.2 ---> 92/96
S1 ' 98/97
comme on peut le voir une seule tendance ( en rouge) fait défaut au bet que je vais jouer
like we see on the system, only one trend( in red) is bad for my bet but i think in the worse case ( or thunder need to play a BIG GAME) IF thunder could win it is 97.5/ 101.5 so only by 4 points
my bet ( accumulator)
under 207@1.43
LAKERS +8@ 1.23
---------------------------------
total odds @1.83
For covering my under in case of OVERTIME will happen, a coin on the OVERTIME@13.5 is good
GL to all
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schmeto |
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#35 Posted: 3/30/2012 4:06:52 PM
| 1 |
CHI Bulls |
DET Pistons @ CHI Bulls
(Money Line) |
31/03/2012 |
None |
1.10 |
To Run |
| 2 |
Over 173.5 |
DET Pistons @ CHI Bulls
(Game Totals) |
31/03/2012 |
None |
1.41 |
To Run |
| 3 |
PHI 76ers |
PHI 76ers @ WAS Wizards
(Money Line) |
31/03/2012 |
None |
1.20 |
To Run |
| 4 |
Over 178.5 |
PHI 76ers @ WAS Wizards
(Game Totals) |
31/03/2012 |
None |
1.43 |
To Run |
my feelings:
chicago win: 104-86 or 97/89
sixers win: 94 /102 or 93/99
GL
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schmeto |
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#36 Posted: 4/5/2012 4:06:29 PM
SO: 95.35 / 92.65 (188)
S2': +6.5 / -6.5
S2'': +3.5 /-3.5
98.8 / 92.65 , 95 /89 ---> 97 /91
102 /92.6 , 95 /86 ---> 98.5 /89
note:
average total is +4/-5 so it is nearly my S2''
99 /92.6 , 92.3 / 87.6 (180 points) ---> 95.6 / 90.1 (185 points)
other trends with SOH2H
SO 95.35 / 92.65
+ 85.5 / 83.3
----------------------
90.4 / 88 ( 178 points)
my bet
OVER 170@ 1.41
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schmeto |
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#37 Posted: 4/5/2012 4:18:12 PM
SO : 97.7 / 95.2 (193 points)
S2': -8.5 / + 8.5 ---> 98/103.6 , 89 /95 ---> 93.5 /99 (max de 202 on this line)
S2'': -4.5 / + 4.5 ---> 97/99 , 89/95 ----> 95 /97 (max de 196 on this line)
others trends with SOH2H
104.2 / 103.7
+SO 97.7 / 95.2
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101 /95 ( If Kings win it will be a score something like this i think)
My bet
under212@1.5 |
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schmeto |
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#38 Posted: 4/6/2012 4:45:53 AM 
THANKS YOU SHARK System
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drudatt108 |
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#39 Posted: 4/6/2012 9:49:27 AM |
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schmeto |
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#40 Posted: 4/6/2012 10:16:20 AM
SO : 97.25 / 92.65
S2': -3.8 /+4.78
S2'': -1.6 /+1.6
S2') 97 /97.4 , 93.5 / 92.6 ---> 95.2 / 95
S2'') 97 /91 , 96 /94 -----> 96.5 /92.5
others trends system SOH2H ( S2')
SO 97 / 92.6
+ 94/74
--------------------
95.5 / 83.5
other trends system SOH2H ( S2'')
SO 97 /92.6
+ 95.6/81
--------------------
96 /86.5
MY BET:(to play security)
CLEVELAND +15@ 1.3
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schmeto |
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#41 Posted: 5/6/2012 1:21:05 PM
Sixers vs chicago:
S1) 97/95 , 92/ 90 ---> 94.5 /92.5
S2) 91/91 , 89/89 ---> 90/90
S3) a) 93.5 / 92 , 88.3 /87 --> 91/89.5
b) 93 /91 , 92 /90 ---> 92.5 / 90.5
--------------------------
92/ 90
If the logic is respected the trends is OVER ...and will be tight game...
BUT if we take care of possible variations, it seems a victory of Sixers will come and the Under could be the résult on this way.
1) 95 / 86
2) 89 /80
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92 / 83
with possible variations:
1) 90.6 / 83.65
2) 84.6 / 77.65
------------------
87.6 / 80.6
in resume:
the best trend is Sixers ML betting live with good odds
GL
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schmeto |
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#42 Posted: 5/6/2012 3:52:50 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by schmeto:
with possible variations:
1) 90.6 / 83.65
2) 84.6 / 77.65
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87.6 / 80.6
in resume:
the best trend is Sixers ML betting live with good odds
GL
Well, the variation won ... final score 89 /82 for sixers..that' s nice :-)
Now there is my prediction for the game of NY vs Miami
system:
1) 82 / 97.37 , 74./ 89.5 ---> 78 /93.5
with variation:
79 / 96.5 , 71 / 89 -----> 75 / 92.5 for MIAMI
in resume: i didn't analyse with general system so i don't know exactly about the total points but i think miami will win and it have a good marging( dubble) to pass the spread -7.5
Miami -7.5 @1.9
GL
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lockhard |
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#43 Posted: 5/6/2012 4:03:05 PM |
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schmeto |
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#44 Posted: 5/6/2012 5:57:16 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by lockhard:
what's the prediction on boston/hawks
Here is the trends but i am not sure to be accurate for this game
normal system:
84 / 77
82 / 75
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83 /76
system with variation:
94.5/ 80.5
92.5/ 78.5
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93.5 / 79.5 for Boston
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schmeto |
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#45 Posted: 5/7/2012 5:12:34 AM
I lost on Miami Game cause strong variation on this game.
I won on Boston 101 /79 i had the exact score for hawks, the variation of boston was on my favor so that is ok.
Utah VS Spurs
97/107
92 /112
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my prediction 95 /110 for SPURS
bookies prediction: 95 / 103
the trends are Spurs -8 and OVER 198.5
My bet:
OVER 195@1.66
GL to all
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schmeto |
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#46 Posted: 5/7/2012 7:50:44 AM
91 / 94
88 / 90.5
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My prediction : 89.5 / 92.5 for Memphis
bookies predictions: 92 / 90.5
My prediction is inversed of bookies prediction so not really big variation will be on this game normally . It will be close game so perhaps in play it will have good opportunity of bet ..
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BESTPICKSNOW |
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#47 Posted: 5/7/2012 10:24:32 AM SAS -8
SAS UNDER 198.5
My Prediction JAZZ 89 /101 for SPURS 
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schmeto |
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#48 Posted: 5/7/2012 11:54:19 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by schmeto:
Hi,
I lost on Miami Game cause strong variation on this game.
I won on Boston 101 /79 i had the exact score for hawks, the variation of boston was on my favor so that is ok.
Utah VS Spurs
97/107
92 /112
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my prediction 95 /110 for SPURS
bookies prediction: 95 / 103
the trends are Spurs -8 and OVER 198.5
My bet:
OVER 195@1.66
GL to all
I DID big mistake on my calculation
SO my new predictioN for this game is:
99 /97
103.5 / 92.5
-----------------------
SPURS 101 / 95 JAZZ
SO I haven't good marging with the book line so no bet pre-match perhaps in play it will be opportunity.
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schmeto |
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#49 Posted: 5/7/2012 1:30:26 PM
I have Strong feeling that SPURS will score exactly 101 points (nearly102 perhaps but not less or more than 1 or2points maximum!!), the unknow of the variation is for Utah (between 95 and 99,5 points).
in resume: 101 / 95
or 101 /99.5
--------------------------------
average : SPURS 101 / 97.5 UTAH
conclusion:
If Utah want to win, they should score more than 102 points, their chance are very small..Spurs will win but they will not cover the spread on my mind.
For the second game:
Clippers vs Memphis
89.5 / 92.5
(1st trend)
91 / 89.5
(2st trend)
- --------------
Average: Clippers 90 / 91 Memphis
Conlusion: the best bet to play is OVERTIME@10  .
GL to ALL
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schmeto |
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#50 Posted: 5/8/2012 3:24:12 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by schmeto:
I have Strong feeling that SPURS will score exactly 101 points
Conlusion fo the game of clippers:
the best bet to play is OVERTIME@10
well I wOn my bet with under 206 points but spurs didn't score 101 points exactly but the spread was covered by utah like I said.
My OT won as well at clippers game
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